Partick are tipped to win at home, with a 59% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 14% chance of an Ayr Utd win. The expected total goals hover around 2.3, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Partick, with a 15% probability. Partick’s home form shows they average 1.58 goals scored and only 0.42 conceded against similar opposition, while Ayr Utd’s away form averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.79 conceded to comparable teams.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (99.0% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% with a 5% edge), Under 5.5 (96.8% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (96.8% with a 7% edge), and Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.2% with a 5% edge). Partick enter the match after a draw, having finished 0-0 against Queen’s Park, while Ayr Utd also come off a 1-1 draw with Morton.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Partick win
59.5%
Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.57
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Draw
26.4%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.76
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.94
Betfair
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Dafabet
3.85
Ayr Utd win
14.2%
Avg Implied 17.8% · @ 5.13
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.47
Pinnacle
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Partick
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.77
1.62
0.54
1.41
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.46
0.73
1.58
0.42
1.36
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ayr Utd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.43
1.13
1.07
1.13
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.04
1.46
1.07
1.14
1.00
1.79
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.8%
@ 1.26-5.0%
Under 1.5
31.2%
@ 3.54+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Betfair
3.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.3%
@ 1.85-9.2%
Under 2.5
58.7%
@ 1.89+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.87
SBO
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.7%
@ 3.11-9.1%
Under 3.5
79.3%
@ 1.32+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Pinnacle
3.16
Unibet
3.15
Under
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
41.1%
@ 1.85-8.7%
No
58.9%
@ 1.84+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
No
Betfair
1.90
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.9%@ 6.21+7.9%
2-0
13.2%@ 6.94+6.9%
1-1
12.0%@ 6.97+5.8%
0-0
10.8%@ 10.06+6.5%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.46+3.2%
3-0
7.2%@ 10.91+3.2%
0-1
5.6%@ 12.45+2.0%
3-1
5.0%@ 11.98+1.3%
Partick goals ↓
Ayr Utd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
5.6%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
1
15%
12%
3.8%
0.9%
0.1%
2
13%
9.0%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
7.2%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.0%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partick goals (down), columns = Ayr Utd goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Partick is 0.77 points better than Ayr Utd in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Partick is 0.44 goals better than Ayr Utd in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Partick is 0.35 goals better than Ayr Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Partick
For 6.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ayr Utd
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 1.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Partick
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.2
11.2
0.8
0.8
0.9
18.1
18.0
18.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.8
10.2
11.2
0.9
0.9
1.0
18.1
18.0
18.2
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
80%
10%
9%
11%
22%
25%
20%
% under line
33%
50%
20%
90%
91%
89%
78%
75%
80%
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ayr Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
-
0.2
0.0
0.3
22.0
22.0
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
10.0
10.0
-
0.2
0.0
0.3
22.0
22.0
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
2%
0%
4%
100%
100%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
98%
100%
96%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.8%
@ 1.59-7.4%
Under 9.5
49.2%
@ 2.21+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.71
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.26
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.2%
Under 3.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.6%
Under 21.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Partick or Draw
85.8%
Avg Implied 82.2% · @ 1.12
Edge
+3.7%
59%
26%
14%
covers Partick + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Partick or Ayr Utd
73.6%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.8%
59%
26%
14%
covers Partick + Ayr Utd
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Draw or Ayr Utd
40.5%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.23
Edge
-0.8%
59%
26%
14%
covers Draw + Ayr Utd
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.35
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Partick over/under 0.5
Over
80.7%
@ 1.14-0.8%
Under
19.3%
@ 5.01+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Partick over/under 1.5
Over
49.0%
@ 1.71-5.2%
Under
51.0%
@ 2.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
BetVictor
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Partick over/under 2.5
Over
22.9%
@ 3.21-5.9%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.30+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Partick over/under 3.5
Over
8.6%
@ 6.80-5.1%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.08+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5
Over
49.6%
@ 1.60-8.2%
Under
50.4%
@ 2.19+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.20
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5
Over
15.1%
@ 3.93-8.5%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.21+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5
Over
3.2%
@ 9.60-6.5%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.60
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Ayr Utd over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
@ 17.00-99.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Partick, so a minus line means Partick give that many goals of a start and Ayr Utd receive them. At -1, Partick must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Partick win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Partick)
Partick -2
14.8%
@ 5.01-2.9%
Draw -2
18.9%
@ 4.54-0.7%
Ayr Utd +2
66.3%
@ 1.42+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Away
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Handicap -1 (Partick)
Partick -1
33.7%
@ 2.58-0.6%
Draw -1
25.8%
@ 3.43-0.1%
Ayr Utd +1
40.5%
@ 2.23+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.56
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.25
Away
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.15
Handicap +1 (Partick)
Partick +1
85.8%
@ 1.12+9.5%
Draw +1
10.1%
@ 5.83-4.6%
Ayr Utd -1
4.1%
@ 9.57-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Partick)
Partick +2
95.9%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Draw +2
3.3%
@ 15.00-3.0%
Ayr Utd -2
0.8%
@ 29.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Partick
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
1.08
0.38
0.65
0.41
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.35
1.08
0.25
0.50
0.43
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ayr Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.27
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.54
0.64
0.29
0.79
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.35+1.9%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 2.93-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
William Hil
3.10
Pinnacle
3.08
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.67-1.8%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.41+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Pinnacle
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Under
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.6%
@ 6.57-2.4%
Under 2.5
88.4%
@ 1.08+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.80
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.9%
@ 1.67-3.7%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.08+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Partick over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.7%
@ 4.33-3.6%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.17+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.35
1xBet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Partick over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.8%
@ 10.38-5.1%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.6%
@ 2.82+0.8%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.37-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.03
Betano
2.85
Marathonbet
2.84
10Bet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Under
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.0%
@ 9.75-0.5%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.03+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Partick
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.54
0.15
0.76
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.38
0.50
0.17
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ayr Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.53
0.80
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.32
0.93
0.43
0.86
0.21
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.6%
@ 1.21+2.3%
Under 0.5
21.4%
@ 3.90-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.92
Superbet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.6%
@ 2.05-3.6%
Under 1.5
58.4%
@ 1.69+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.04
Under
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 4.35-3.3%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.17+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.6%
@ 1.47-4.6%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.52+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Partick over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.7%
@ 3.13+1.3%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.31-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Partick over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.5%
@ 7.87-5.3%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.05+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.4%
@ 2.32-1.5%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.54+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.4%
@ 8.10-3.1%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
@ 12.50-5.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
Under 5.5
96.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.02
-
+5.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+6.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
Home +2 handicap
95.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+5.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.6%
1.04
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+3.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-
+5.1%
Under 4.5
91.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+6.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+0.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
+2.4%
Home or Draw
85.8%
1.12
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+3.7%
Home +1 handicap
85.8%
1.12
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+9.5%
Away under 1.5 goals
84.9%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
+8.5%
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.3%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+3.6%
Under 25.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.17
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+3.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
80.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
-0.8%
Under 3.5
79.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+9.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
+2.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
77.1%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+5.9%
Home or Away
73.6%
1.20
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-2.8%
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
1.47
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.44
+9.8%
Under 5.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.35
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
+1.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stenhousemuir
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Livingston
Dunfermline
Inverness CT
Morton
Queen's Park