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Partick vs Dunfermline Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Partick
Partick
Vs
40%
35%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Partick win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied 41.7% · @ 2.22
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.17
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.18
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W10W12L04L14L12L00D10W01LA·ARB01/03H·INV04/03H·QUE08/03A·MOR12/03H·HAM19/03A·DUN22/03A·KIL26/03H·ARB02/04A·QUE08/04H·RAI16/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.070.670.731.601.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.121.000.690.851.541.15
vs Weaker (4)1.251.500.500.002.003.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D01L22D11D41W02L20W02L21WA·KIL12/02H·KIL26/02A·ARB05/03A·HAM12/03H·MOR18/03H·PAR22/03A·INV26/03H·RAI06/04A·KIL09/04H·AYR16/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.301.401.070.731.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.121.351.541.150.691.54
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.500.501.001.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%216%37%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
55.9%
Under 1.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.7%
@ 2.19-14.9%
Under 2.5
72.3%
@ 1.63+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.3%
Under 3.5
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.4%
No
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.4%
1-0 ✓
15.6%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
Partick goals ↓
Dunfermline goals →
01234
017%11%4.8%1.2%0.2%
116%14%5.1%1.3%0.3%
28.9%6.9%2.7%0.7%0.1%
33.1%2.4%0.9%0.2%0.0%
40.8%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partick goals (down), columns = Dunfermline goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Partick is 0.47 points better than Dunfermline in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 0.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Partick is 0.28 goals better than Dunfermline in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Partick is 0.36 goals better than Dunfermline in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.47).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PartickPartick

For 4.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

140653332727323773224271165910514569H·RAIA·QUEH·ARBA·KILA·DUNH·HAMA·MORH·QUEH·INVA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

502241321321212234503353305H·RAIA·QUEH·ARBA·KILA·DUNH·HAMA·MORH·QUEH·INVA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 10.1 · Total 19.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

250121310121071398771061251087111425221722151718151525H·RAIA·QUEH·ARBA·KILA·DUNH·HAMA·MORH·QUEH·INVA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 3.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

150443125137371322433151581561010156666H·AYRA·KILH·RAIA·INVH·PARH·MORA·HAMA·ARBH·KILA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9031121121121221231454323314349H·AYRA·KILH·RAIA·INVH·PARH·MORA·HAMA·ARBH·KILA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

29066141510161077881488913111671212292617152216222719H·AYRA·KILH·RAIA·INVH·PARH·MORA·HAMA·ARBH·KILA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.09.63.33.13.520.919.722.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)9.89.89.83.43.13.620.819.422.2
vs Weaker (9)9.910.69.02.92.83.021.320.822.0
% over line54%48%60%38%40%36%48%32%64%
% under line46%52%40%62%60%64%52%68%36%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.310.63.02.83.221.220.821.6
vs Stronger (2)11.08.014.01.52.01.027.026.028.0
vs Similar (43)10.710.810.52.92.63.221.020.021.9
vs Weaker (5)8.47.310.04.45.03.521.225.015.5
% over line62%54%71%36%35%38%50%50%50%
% under line38%46%29%64%65%62%50%50%50%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.6
Dunfermline
10.4
Morton
10.4
Queen of Sth
10.2
Raith Rvs
10.1
Ayr
10.0
Arbroath
9.9
Partick
9.8
Kilmarnock
9.8
Inverness CT
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Hamilton
3.8
Inverness CT
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.3
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
3.0
Queen of Sth
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.0
Hamilton
23.7
Inverness CT
23.3
Arbroath
22.7
Raith Rvs
21.8
Dunfermline
21.2
Ayr
21.1
Partick
20.9
Morton
20.7
Queen of Sth
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.0%
Under 9.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.0%
Under 3.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.5%
Under 21.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D10W02L13L01L00D00D00DA·ARB01/03H·INV04/03H·QUE08/03A·MOR12/03H·HAM19/03A·DUN22/03A·KIL26/03H·ARB02/04A·QUE08/04H·RAI16/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.370.130.200.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.350.350.150.230.540.46
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L11D01L31W00D10W01L01LA·KIL12/02H·KIL26/02A·ARB05/03A·HAM12/03H·MOR18/03H·PAR22/03A·INV26/03H·RAI06/04A·KIL09/04H·AYR16/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.600.530.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.580.650.690.540.460.77
vs Weaker (4)0.000.500.000.500.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W02L02L01L11D00D10W01LA·ARB01/03H·INV04/03H·QUE08/03A·MOR12/03H·HAM19/03A·DUN22/03A·KIL26/03H·ARB02/04A·QUE08/04H·RAI16/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.530.530.930.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.650.540.621.000.69
vs Weaker (4)0.501.000.500.000.502.00
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D11D10W10W02L10W01L20WA·KIL12/02H·KIL26/02A·ARB05/03A·HAM12/03H·MOR18/03H·PAR22/03A·INV26/03H·RAI06/04A·KIL09/04H·AYR16/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.800.530.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.540.690.850.620.230.77
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.588.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.572.3%1.63-----+14.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Partick's squad is €1m less valuable than Dunfermline's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Partick and Dunfermline have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Partick and Dunfermline have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Partick and Dunfermline have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
PAR wins
3
Draws
4
DUN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partick vs Dunfermline · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/22ADunfermline Vs PAR4-1
23/10/21HPAR Vs Dunfermline0-0
07/08/21ADunfermline Vs PAR0-3
10/03/20HPAR Vs Dunfermline1-1
30/11/19ADunfermline Vs PAR5-1
21/09/19HPAR Vs Dunfermline0-3
06/04/19HPAR Vs Dunfermline2-2
26/02/19ADunfermline Vs PAR3-0

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/22HPAR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
08/04/22AQueen of Sth Vs PAR0-1
02/04/22HPAR Vs Arbroath0-0
26/03/22AKilmarnock Vs PAR2-1
22/03/22ADunfermline Vs PAR4-1
19/03/22HPAR Vs Hamilton0-4
12/03/22AMorton Vs PAR2-1
08/03/22HPAR Vs Queen of Sth1-0
04/03/22HPAR Vs Inverness CT1-0
01/03/22AArbroath Vs PAR1-1

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/22HDUN Vs Ayr2-1
09/04/22AKilmarnock Vs DUN2-0
06/04/22HDUN Vs Raith Rvs2-0
26/03/22AInverness CT Vs DUN2-0
22/03/22HDUN Vs Partick4-1
18/03/22HDUN Vs Morton1-1
12/03/22AHamilton Vs DUN2-2
05/03/22AArbroath Vs DUN1-0
26/02/22HDUN Vs Kilmarnock0-0
12/02/22AKilmarnock Vs DUN2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.58
HomeWWLDL1.72
AwayDLLLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.541.963.12
Over 1.5 %62%48%76%
Over 2.5 %46%28%64%
Over 3.5 %36%24%48%
Scored1.541.281.80
Conceded1.000.681.32
BTTS36%16%56%
Clean Sheet52%60%44%
Corners9.809.969.64
Cards3.283.083.48
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.08
HomeDDWWW1.58
AwayLLDLL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%38%8%
AVG goals2.482.462.50
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.061.350.75
Conceded1.421.121.75
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet26%38%12%
Corners10.4410.2710.62
Cards3.002.853.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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