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Partick vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 22/03/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 1-2
Partick
Partick
Vs
25%
28%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Partick win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D11D21W21W20W24L03L21W11DH·MOR29/12A·DUN05/01H·FAL12/01H·QUE26/01A·INV02/02A·ALL16/02H·ROS23/02A·DUN26/02H·DUN09/03A·FAL16/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.531.271.400.801.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.001.521.361.430.621.62
vs Weaker (3)1.331.670.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L10W22D32W12L01L10W01L20WA·ROS29/12H·QUE05/01H·AYR12/01A·FAL26/01A·AYR29/01H·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02A·QUE09/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.071.361.361.440.81
vs Stronger (26)1.351.151.421.501.290.86
vs Similar (4)1.750.501.000.502.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.1%
1-2 ✓
9.3%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
Partick goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
08.6%10%8.7%4.5%1.7%
16.7%13%9.3%4.8%1.8%
24.2%6.5%5.0%2.6%1.0%
31.5%2.3%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partick goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ross County
1.97
Dundee Utd
1.81
Inverness CT
1.56
Ayr
1.50
Morton
1.28
Partick
1.19
Dunfermline
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.06
Queen of Sth
1.06
Partick is 0.36 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ross County
1.75
Ayr
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.36
Inverness CT
1.33
Partick
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.03
Morton
1.00
Dunfermline
0.92
Partick is 0.14 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ross County
0.94
Ayr
1.06
Dunfermline
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.11
Inverness CT
1.11
Morton
1.25
Queen of Sth
1.33
Falkirk
1.36
Partick
1.44
Alloa
1.47
Partick is 0.33 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PartickPartick

For 5.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

140635984467776453454859141210141397913A·FALH·DUNA·DUNH·ROSA·ALLA·INVH·QUEH·FALA·DUNH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60124222331241133221113646354532A·FALH·DUNA·DUNH·ROSA·ALLA·INVH·QUEH·FALA·DUNH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 9.4 · Total 21.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

320125156810201281316614771791110717211832212221242017A·FALH·DUNA·DUNH·ROSA·ALLA·INVH·QUEH·FALA·DUNH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 4.6 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

150411524747672106963168615711111312159714A·QUEA·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PARA·AYRA·FALH·AYRH·QUEA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

903231314212121453513533039A·QUEA·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PARA·AYRA·FALH·AYRH·QUEA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

30041012148714961618129813141288614261523223017272014A·QUEA·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PARA·AYRA·FALH·AYRH·QUEA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.09.83.33.33.221.221.221.3
vs Stronger (7)8.78.39.02.71.73.520.616.323.8
vs Similar (40)10.611.39.73.33.53.021.221.720.7
vs Weaker (3)12.312.012.54.34.04.522.725.021.5
% over line60%72%48%40%44%36%42%44%40%
% under line40%28%52%60%56%64%58%56%60%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.59.811.13.63.34.021.821.222.4
vs Stronger (38)10.59.511.33.73.83.622.823.222.4
vs Similar (9)10.411.29.53.31.65.520.017.423.2
vs Weaker (3)10.39.013.03.73.54.014.012.517.0
% over line62%52%72%54%56%52%52%48%56%
% under line38%48%28%46%44%48%48%52%44%
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
11.0
Alloa
10.7
Inverness CT
10.5
Partick
10.4
Dundee Utd
10.2
Ross County
9.9
Ayr
9.8
Falkirk
9.8
Queen of Sth
9.6
Dunfermline
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
4.3
Ross County
3.9
Inverness CT
3.6
Falkirk
3.6
Ayr
3.5
Queen of Sth
3.3
Dunfermline
3.3
Morton
3.3
Partick
3.3
Alloa
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ross County
23.3
Dundee Utd
23.1
Alloa
22.2
Ayr
22.0
Morton
21.9
Dunfermline
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Partick
21.2
Falkirk
21.1
Queen of Sth
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.4%
Under 9.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.1%
Under 3.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.9%
Under 21.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D10W20W10W20W00D10W11DH·MOR29/12A·DUN05/01H·FAL12/01H·QUE26/01A·INV02/02A·ALL16/02H·ROS23/02A·DUN26/02H·DUN09/03A·FAL16/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.800.400.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.480.860.430.310.54
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.000.001.001.50
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D21W30W02L00D10W00D20WA·ROS29/12H·QUE05/01H·AYR12/01A·FAL26/01A·AYR29/01H·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02A·QUE09/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.930.790.750.19
vs Stronger (26)0.770.500.920.830.640.21
vs Similar (4)1.250.251.000.501.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L11D11D01L10W04L03L11D00DH·MOR29/12A·DUN05/01H·FAL12/01H·QUE26/01A·INV02/02A·ALL16/02H·ROS23/02A·DUN26/02H·DUN09/03A·FAL16/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.000.471.000.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.411.040.501.000.311.08
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W01L02L10W01L00D01L00DA·ROS29/12H·QUE05/01H·AYR12/01A·FAL26/01A·AYR29/01H·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02A·QUE09/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.430.570.690.62
vs Stronger (26)0.580.650.500.670.640.64
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners77.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Partick's squad is €2m more valuable than Inverness CT's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
Partick and Inverness CT have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Partick and Inverness CT have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Partick and Inverness CT have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
PAR wins
3
Draws
3
IC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partick vs Inverness CT · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
02/02/19AInverness CT Vs PAR1-2
10/11/18HPAR Vs Inverness CT0-1
15/09/18AInverness CT Vs PAR3-2
11/03/17HPAR Vs Inverness CT1-1
28/01/17AInverness CT Vs PAR0-0
06/08/16HPAR Vs Inverness CT2-0
30/04/16HPAR Vs Inverness CT1-4
23/01/16AInverness CT Vs PAR0-0

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/19AFalkirk Vs PAR1-1
09/03/19HPAR Vs Dundee Utd2-1
26/02/19ADunfermline Vs PAR3-0
23/02/19HPAR Vs Ross County2-4
16/02/19AAlloa Vs PAR0-2
02/02/19AInverness CT Vs PAR1-2
26/01/19HPAR Vs Queen of Sth2-1
12/01/19HPAR Vs Falkirk1-1
05/01/19ADundee Utd Vs PAR1-1
29/12/18HPAR Vs Morton1-2

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/19AQueen of Sth Vs IC0-2
26/02/19ADundee Utd Vs IC1-0
23/02/19HIC Vs Morton1-0
16/02/19ADunfermline Vs IC1-0
02/02/19HIC Vs Partick1-2
29/01/19AAyr Vs IC2-3
26/01/19AFalkirk Vs IC2-2
12/01/19HIC Vs Ayr1-0
05/01/19HIC Vs Queen of Sth1-2
29/12/18ARoss County Vs IC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.02
HomeLDWLW1.36
AwayDWWLD0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals2.502.482.52
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %18%16%20%
Scored0.961.200.72
Conceded1.541.281.80
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners10.4010.969.84
Cards3.263.323.20
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.66
HomeDLWLW1.72
AwayDWLLW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.502.882.12
Over 1.5 %62%72%52%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %34%48%20%
Scored1.521.801.24
Conceded0.981.080.88
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet40%36%44%
Corners10.469.8011.12
Cards3.643.323.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ross CountyRoss County3671
58%
2.0
6334+29
2.7
72%
50%
31%
10.3
64%
4.1
58%
24.0
67%
1
0011.80.9
-
2Dundee UtdDundee Utd3665
53%
1.8
4940+9
2.5
78%
39%
14%
10.9
58%
4.2
69%
22.8
58%
11
4341.41.1
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3656
39%
1.6
4840+8
2.4
64%
50%
28%
11.4
72%
3.8
56%
21.5
53%
1
0001.31.1
-
4
A
Ayr
3654
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
61%
39%
28%
9.0
39%
3.2
44%
22.0
56%
0
0001.41.1
-
5MortonMorton3646
31%
1.3
3645-9
2.2
69%
39%
14%
10.6
58%
3.5
53%
22.4
58%
1
0001.01.2
-
6PartickPartick3643
33%
1.2
4352-9
2.6
78%
53%
19%
10.8
67%
3.5
44%
21.0
36%
3
1111.21.4
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline3641
31%
1.1
3340-7
2.0
47%
36%
19%
9.8
53%
3.3
39%
22.3
61%
4
2020.91.1
-
8
A
Alloa
3639
28%
1.1
3953-14
2.6
75%
50%
22%
11.2
67%
3.0
39%
22.1
53%
0
0001.11.5
-
9
QO
Queen of Sth
3638
25%
1.1
4148-7
2.5
72%
47%
19%
10.2
56%
3.3
39%
20.4
39%
0
0001.11.3
-
10FalkirkFalkirk3638
25%
1.1
3749-12
2.4
78%
36%
17%
10.2
61%
3.6
53%
21.1
47%
6
2131.01.4
-
Scotland: Championship 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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