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Partick vs Morton Result & Analysis

Date: 22/02/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 0-1
Partick
Partick
Vs
43%
35%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Partick win✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied 53.5% · @ 1.74
Edge
-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.42
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Morton win✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.81
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W10W00D02L10W22D11D10W33DA·KIL06/11A·AYR13/11H·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12H·ARB11/12H·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.901.800.472.131.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)2.040.841.920.542.171.17
vs Weaker (5)1.601.201.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D16L12L11D50W20W22D10W21W01LH·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01A·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.371.401.800.730.93
vs Stronger (4)0.751.250.671.001.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.121.381.582.000.710.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%18%028%128%216%37%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.8%
Under 1.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.9%
@ 2.15-17.7%
Under 2.5
74.1%
@ 1.66+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.3%
Under 3.5
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.9%
No
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.4%
1-0
17.3%
1-1
13.9%
0-1 ✓
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
Partick goals ↓
Morton goals →
01234
018%10%4.0%0.9%0.2%
117%14%4.3%1.0%0.2%
210.0%6.8%2.3%0.5%0.1%
33.6%2.5%0.8%0.2%0.0%
41.0%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partick goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Partick is 0.33 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Partick is 0.28 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Partick is 0.19 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PartickPartick

For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

13057537275958736644671289129131012813A·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAIH·ARBA·QUEH·HAMA·AYRA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

601332112141221322321633533525A·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAIH·ARBA·QUEH·HAMA·AYRA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

29061414131111131610999121119101112101120272229191823292321A·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAIH·ARBA·QUEH·HAMA·AYRA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

For 5.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

16052537454462169884474781191031516811A·HAMH·QUEA·INVH·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6013112132442111114235406221A·HAMH·QUEA·INVH·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

240118137101381381113613111248109919202321191924161818A·HAMH·QUEA·INVH·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.311.09.63.43.53.421.520.522.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)10.210.89.73.53.53.521.420.222.8
vs Weaker (9)10.311.89.23.13.52.821.822.221.4
% over line58%56%60%42%44%40%52%44%60%
% under line42%44%40%58%56%60%48%56%40%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.810.52.82.53.220.621.220.0
vs Stronger (9)10.99.612.53.62.45.019.920.219.5
vs Similar (41)10.09.810.12.72.52.820.821.520.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%60%60%34%28%40%36%40%32%
% under line40%40%40%66%72%60%64%60%68%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
10.9
Raith Rvs
10.9
Hamilton
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.5
Partick
10.3
Ayr
10.1
Morton
10.1
Arbroath
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.7
Inverness CT
9.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.3
Inverness CT
3.5
Partick
3.4
Hamilton
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Dunfermline
3.1
Queen of Sth
3.1
Morton
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.4
Hamilton
24.4
Inverness CT
23.4
Arbroath
23.1
Raith Rvs
22.3
Dunfermline
21.7
Partick
21.5
Ayr
21.3
Queen of Sth
21.0
Morton
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.0%
Under 9.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.0%
Under 21.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D00D01L00D10W00D00D22DA·KIL06/11A·AYR13/11H·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12H·ARB11/12H·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.300.730.130.930.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.880.280.850.150.920.42
vs Weaker (5)0.600.400.000.001.000.67
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L00D01L30W10W12L10W00D00DH·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01A·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.530.870.330.33
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.331.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.420.540.580.830.290.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W00D01L10W12L11D10W11DA·KIL06/11A·AYR13/11H·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12H·ARB11/12H·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.601.070.331.200.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.160.561.080.381.250.75
vs Weaker (5)1.000.801.000.001.001.33
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L03L12L10W20W10W10W00D21W01LH·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01A·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.870.930.400.60
vs Stronger (4)0.250.250.330.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.851.001.170.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.589.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards87.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls86.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls75.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.574.1%1.66-----+17.7%✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Partick's squad is €2m more valuable than Morton's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Partick and Morton have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Partick and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Partick and Morton have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
PAR wins
1
Draws
3
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partick vs Morton · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/21AMorton Vs PAR0-0
28/08/21HPAR Vs Morton3-0
28/12/19AMorton Vs PAR1-2
09/11/19HPAR Vs Morton2-1
23/08/19AMorton Vs PAR3-2
30/03/19AMorton Vs PAR0-3
29/12/18HPAR Vs Morton1-2
03/11/18AMorton Vs PAR5-1

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/02/22AInverness CT Vs PAR3-3
01/02/22HPAR Vs Ayr1-0
14/01/22HPAR Vs Kilmarnock1-1
08/01/22AHamilton Vs PAR2-2
18/12/21HPAR Vs Raith Rvs1-0
11/12/21HPAR Vs Arbroath0-2
04/12/21AQueen of Sth Vs PAR0-0
20/11/21HPAR Vs Hamilton1-0
13/11/21AAyr Vs PAR0-4
06/11/21AKilmarnock Vs PAR0-1

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/02/22AHamilton Vs MOR1-0
12/02/22HMOR Vs Queen of Sth2-1
05/02/22AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1
28/01/22HMOR Vs Raith Rvs2-2
15/01/22AAyr Vs MOR0-2
08/01/22HMOR Vs Dunfermline5-0
29/12/21AKilmarnock Vs MOR1-1
18/12/21AArbroath Vs MOR2-1
11/12/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-6
04/12/21HMOR Vs Ayr2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.62
HomeWLWDW1.84
AwayWWDDD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.562.162.96
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.621.521.72
Conceded0.940.641.24
BTTS40%32%48%
Clean Sheet48%56%40%
Corners10.2610.969.56
Cards3.443.483.40
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.06
HomeDLWDW1.04
AwayLDWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%20%24%
AVG goals2.342.881.80
Over 1.5 %66%76%56%
Over 2.5 %40%52%28%
Over 3.5 %26%44%8%
Scored1.001.280.72
Conceded1.341.601.08
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners10.129.7610.48
Cards2.842.523.16

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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