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Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC Result & Analysis

Date: 26/11/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Pécsi MFC
Pécsi MFC
Vs
36%
36%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pécsi MFC win✓ Hit
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L03L04L00D00D10W01L00DH·GYI27/08A·BVS03/09H·CSA24/09A·KOZ27/09H·NYI02/10A·TIS08/10H·BUD22/10A·SZO29/10H·GYO05/11A·SOR12/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.570.860.690.81
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (22)0.730.860.780.780.690.92
vs Weaker (6)0.500.670.331.000.670.33
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L21W22D01L14L00D13L01L22DH·KOZ27/08A·NYI03/09H·TIS24/09A·BUD28/09H·SZO01/10A·GYO08/10H·SOR22/10A·SIO29/10A·SZE05/11H·MTE12/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.100.930.730.931.47
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.001.001.002.50
vs Similar (27)0.961.001.000.710.921.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pécsi MFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%19%028%128%215%37%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.3%
Under 1.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.4%
Under 2.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.9%
Under 3.5
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.8%
No
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.8%
1-0 ✓
15.4%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
Pécsi MFC goals ↓
Budafoki LC goals →
01234
019%13%5.5%1.4%0.3%
115%14%5.2%1.4%0.3%
27.9%6.3%2.5%0.7%0.1%
32.5%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.0%
40.6%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pécsi MFC goals (down), columns = Budafoki LC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Pécsi MFC is 0.24 points worse than Budafoki LC in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Pécsi MFC is 0.50 goals worse than Budafoki LC in terms of goals scored per game (0.59 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Pécsi MFC is 0.15 goals better than Budafoki LC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L00D00D00D00D01L00DH·GYI27/08A·BVS03/09H·CSA24/09A·KOZ27/09H·NYI02/10A·TIS08/10H·BUD22/10A·SZO29/10H·GYO05/11A·SOR12/11
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.330.210.360.380.31
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (22)0.270.270.220.220.310.31
vs Weaker (6)0.500.330.330.330.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W11D00D10W00D02L00D02LH·KOZ27/08A·NYI03/09H·TIS24/09A·BUD28/09H·SZO01/10A·GYO08/10H·SOR22/10A·SIO29/10A·SZE05/11H·MTE12/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.430.470.330.200.53
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.001.000.500.00
vs Similar (27)0.330.440.500.290.150.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Pécsi MFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pécsi MFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L02L04L00D00D10W00D00DH·GYI27/08A·BVS03/09H·CSA24/09A·KOZ27/09H·NYI02/10A·TIS08/10H·BUD22/10A·SZO29/10H·GYO05/11A·SOR12/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.500.360.500.310.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.450.590.560.560.380.62
vs Weaker (6)0.000.330.000.670.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L11D11D01L04L00D11D01L20WH·KOZ27/08A·NYI03/09H·TIS24/09A·BUD28/09H·SZO01/10A·GYO08/10H·SOR22/10A·SIO29/10A·SZE05/11H·MTE12/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.470.400.730.93
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.000.000.502.50
vs Similar (27)0.630.560.500.430.770.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pécsi MFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pécsi MFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.590.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.574.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
PM wins
1
Draws
1
BL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC · H/A from PM
DateH/AGameScore
29/01/23HPM Vs Budafoki LC0-1
07/08/22ABudafoki LC Vs PM2-2

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23ASoroksar Vs PM0-0
05/11/23HPM Vs Gyori ETO FC0-1
29/10/23ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs PM0-1
22/10/23HPM Vs Budapest Honved0-0
08/10/23ATiszakecske FC Vs PM0-0
02/10/23HPM Vs Nyiregyhaza0-4
27/09/23AKozarmisleny FC Vs PM3-0
24/09/23HPM Vs Csakvar0-1
03/09/23ABVSC Vs PM0-0
27/08/23HPM Vs Gyirmot SE0-0

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23HBL Vs MTE 19042-2
05/11/23ASzeged 2011 Vs BL1-0
29/10/23ASiofok Vs BL3-1
22/10/23HBL Vs Soroksar0-0
08/10/23AGyori ETO FC Vs BL4-1
01/10/23HBL Vs Szombathelyi Haladas0-1
28/09/23ABudapest Honved Vs BL2-2
24/09/23HBL Vs Tiszakecske FC2-1
03/09/23ANyiregyhaza Vs BL2-0
27/08/23HBL Vs Kozarmisleny FC1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pécsi MFC
Pécsi MFC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.40
HomeDLLDL1.33
AwayDLDWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals1.501.581.42
Over 1.5 %40%38%42%
Over 2.5 %24%25%23%
Over 3.5 %8%12%4%
Scored0.760.790.73
Conceded0.740.790.69
BTTS30%29%31%
Clean Sheet48%46%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.36
HomeLWLDD1.64
AwayLDLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.202.002.40
Over 1.5 %64%60%68%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored1.101.280.92
Conceded1.100.721.48
BTTS48%40%56%
Clean Sheet38%52%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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