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Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Carmarthen Town Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 3-4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Vs
29%
31%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
Wales: Welsh Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrhiwceiber Rangers win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Penrhiwceiber RangersPenrhiwceiber Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L01L01L12L14L32W31W21W02L10WH·GOY10/08H·CWM17/08A·CAM23/08H·NEW26/08A·AMM07/09H·AFA14/09H·CWM21/09A·BAG28/09H·PON05/10H·TAF12/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.831.121.620.752.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.881.750.831.671.002.00
vs Weaker (4)1.252.002.001.500.502.50
Clean sheet %17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Carmarthen Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D32W11D32W41W13L10W33D20W12LA·CAE06/08H·BAG09/08A·LLA16/08A·AMM23/08H·CAM26/08A·GOY07/09H·NEW14/09A·AFA27/09H·TRE05/10A·TRE12/10
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.331.691.061.431.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.501.861.431.571.572.14
vs Weaker (16)1.620.881.890.671.291.14
Clean sheet %27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Penrhiwceiber Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers goals ↓
Carmarthen Town goals →
01234
012%12%8.1%3.4%1.0%
19.3%15%8.2%3.4%1.0%
25.4%6.7%4.1%1.7%0.5%
31.8%2.2%1.4%0.6%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Penrhiwceiber Rangers goals (down), columns = Carmarthen Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
The New Saints
3.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
llanelli AFC
2.40
Trearddur Bay
2.33
Caersws
2.25
Denbigh Town
2.25
Airbus UK
2.25
Swansea University
2.00
Llantwit Major
2.00
Goytre AFC
2.00
Llanrwst United
2.00
Cardiff Corinthians
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Rogerstone
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Flint Town United
2.00
Trefelin
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.75
Caerau (Ely)
1.75
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Morriston Town
1.67
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Gresford Athletic
1.50
Holyhead Hotspur
1.50
Aber Valley
1.50
Llangollen Town
1.50
Monmouth Town
1.50
Llay Miners Welfare
1.50
Llanrhaeadr
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Briton Ferry
1.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1.50
Kinmel Bay
1.50
Cardiff Bay Warriors
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Newport Corinthians
1.50
Llanefydd
1.50
Llangefni Town
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Cerrigydrudion
1.50
Bala Town
1.33
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Carmarthen Town
1.25
Barry Town
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Newtown AFC
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
Afan Lido
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Goytre United
1.00
Caernarfon Town
1.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.67
Clwb Cymric
0.50
Ruthin Town
0.50
New Inn
0.50
Rhyl
0.50
Risca United
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Prestatyn Town
0.00
Carno
0.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Ynysygerwn
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Gaerwen
0.00
Cwmbran Town
0.00
Ely Rangers
0.00
Chepstow Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Llansannan
0.00
NFA
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Builth Wells
0.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
0.00
St Joseph's
0.00
Llandudno Amateurs
0.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Rhydymwyn
0.00
Corwen
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic
0.00
Caldicot Town
0.00
Brickfield Rangers
0.00
Queens Park
0.00
Talysarn Celts
0.00
West End
0.00
Cwmamman United FC
0.00
Baglan Dragons
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers is 0.25 points better than Carmarthen Town in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
The New Saints
5.83
Gresford Athletic
5.00
Buckley Town
4.50
Llangefni Town
4.50
Cardiff Corinthians
3.50
Caersws
3.50
Denbigh Town
3.50
Flint Town United
3.50
Trefelin
3.33
Llandudno
3.33
Barry Town
3.00
Caerau (Ely)
3.00
Porthmadog
3.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3.00
Kinmel Bay
3.00
Cwmbran Celtic
3.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
3.00
Airbus UK
2.75
Rogerstone
2.67
Llanrhaeadr
2.50
Rhyl
2.50
Swansea University
2.33
Llanrwst United
2.33
Penydarren BGC
2.33
llanelli AFC
2.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.17
Ely Rangers
2.00
Monmouth Town
2.00
Builth Wells
2.00
Briton Ferry
2.00
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2.00
Carmarthen Town
1.75
Bala Town
1.67
Goytre AFC
1.67
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Mold Alexandra
1.67
Aber Valley
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.50
Llanuwchllyn
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Cerrigydrudion
1.50
Trearddur Bay
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Pill AFC
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Risca United
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
1.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Ynysygerwn
1.00
Llangollen Town
1.00
Gaerwen
1.00
Cwmbran Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
NFA
1.00
Llay Miners Welfare
1.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
1.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Morriston Town
1.00
Cardiff MET
1.00
Ammanford AFC
1.00
Caldicot Town
1.00
Brickfield Rangers
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Talysarn Celts
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Cwmamman United FC
1.00
Baglan Dragons
1.00
Clwb Cymric
0.50
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.50
New Inn
0.50
Newport Corinthians
0.50
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Taffs Well
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Prestatyn Town
0.00
Carno
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Chepstow Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Llansannan
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
St Joseph's
0.00
Llandudno Amateurs
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Rhydymwyn
0.00
Corwen
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
West End
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers is 1.25 goals better than Carmarthen Town in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Holyhead Hotspur
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
llanelli AFC
0.40
The New Saints
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.50
Cardiff Draconians
0.50
Trearddur Bay
0.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Morriston Town
0.67
Taffs Well
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Llantwit Major
1.00
Penybont
1.00
Chepstow Town
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
Llay Miners Welfare
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Llwydcoed
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Rhydymwyn
1.00
Corwen
1.00
Denbigh Town
1.00
Briton Ferry
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Cerrigydrudion
1.00
Bala Town
1.33
Swansea University
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Aber Valley
1.50
Ruthin Town
1.50
Monmouth Town
1.50
Llanrhaeadr
1.50
Caerau (Ely)
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Airbus UK
1.50
Flint Town United
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Llanrwst United
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Trefelin
1.67
Caersws
1.75
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
2.00
Newport City
2.00
Clwb Cymric
2.00
Llanuwchllyn
2.00
Cardiff Corinthians
2.00
Carmarthen Town
2.00
St Asaph City
2.00
Llansannan
2.00
NFA
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
New Inn
2.00
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2.00
Caldicot Town
2.00
Penrhyncoch
2.00
Talysarn Celts
2.00
West End
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Colwyn Bay
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.50
Kinmel Bay
2.50
Newport Corinthians
2.50
Llangefni Town
2.50
Goytre AFC
2.67
Barry Town
3.00
Ynysygerwn
3.00
Cwmbran Town
3.00
Ely Rangers
3.00
St Joseph's
3.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
3.00
Brickfield Rangers
3.00
Cwmamman United FC
3.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
3.00
Rogerstone
3.67
Risca United
4.00
Carno
4.00
Llanberis
4.00
Llandudno Amateurs
4.00
Cwmbran Celtic
4.00
Rhyl
4.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
5.00
Guilsfield
5.00
Baglan Dragons
5.00
Cefn Albion
5.00
Queens Park
6.00
Gaerwen
7.00
Builth Wells
7.00
Llangollen Town
8.00
Prestatyn Town
9.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers is 0.50 goals worse than Carmarthen Town in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers or Draw✗ Miss
59.8%
Avg Implied -
29%
31%
40%
covers Penrhiwceiber Rangers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers or Carmarthen Town✓ Hit
68.9%
Avg Implied -
29%
31%
40%
covers Penrhiwceiber Rangers + Carmarthen Town
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Carmarthen Town✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied -
29%
31%
40%
covers Draw + Carmarthen Town
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.2%
Under
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Penrhiwceiber Rangers, so a minus line means Penrhiwceiber Rangers give that many goals of a start and Carmarthen Town receive them. At -1, Penrhiwceiber Rangers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Penrhiwceiber Rangers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Penrhiwceiber Rangers)Actual: Carmarthen Town
Penrhiwceiber Rangers -2
3.2%
Draw -2
8.0%
Carmarthen Town +2
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Penrhiwceiber Rangers)Actual: Carmarthen Town
Penrhiwceiber Rangers -1
11.1%
Draw -1
17.5%
Carmarthen Town +1
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Penrhiwceiber Rangers)Actual: Draw
Penrhiwceiber Rangers +1
59.8%
Draw +1
21.9%
Carmarthen Town -1
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Penrhiwceiber Rangers)Actual: Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Penrhiwceiber Rangers +2
81.7%
Draw +2
12.1%
Carmarthen Town -2
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Penrhiwceiber RangersPenrhiwceiber Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L00D11D22D31W11D01L10WH·GOY10/08H·CWM17/08A·CAM23/08H·NEW26/08A·AMM07/09H·AFA14/09H·CWM21/09A·BAG28/09H·PON05/10H·TAF12/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.750.750.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.880.500.830.501.00
vs Weaker (4)1.000.751.500.500.501.00
Clean sheet %25% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Carmarthen Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W00D31W30W12L00D30W10W12LA·CAE06/08H·BAG09/08A·LLA16/08A·AMM23/08H·CAM26/08A·GOY07/09H·NEW14/09A·AFA27/09H·TRE05/10A·TRE12/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.690.381.210.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.000.860.710.571.291.14
vs Weaker (16)0.880.310.670.221.140.43
Clean sheet %60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Penrhiwceiber Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Penrhiwceiber RangersPenrhiwceiber Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L00D00D12L03L10W00D10W01L00DH·GOY10/08H·CWM17/08A·CAM23/08H·NEW26/08A·AMM07/09H·AFA14/09H·CWM21/09A·BAG28/09H·PON05/10H·TAF12/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.380.880.251.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.880.330.830.501.00
vs Weaker (4)0.251.250.501.000.001.50
Clean sheet %58% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Carmarthen Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L22D11D01L11D01L10W03L10W00DA·CAE06/08H·BAG09/08A·LLA16/08A·AMM23/08H·CAM26/08A·GOY07/09H·NEW14/09A·AFA27/09H·TRE05/10A·TRE12/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.771.000.690.210.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.501.000.711.000.291.00
vs Weaker (16)0.750.561.220.440.140.71
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Penrhiwceiber Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carmarthen Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.2%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.3%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals96.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.592.2%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals91.8%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap88.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals87.1%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap81.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.0%-------✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals73.3%-------✗ Miss
Draw or Away71.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap71.3%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals71.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
NC (4)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
BT (6)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PR wins
0
Draws
0
CT wins

Head-to-head

Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Carmarthen Town · H/A from PR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Penrhiwceiber RangersPenrhiwceiber Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/24HPR Vs Taffs Well1-0
05/10/24HPR Vs Pontypridd Town0-2
28/09/24ABaglan Dragons Vs PR1-2
21/09/24HPR Vs Cwmbran Town3-1
14/09/24HPR Vs Afan Lido3-2
07/09/24AAmmanford AFC Vs PR4-1
26/08/24HPR Vs Newport City1-2
23/08/24ACambrian & Clydach Vs PR1-0
17/08/24HPR Vs Cwmbran Celtic0-1
10/08/24HPR Vs Goytre United1-5

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/24ATrefelin Vs CT2-1
05/10/24HCT Vs Trethomas Bluebirds2-0
27/09/24AAfan Lido Vs CT3-3
14/09/24HCT Vs Newport City1-0
07/09/24AGoytre United Vs CT3-1
26/08/24HCT Vs Cambrian & Clydach4-1
23/08/24AAmmanford AFC Vs CT2-3
16/08/24Allanelli AFC Vs CT1-1
09/08/24HCT Vs Baglan Dragons3-2
06/08/24ACaerau (Ely) Vs CT2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.08
HomeLWWLW1.25
AwayLLLW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%38%25%
AVG goals2.832.753.00
Over 1.5 %67%62%75%
Over 2.5 %58%50%75%
Over 3.5 %33%38%25%
Scored1.001.120.75
Conceded1.831.622.25
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet17%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.70
HomeLWWWW2.00
AwayDWLDL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals3.063.003.12
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.842.041.65
Conceded1.220.961.46
BTTS58%50%65%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3081
87%
2.7
8822+66
3.7
87%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.90.7
-
2Airbus UKAirbus UK3078
83%
2.6
10230+72
4.4
93%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
3llanelli AFCllanelli AFC3064
60%
2.1
6425+39
3.0
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.8
-
4Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds3059
57%
2.0
5333+20
2.9
73%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5HolywellHolywell3057
60%
1.9
5641+15
3.2
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
6Newport CityNewport City3054
53%
1.8
5032+18
2.7
73%
57%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7TrefelinTrefelin3053
50%
1.8
5441+13
3.2
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
8Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3053
53%
1.8
5444+10
3.3
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach3050
43%
1.7
5038+12
2.9
73%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
10LlandudnoLlandudno3049
50%
1.6
6560+5
4.2
97%
77%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.0
-
11Buckley TownBuckley Town3047
47%
1.6
4847+1
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
12Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town3045
40%
1.5
5544+11
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13GuilsfieldGuilsfield3045
43%
1.5
5952+7
3.7
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
14Flint MountainFlint Mountain3044
43%
1.5
6856+12
4.1
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.9
-
15Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra3044
43%
1.5
5248+4
3.3
83%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
16Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons3043
37%
1.4
4434+10
2.6
73%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
17Denbigh TownDenbigh Town3043
40%
1.4
6862+6
4.3
97%
77%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.1
-
18Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major3043
37%
1.4
3734+3
2.4
67%
37%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
19PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch3040
37%
1.3
4852-4
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
20Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3038
37%
1.3
4467-23
3.7
80%
63%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
21Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC3036
37%
1.2
4750-3
3.2
87%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
22Afan LidoAfan Lido3034
27%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
87%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
23CaerswsCaersws3034
33%
1.1
4755-8
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
24Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)3032
30%
1.1
4243-1
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
25Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic3030
30%
1.0
3962-23
3.4
77%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
26Ruthin TownRuthin Town3029
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
77%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
27Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC3028
27%
0.9
4664-18
3.7
90%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
28Penrhiwceiber RangersPenrhiwceiber Rangers3028
23%
0.9
3057-27
2.9
73%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
29Goytre UnitedGoytre United3023
20%
0.8
4172-31
3.8
90%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.4
-
30Taffs WellTaffs Well3015
10%
0.5
3276-44
3.6
93%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
31Llay Miners WelfareLlay Miners Welfare3014
10%
0.5
3584-49
4.0
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.8
-
32Prestatyn TownPrestatyn Town3013
13%
0.4
38105-67
4.8
90%
80%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.5
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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