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Penya Encarnada vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Result & Analysis

Date: 07/05/2023
Time: 11:30
Final 0-3
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Vs
21%
30%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penya Encarnada win✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L22D01L11D30W01L11D41W21W00DA·FC 05/02H·INT12/02A·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02A·ORD05/03H·ATL12/03A·ORD02/04H·UE 16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.680.921.250.922.08
vs Stronger (13)0.772.541.001.620.404.00
vs Similar (12)1.080.750.750.501.250.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %16% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L61W30W61W12L10W10W11D31W20WA·UE 05/02H·UE 12/02A·FC 19/02H·ORD26/02H·INT05/03A·PEN12/03A·FC 02/04H·ORD16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.040.672.400.731.580.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.311.001.001.201.500.88
vs Weaker (14)2.710.363.100.501.750.00
Clean sheet %48% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.0%
Under 1.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.9%
Under 2.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.0%
0-3 ✓
4.9%
Penya Encarnada goals ↓
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals →
01234
013%14%11%4.9%1.7%
17.9%14%8.6%3.9%1.3%
23.6%5.0%3.4%1.6%0.5%
31.0%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.1%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Penya Encarnada goals (down), columns = Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
3.00
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.18
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.18
FC Santa Coloma
1.89
UE Santa Coloma
1.50
Penya Encarnada
0.96
UE Engordany
0.87
Ordino
0.71
UE Sant Julia
0.57
Penya Encarnada is 1.21 points worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (0.96 vs 2.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.71
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.32
Carroi
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.43
Ordino
1.07
Penya Encarnada
0.89
UE Sant Julia
0.82
UE Engordany
0.73
Penya Encarnada is 1.43 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 2.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.68
FC Santa Coloma
0.68
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.82
UE Santa Coloma
1.04
Penya Encarnada
1.64
Ordino
2.00
UE Engordany
2.17
UE Sant Julia
2.96
Penya Encarnada is 0.96 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 0.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D01L00D10W01L01L10W10W00DA·FC 05/02H·INT12/02A·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02A·ORD05/03H·ATL12/03A·ORD02/04H·UE 16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.280.640.170.250.381.00
vs Stronger (13)0.150.850.250.380.001.60
vs Similar (12)0.420.420.000.000.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D11D10W10W00D10W00D20WA·UE 05/02H·UE 12/02A·FC 19/02H·ORD26/02H·INT05/03A·PEN12/03A·FC 02/04H·ORD16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.650.121.000.130.180.09
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.230.080.400.000.120.12
vs Weaker (13)1.080.151.300.200.330.00
Clean sheet %88% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D22D00D11D20W00D10W31W11D00DA·FC 05/02H·INT12/02A·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02A·ORD05/03H·ATL12/03A·ORD02/04H·UE 16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.641.040.751.000.541.08
vs Stronger (13)0.621.690.751.250.402.40
vs Similar (12)0.670.330.750.500.620.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L40W30W50W02L00D10W01L31W00DA·UE 05/02H·UE 12/02A·FC 19/02H·ORD26/02H·INT05/03A·PEN12/03A·FC 02/04H·ORD16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.350.581.400.601.270.55
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.920.601.201.380.75
vs Weaker (13)1.620.231.800.301.000.00
Clean sheet %54% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
Penya Encarnada and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
ORD (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
Penya Encarnada and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ORD (4)
€0m
Penya Encarnada and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
Penya Encarnada and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
PE wins
0
Draws
3
ACD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Penya Encarnada vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes · H/A from PE
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/23HPE Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-1
04/12/22AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PE4-0
16/10/22AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PE3-0

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23HPE Vs UE Engordany0-0
23/04/23AUE Sant Julia Vs PE1-2
16/04/23HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma4-1
02/04/23AOrdino Vs PE1-1
12/03/23HPE Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-1
05/03/23AOrdino Vs PE0-3
26/02/23HPE Vs UE Sant Julia1-1
19/02/23AUE Engordany Vs PE1-0
12/02/23HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-2
05/02/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs PE3-2

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23HACD Vs UE Sant Julia2-0
23/04/23AUE Santa Coloma Vs ACD1-3
16/04/23HACD Vs Ordino1-1
02/04/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs ACD0-1
12/03/23APenya Encarnada Vs ACD0-1
05/03/23HACD Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes1-2
26/02/23HACD Vs Ordino6-1
19/02/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs ACD0-3
12/02/23HACD Vs UE Sant Julia6-1
05/02/23AUE Santa Coloma Vs ACD2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD0.96
HomeDDLWD1.00
AwayLLWDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%17%23%
AVG goals2.602.173.00
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %40%25%54%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored0.920.920.92
Conceded1.681.252.08
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.07
HomeWWLDW2.07
AwayLWWWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%60%58%
AVG goals2.703.132.17
Over 1.5 %74%80%67%
Over 2.5 %48%53%42%
Over 3.5 %26%33%17%
Scored2.042.401.58
Conceded0.670.730.58
BTTS44%53%33%
Clean Sheet48%40%58%
Corners9.009.00-
Cards11.0011.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2861
64%
2.2
7623+53
3.5
82%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.70.8
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2861
64%
2.2
6519+46
3.0
79%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.30.7
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2853
54%
1.9
5519+36
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2112.00.7
-
4UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2842
36%
1.5
4029+11
2.5
75%
43%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2827
21%
1.0
2546-21
2.5
75%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
6UE EngordanyUE Engordany3026
23%
0.9
2265-43
2.9
77%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
7OrdinoOrdino2820
14%
0.7
3056-26
3.1
79%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.0
-
8UE Sant JuliaUE Sant Julia2816
14%
0.6
2383-60
3.8
93%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.0
-
9CarroiCarroi26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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