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Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma Result & Analysis

Date: 19/05/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 2-0
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Vs
11%
25%
64%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Santa Coloma
FC Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penya Encarnada win✓ Hit
11.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma win✗ Miss
64.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D30W01L11D41W21W00D03L01LA·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02A·ORD05/03H·ATL12/03A·ORD02/04H·UE 16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04H·ATL07/05A·INT14/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.851.700.851.380.862.00
vs Stronger (15)0.672.470.891.780.333.50
vs Similar (12)1.080.750.750.501.250.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L11D30W40W01L00D70W31W00D40WH·ATL19/02H·INT26/02A·UE 04/03H·UE 12/03H·ATL02/04A·INT16/04A·UE 23/04H·ORD30/04A·UE 07/05H·UE 14/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.040.632.070.932.000.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.921.001.290.200.40
vs Weaker (15)3.130.403.140.573.120.25
Clean sheet %56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.1%
Under 2.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.4%
Under 3.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.8%
No
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
Penya Encarnada goals ↓
FC Santa Coloma goals →
01234
010%15%14%8.5%3.7%
14.7%11%8.8%5.2%2.3%
21.8%3.1%2.7%1.6%0.7%
30.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
40.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Penya Encarnada goals (down), columns = FC Santa Coloma goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
3.00
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.18
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.18
FC Santa Coloma
1.89
UE Santa Coloma
1.50
Penya Encarnada
0.96
UE Engordany
0.87
Ordino
0.71
UE Sant Julia
0.57
Penya Encarnada is 0.93 points worse than FC Santa Coloma in terms of average points per game (0.96 vs 1.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.71
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.32
Carroi
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.43
Ordino
1.07
Penya Encarnada
0.89
UE Sant Julia
0.82
UE Engordany
0.73
Penya Encarnada is 1.07 goals worse than FC Santa Coloma in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.96).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.68
FC Santa Coloma
0.68
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.82
UE Santa Coloma
1.04
Penya Encarnada
1.64
Ordino
2.00
UE Engordany
2.17
UE Sant Julia
2.96
Penya Encarnada is 0.96 goals worse than FC Santa Coloma in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 0.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W01L01L10W10W00D01L01LA·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02A·ORD05/03H·ATL12/03A·ORD02/04H·UE 16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04H·ATL07/05A·INT14/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.260.670.150.310.361.00
vs Stronger (15)0.130.870.220.440.001.50
vs Similar (12)0.420.420.000.000.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W10W00D00D30W10W00D10WH·ATL19/02H·INT26/02A·UE 04/03H·UE 12/03H·ATL02/04A·INT16/04A·UE 23/04H·ORD30/04A·UE 07/05H·UE 14/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.040.710.000.750.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.000.710.000.000.00
vs Weaker (14)1.000.070.710.001.290.14
Clean sheet %96% (+64pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D20W00D10W31W11D00D02L00DA·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02A·ORD05/03H·ATL12/03A·ORD02/04H·UE 16/04A·UE 23/04H·UE 30/04H·ATL07/05A·INT14/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.040.691.080.501.00
vs Stronger (15)0.531.600.671.330.332.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.330.750.500.620.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L20W30W01L00D40W21W00D30WH·ATL19/02H·INT26/02A·UE 04/03H·UE 12/03H·ATL02/04A·INT16/04A·UE 23/04H·ORD30/04A·UE 07/05H·UE 14/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.621.360.931.170.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.920.291.290.200.40
vs Weaker (14)2.140.362.430.571.860.14
Clean sheet %58% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
Penya Encarnada and FC Santa Coloma have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
ORD (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
Penya Encarnada and FC Santa Coloma have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ORD (4)
€0m
Penya Encarnada and FC Santa Coloma have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
Penya Encarnada and FC Santa Coloma have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
PE wins
0
Draws
3
FSC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma · H/A from PE
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs PE3-2
20/11/22HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-3
09/10/22HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE1-0
07/05/23HPE Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-3
30/04/23HPE Vs UE Engordany0-0
23/04/23AUE Sant Julia Vs PE1-2
16/04/23HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma4-1
02/04/23AOrdino Vs PE1-1
12/03/23HPE Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-1
05/03/23AOrdino Vs PE0-3
26/02/23HPE Vs UE Sant Julia1-1
19/02/23AUE Engordany Vs PE1-0

FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HFSC Vs UE Sant Julia4-0
07/05/23AUE Santa Coloma Vs FSC0-0
30/04/23HFSC Vs Ordino3-1
23/04/23AUE Engordany Vs FSC0-7
16/04/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs FSC0-0
02/04/23HFSC Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-1
12/03/23HFSC Vs UE Sant Julia4-0
04/03/23AUE Engordany Vs FSC0-3
26/02/23HFSC Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes1-1
19/02/23HFSC Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL0.89
HomeDLWDL0.92
AwayLWDWL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%15%21%
AVG goals2.562.232.86
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %41%31%50%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored0.850.850.86
Conceded1.701.382.00
BTTS41%46%36%
Clean Sheet15%15%14%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Santa Coloma
FC Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW1.96
HomeDWLWW1.79
AwayDWDWD2.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%50%62%
AVG goals2.673.002.31
Over 1.5 %70%79%62%
Over 2.5 %56%57%54%
Over 3.5 %30%43%15%
Scored2.042.072.00
Conceded0.630.930.31
BTTS33%43%23%
Clean Sheet56%36%77%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2861
64%
2.2
7623+53
3.5
82%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.70.8
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2861
64%
2.2
6519+46
3.0
79%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.30.7
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2853
54%
1.9
5519+36
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2112.00.7
-
4UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2842
36%
1.5
4029+11
2.5
75%
43%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2827
21%
1.0
2546-21
2.5
75%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
6UE EngordanyUE Engordany3026
23%
0.9
2265-43
2.9
77%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
7OrdinoOrdino2820
14%
0.7
3056-26
3.1
79%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.0
-
8UE Sant JuliaUE Sant Julia2816
14%
0.6
2383-60
3.8
93%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.0
-
9CarroiCarroi26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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