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Penya Encarnada vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Result & Analysis

Date: 04/02/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 0-2
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Vs
23%
26%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inter Club d
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penya Encarnada win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes win✓ Hit
51.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W24L11D20W12L30W01L03L02L60WH·ORD22/10A·INT29/10H·ATL04/11A·CAR11/11H·UE 25/11A·ESP03/12A·ORD10/12A·ATL17/12H·FC 21/01H·ATL28/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.501.001.431.29
vs Stronger (14)1.141.711.221.441.002.20
vs Similar (15)1.730.671.830.501.670.78
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W42W20W60W30W30W60W31W00D20WA·CAR22/10H·PEN29/10A·ESP05/11H·ATL12/11A·PAS26/11A·ATL02/12H·ESP10/12H·CAR17/12A·UE 21/01H·PAS28/01
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.400.832.360.362.441.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.211.001.290.291.141.71
vs Weaker (16)3.440.693.430.433.440.89
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2 ✓
8.7%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
Penya Encarnada goals ↓
Inter Club d'Escaldes goals →
01234
06.6%8.7%8.7%5.2%2.3%
15.1%12%9.8%5.8%2.6%
23.5%6.2%5.5%3.2%1.4%
31.3%2.3%2.0%1.2%0.5%
40.4%0.6%0.6%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Penya Encarnada goals (down), columns = Inter Club d'Escaldes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UE Santa Coloma
2.44
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.33
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.22
FC Santa Coloma
2.19
Penya Encarnada
1.63
Ranger's
1.50
Ordino
1.33
Pas de la Casa
0.67
Carroi
0.55
Esperança d'Andorra
0.52
Atlètic Amèrica
0.41
Penya Encarnada is 0.70 points worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.63
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.44
FC Santa Coloma
2.37
UE Santa Coloma
2.11
Penya Encarnada
1.67
Ordino
1.22
Esperança d'Andorra
1.00
Pas de la Casa
0.89
Atlètic Amèrica
0.81
Carroi
0.69
Ranger's
0.50
Penya Encarnada is 0.78 goals worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.44
Ranger's
0.50
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.59
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.78
FC Santa Coloma
0.85
Ordino
1.07
Penya Encarnada
1.26
Pas de la Casa
1.70
Carroi
2.69
Esperança d'Andorra
3.00
Atlètic Amèrica
3.30
Penya Encarnada is 0.67 goals worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L10W12L10W00D01L00D20WH·ORD22/10A·INT29/10H·ATL04/11A·CAR11/11H·UE 25/11A·ESP03/12A·ORD10/12A·ATL17/12H·FC 21/01H·ATL28/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.440.380.640.64
vs Stronger (14)0.290.640.220.560.400.80
vs Similar (15)0.730.400.670.170.780.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W11D10W50W20W20W40W30W00D00DA·CAR22/10H·PEN29/10A·ESP05/11H·ATL12/11A·PAS26/11A·ATL02/12H·ESP10/12H·CAR17/12A·UE 21/01H·PAS28/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.401.470.131.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.500.860.000.291.00
vs Weaker (16)1.810.312.000.251.620.38
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W13L10W10W00D20W01L02L02L40WH·ORD22/10A·INT29/10H·ATL04/11A·CAR11/11H·UE 25/11A·ESP03/12A·ORD10/12A·ATL17/12H·FC 21/01H·ATL28/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.060.620.790.64
vs Stronger (14)0.861.071.000.890.601.40
vs Similar (15)1.000.271.170.330.890.22
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W31W10W10W10W10W20W01L00D20WA·CAR22/10H·PEN29/10A·ESP05/11H·ATL12/11A·PAS26/11A·ATL02/12H·ESP10/12H·CAR17/12A·UE 21/01H·PAS28/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.470.730.271.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.500.430.290.860.71
vs Weaker (16)1.440.441.000.251.880.62
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
Penya Encarnada's squad is €1m less valuable than Inter Club d'Escaldes's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Penya Encarnada's attack is €1m less valuable than Inter Club d'Escaldes's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Penya Encarnada and Inter Club d'Escaldes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
Penya Encarnada and Inter Club d'Escaldes have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
PE wins
1
Draws
4
ICD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Penya Encarnada vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · H/A from PE
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE4-2
14/05/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE1-0
12/02/23HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-2
13/11/22AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE8-0
23/10/22AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-0

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/24HPE Vs Atlètic Amèrica6-0
21/01/24HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
17/12/23AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PE3-0
10/12/23AOrdino Vs PE1-0
03/12/23AEsperança d'Andorra Vs PE0-3
25/11/23HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma1-2
11/11/23ACarroi Vs PE0-2
04/11/23HPE Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1-1
29/10/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE4-2
22/10/23HPE Vs Ordino2-1

Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/24HICD Vs Pas de la Casa2-0
21/01/24AUE Santa Coloma Vs ICD0-0
17/12/23HICD Vs Carroi3-1
10/12/23HICD Vs Esperança d'Andorra6-0
02/12/23AAtlètic Amèrica Vs ICD0-3
26/11/23APas de la Casa Vs ICD0-3
12/11/23HICD Vs Atlètic Amèrica6-0
05/11/23AEsperança d'Andorra Vs ICD0-2
29/10/23HICD Vs Penya Encarnada4-2
22/10/23ACarroi Vs ICD1-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.19
HomeWDLLW1.33
AwayLWWLL1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%33%29%
AVG goals2.572.382.76
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %40%33%48%
Over 3.5 %19%14%24%
Scored1.121.241.00
Conceded1.451.141.76
BTTS38%43%33%
Clean Sheet26%29%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Inter Club d
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.14
HomeWWWWW2.38
AwayWWWWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%75%54%
AVG goals3.443.173.69
Over 1.5 %84%71%96%
Over 2.5 %66%46%85%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored2.522.582.46
Conceded0.920.581.23
BTTS48%38%58%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners8.296.5010.67
Cards5.715.755.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2766
74%
2.4
5712+45
2.6
78%
52%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.4
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2763
74%
2.3
6616+50
3.0
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.40.6
-
3Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2760
70%
2.2
7121+50
3.4
81%
59%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.60.8
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2759
70%
2.2
6423+41
3.2
81%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2112.40.9
-
5Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2744
48%
1.6
4534+11
2.9
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.71.3
-
6OrdinoOrdino2736
37%
1.3
3329+4
2.3
74%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2718
11%
0.7
2446-22
2.6
74%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.7
-
8CarroiCarroi2916
14%
0.6
2078-58
3.4
86%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.72.7
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2714
15%
0.5
2781-54
4.0
93%
70%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.03.0
-
10Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica2711
11%
0.4
2289-67
4.1
85%
74%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.3
-
11RangerRanger's23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.50.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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