PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Penya Encarnada vs Ranger's Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2026
Time: 09:00
Final 1-2
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Vs
16%
26%
59%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ranger
Ranger's
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Penya Encarnada a 16% win probability against Ranger's in the Andorra: 1a Divisió on 2026-05-10, with 26% for the draw and 59% for Ranger's. The model estimates around 2.5 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 0-1 the most likely scoreline (13.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (76%), Over 1.5 (72%).

Results analysis

Penya Encarnada finished 1-2 against Ranger's (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 16% home win, 26% draw and 59% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (76%), Over 1.5 (72%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penya Encarnada win✗ Miss
15.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ranger's win✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L10W21W01L00D12L01L10W02L10WA·RAN24/01H·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.531.201.670.871.40
vs Stronger (17)0.532.180.622.250.442.11
vs Similar (8)1.621.001.601.201.670.67
vs Weaker (5)1.800.202.500.501.330.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangerRanger's

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W40W30W20W11D12L21W31W21W35LH·ORD18/01H·PEN24/01A·CAR08/02A·ATL14/02A·ESP22/02H·UE 01/03A·ORD07/03H·ATL11/04A·CAR19/04H·INT25/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.902.211.141.690.69
vs Stronger (4)1.502.501.673.001.001.00
vs Similar (11)1.361.001.171.001.601.00
vs Weaker (15)2.470.403.800.201.800.50
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-2 ✓
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
Penya Encarnada goals ↓
Ranger's goals →
01234
09.3%13%12%6.9%3.0%
15.3%12%9.5%5.4%2.3%
22.5%4.3%3.7%2.1%0.9%
30.7%1.1%1.0%0.6%0.2%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Penya Encarnada goals (down), columns = Ranger's goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Penya Encarnada is 1.00 points worse than Ranger's in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Penya Encarnada is 1.12 goals worse than Ranger's in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 1.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Penya Encarnada is 0.79 goals worse than Ranger's in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L00D00D00D10W01L00DA·RAN24/01H·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.330.530.400.40
vs Stronger (17)0.240.710.250.750.220.67
vs Similar (8)0.500.250.400.400.670.00
vs Weaker (5)0.600.000.500.000.670.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangerRanger's

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D20W20W10W10W00D10W01L23LH·ORD18/01H·PEN24/01A·CAR08/02A·ATL14/02A·ESP22/02H·UE 01/03A·ORD07/03H·ATL11/04A·CAR19/04H·INT25/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.500.930.570.810.44
vs Stronger (4)0.751.750.672.001.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.640.450.500.330.800.60
vs Weaker (15)1.070.201.600.000.800.30
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (42)
€7m
USC (42)
€5m
PE (27)
€3m
ORD (45)
€3m
CAR (29)
€3m
ED (26)
€3m
SE (29)
€0m
PDL (36)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
PE wins
1
Draws
4
RAN wins

Head-to-head

Penya Encarnada vs Ranger's · H/A from PE
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/26ARanger's Vs PE4-0
23/11/25HPE Vs Ranger's1-3
01/03/25ARanger's Vs PE6-2
08/12/24HPE Vs Ranger's0-0
02/11/24HPE Vs Ranger's0-6

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26AOrdino Vs PE0-1
18/04/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
13/04/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs PE0-1
21/03/26HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-1
01/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-1
22/02/26HPE Vs Carroi0-0
14/02/26HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-1
07/02/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma2-1
01/02/26HPE Vs Esperança d'Andorra1-0
24/01/26ARanger's Vs PE4-0

RangerRanger's

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HRAN Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes3-5
19/04/26ACarroi Vs RAN1-2
11/04/26HRAN Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes3-1
07/03/26AOrdino Vs RAN1-2
01/03/26HRAN Vs UE Santa Coloma1-2
22/02/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs RAN1-1
14/02/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs RAN0-2
08/02/26ACarroi Vs RAN0-3
24/01/26HRAN Vs Penya Encarnada4-0
18/01/26HRAN Vs Ordino4-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.16
HomeWLDLL1.24
AwayDLLWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.682.522.84
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.661.481.84
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Ranger
Ranger's
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.86
HomeWWLWL1.91
AwayWWDWW1.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%59%50%
AVG goals2.883.412.46
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %52%68%39%
Over 3.5 %34%50%21%
Scored2.062.361.82
Conceded0.821.050.64
BTTS42%45%39%
Clean Sheet48%41%54%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches