This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.17
1.31
0.88
0.86
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.30
1.50
1.40
1.00
1.20
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.00
1.00
1.27
0.82
0.67
1.22
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.77-4.3%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 2.04+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
Pescara goals ↓
Empoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.6%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
1
9.7%
13%
6.7%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.3%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.3%
4.8%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pescara goals (down), columns = Empoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Pescara is 0.24 points worse than Empoli in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Pescara is 0.03 goals better than Empoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Pescara is 0.18 goals worse than Empoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pescara
For 5.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 16.1 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Empoli
For 6.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 15.0 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pescara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.4
8.8
4.9
5.0
4.8
29.9
30.2
29.5
vs Stronger (10)
10.4
11.0
9.8
3.3
2.8
3.8
30.5
27.8
33.2
vs Similar (38)
9.3
10.2
8.4
5.3
5.6
5.0
29.5
30.8
28.1
vs Weaker (2)
10.5
-
10.5
5.0
-
5.0
33.5
-
33.5
% over line
42%
56%
28%
70%
76%
64%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
58%
44%
72%
30%
24%
36%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.0
10.5
4.1
4.5
3.6
27.2
28.7
25.7
vs Stronger (9)
9.2
10.3
8.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
21.9
22.7
21.5
vs Similar (19)
9.5
7.1
12.1
4.0
4.1
3.9
25.0
25.5
24.4
vs Weaker (22)
10.0
10.1
10.0
4.3
5.0
3.3
31.3
32.5
29.7
% over line
54%
50%
58%
56%
65%
46%
74%
77%
71%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
44%
35%
54%
26%
23%
29%
This opponent (Pescara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
10.9
Crotone
10.8
Cittadella
10.7
Perugia
10.4
Pordenone
10.3
Virtus Entella
10.1
Frosinone
9.9
Spezia
9.9
Livorno
9.8
Venezia
9.8
Cremonese
9.7
Empoli
9.7
Pescara
9.6
Cosenza
9.3
Benevento
9.3
Chievo
9.3
Pisa
9.3
Trapani
9.1
Salernitana
9.0
Ascoli
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pisa
6.7
Juve Stabia
6.5
Livorno
6.0
Ascoli
5.9
Salernitana
5.7
Pordenone
5.5
Chievo
5.5
Cosenza
5.4
Cittadella
5.4
Benevento
5.4
Virtus Entella
5.4
Spezia
5.4
Trapani
5.3
Venezia
5.3
Frosinone
5.3
Crotone
5.2
Perugia
5.0
Pescara
4.9
Cremonese
4.7
Empoli
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Salernitana
34.1
Pisa
33.5
Livorno
33.5
Juve Stabia
33.4
Cittadella
32.4
Perugia
32.2
Frosinone
32.0
Virtus Entella
32.0
Chievo
31.6
Crotone
31.6
Cosenza
31.5
Pordenone
31.4
Benevento
31.2
Ascoli
31.0
Venezia
30.7
Trapani
30.0
Pescara
29.9
Spezia
29.7
Cremonese
28.6
Empoli
27.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.0%
Under 3.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.4%
Under 21.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pescara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.83
0.42
0.58
0.27
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.75
0.56
0.43
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.20
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
0.60
0.90
0.82
0.73
0.33
1.11
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pescara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pescara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
1.27
0.80
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.87
1.25
0.75
0.73
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.33
0.56
0.31
0.43
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.40
0.10
0.45
0.09
0.33
0.11
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pescara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pescara · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lorenzo Insigne38%
Antonio Di Nardo26%
Giacomo Olzer21%
Lorenzo Meazzi19%
Andrea Oliveri13%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Davide Merola9%
Riccardo Tonin9%
Gennaro Acampora8%
Davide Faraoni8%
Andrea Cagnano8%
Fabrizio Caligara7%
Lorenzo Sgarbi7%
Gastón Brugman6%
Matteo Dagasso5%
Gaetano Letizia3%
Riccardo Capellini3%
Luca Valzania3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Riccardo Brosco0%
Davide Bettella0%
Andreaw Gravillon0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Flavio Russo0%
Julian Brandes0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Lorenzo Berardi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrea Cagnano33%
Julian Brandes33%
Gennaro Acampora25%
Davide Bettella25%
Andreaw Gravillon25%
Riccardo Brosco24%
Gabriele Corbo24%
Luca Valzania22%
Filippo Pellacani20%
Andrea Oliveri20%
Gastón Brugman18%
Giacomo Olzer17%
Giorgio Altare17%
Lorenzo Insigne15%
Lamine Fanne14%
Lorenzo Meazzi13%
Lorenzo Berardi12%
Gaetano Letizia12%
Riccardo Capellini12%
Fabrizio Caligara11%
Antonio Di Nardo11%
Matteo Dagasso10%
Davide Merola9%
Davide Faraoni8%
Sebastiano Desplanches8%
Lorenzo Sgarbi7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Riccardo Tonin0%
Flavio Russo0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Davide Giannini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leonardo Graziani 25%
Matteo Dagasso20%
Lorenzo Insigne15%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Gaetano Letizia12%
Gastón Brugman12%
Antonio Di Nardo11%
Orji Okwonkwo10%
Riccardo Tonin9%
Andrea Cagnano8%
Luca Valzania8%
Niccolo Squizzato6%
Lorenzo Berardi6%
Riccardo Brosco5%
Andreaw Gravillon4%
Fabrizio Caligara4%
Giacomo Olzer3%
Lorenzo Meazzi3%
Davide Merola0%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Gennaro Acampora0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Davide Bettella0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Riccardo Capellini0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Flavio Russo0%
Julian Brandes0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lorenzo Insigne38%
Antonio Di Nardo32%
Giacomo Olzer28%
Frank Tsadjout17%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Matteo Dagasso10%
Flavio Russo9%
Gennaro Acampora8%
Lorenzo Meazzi6%
Andreaw Gravillon4%
Fabrizio Caligara4%
Riccardo Capellini3%
Davide Merola0%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Luca Valzania0%
Riccardo Brosco0%
Davide Bettella0%
Gastón Brugman0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Riccardo Tonin0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Julian Brandes0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Lorenzo Berardi0%
Empoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edoardo Saporiti67%
Stiven Shpendi33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gerard Yepes67%
Marco Curto33%
Luca Magnino33%
Cristian Cauz0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Cauz33%
Matteo Egan33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edoardo Saporiti33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
JS (33)
€13m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Pescara's squad is €12m less valuable than Empoli's (€8m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
Pescara's attack is €7m less valuable than Empoli's (€4m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Pescara's midfield is €4m less valuable than Empoli's (€1m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
JS (14)
€6m
BEN (13)
€5m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Pescara and Empoli have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →