This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.48
0.82
0.82
1.17
2.08
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
1.11
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (14)
0.93
1.71
0.50
0.83
1.25
2.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
26% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-0 ✓
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
Pescara goals ↓
Padova goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
5.3%
4.0%
1.7%
0.5%
1
7.8%
12%
6.9%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.5%
5.9%
2.4%
0.8%
3
4.4%
5.4%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.9%
2.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pescara goals (down), columns = Padova goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brescia
1.86
Lecce
1.83
Palermo
1.75
Benevento
1.67
Pescara
1.53
Hellas Verona
1.44
Spezia
1.42
Cittadella
1.42
Perugia
1.39
Cremonese
1.36
Cosenza
1.28
Ascoli
1.19
Foggia
1.19
Crotone
1.19
Livorno
1.08
Salernitana
1.06
Venezia
1.06
Padova
0.86
Carpi
0.81
Pescara is 0.67 points better than Padova in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brescia
1.92
Lecce
1.83
Benevento
1.69
Palermo
1.58
Spezia
1.47
Pescara
1.39
Perugia
1.36
Hellas Verona
1.36
Cittadella
1.36
Foggia
1.22
Salernitana
1.14
Ascoli
1.11
Crotone
1.11
Carpi
1.08
Livorno
1.06
Cremonese
1.03
Padova
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Cosenza
0.94
Pescara is 0.39 goals better than Padova in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.92
Palermo
1.06
Cittadella
1.06
Brescia
1.17
Cosenza
1.17
Crotone
1.17
Lecce
1.25
Benevento
1.25
Pescara
1.28
Spezia
1.28
Hellas Verona
1.28
Venezia
1.28
Foggia
1.36
Perugia
1.36
Padova
1.36
Livorno
1.42
Ascoli
1.56
Salernitana
1.58
Carpi
1.86
Pescara is 0.08 goals better than Padova in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pescara
For 5.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Padova
For 3.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.4 · Against 16.5 · Total 33.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pescara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
4.7
4.9
4.5
29.0
29.8
28.3
vs Stronger (10)
9.5
9.7
9.0
4.5
4.9
3.7
29.9
30.4
28.7
vs Similar (38)
9.9
9.2
10.5
4.8
5.0
4.7
28.7
29.8
27.9
vs Weaker (2)
14.5
18.0
11.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
30.0
25.0
35.0
% over line
54%
50%
58%
72%
75%
69%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
28%
25%
31%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
10.0
11.3
8.8
5.4
5.6
5.2
31.7
33.4
30.1
vs Stronger (9)
10.2
12.8
7.0
5.0
4.8
5.2
31.4
29.4
34.0
vs Similar (14)
9.9
10.0
9.8
5.7
6.3
5.2
31.8
36.7
28.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
64%
25%
83%
82%
83%
91%
91%
92%
% under line
57%
36%
75%
17%
18%
17%
9%
9%
8%
This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livorno
11.1
Spezia
10.4
Hellas Verona
10.4
Venezia
10.4
Crotone
10.3
Cremonese
10.2
Foggia
10.1
Pescara
10.0
Padova
10.0
Salernitana
9.8
Brescia
9.8
Cittadella
9.7
Palermo
9.7
Benevento
9.5
Carpi
9.4
Lecce
9.4
Ascoli
9.4
Cosenza
9.2
Perugia
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Padova
5.4
Livorno
5.3
Ascoli
5.3
Cittadella
5.2
Cosenza
5.0
Benevento
5.0
Hellas Verona
5.0
Salernitana
4.8
Lecce
4.8
Pescara
4.7
Brescia
4.7
Crotone
4.7
Cremonese
4.6
Venezia
4.6
Foggia
4.5
Perugia
4.4
Palermo
4.3
Carpi
4.3
Spezia
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Brescia
32.5
Cittadella
32.3
Ascoli
31.8
Padova
31.7
Salernitana
30.8
Cosenza
30.8
Carpi
30.7
Perugia
30.7
Cremonese
30.6
Livorno
30.5
Venezia
30.4
Foggia
29.9
Palermo
29.4
Spezia
29.3
Pescara
29.0
Lecce
28.8
Benevento
28.7
Hellas Verona
28.2
Crotone
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.1%
Under 3.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.0%
Under 21.5
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pescara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.43
0.36
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.65
0.40
0.40
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.52
0.36
0.36
0.58
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.56
0.80
0.20
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pescara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pescara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
0.93
0.71
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.74
0.80
0.80
0.92
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.96
0.45
0.45
0.58
1.42
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.56
0.40
0.60
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (14)
0.50
1.21
0.50
0.33
0.50
1.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
39% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pescara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pescara · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lorenzo Insigne38%
Antonio Di Nardo26%
Giacomo Olzer21%
Lorenzo Meazzi19%
Andrea Oliveri13%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Davide Merola9%
Riccardo Tonin9%
Gennaro Acampora8%
Davide Faraoni8%
Andrea Cagnano8%
Fabrizio Caligara7%
Lorenzo Sgarbi7%
Gastón Brugman6%
Matteo Dagasso5%
Gaetano Letizia3%
Riccardo Capellini3%
Luca Valzania3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Riccardo Brosco0%
Davide Bettella0%
Andreaw Gravillon0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Flavio Russo0%
Julian Brandes0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Lorenzo Berardi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrea Cagnano33%
Julian Brandes33%
Gennaro Acampora25%
Davide Bettella25%
Andreaw Gravillon25%
Riccardo Brosco24%
Gabriele Corbo24%
Luca Valzania22%
Filippo Pellacani20%
Andrea Oliveri20%
Gastón Brugman18%
Giacomo Olzer17%
Giorgio Altare17%
Lorenzo Insigne15%
Lamine Fanne14%
Lorenzo Meazzi13%
Lorenzo Berardi12%
Gaetano Letizia12%
Riccardo Capellini12%
Fabrizio Caligara11%
Antonio Di Nardo11%
Matteo Dagasso10%
Davide Merola9%
Davide Faraoni8%
Sebastiano Desplanches8%
Lorenzo Sgarbi7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Riccardo Tonin0%
Flavio Russo0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Davide Giannini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leonardo Graziani 25%
Matteo Dagasso20%
Lorenzo Insigne15%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Gaetano Letizia12%
Gastón Brugman12%
Antonio Di Nardo11%
Orji Okwonkwo10%
Riccardo Tonin9%
Andrea Cagnano8%
Luca Valzania8%
Niccolo Squizzato6%
Lorenzo Berardi6%
Riccardo Brosco5%
Andreaw Gravillon4%
Fabrizio Caligara4%
Giacomo Olzer3%
Lorenzo Meazzi3%
Davide Merola0%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Gennaro Acampora0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Davide Bettella0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Riccardo Capellini0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Flavio Russo0%
Julian Brandes0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lorenzo Insigne38%
Antonio Di Nardo32%
Giacomo Olzer28%
Frank Tsadjout17%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Matteo Dagasso10%
Flavio Russo9%
Gennaro Acampora8%
Lorenzo Meazzi6%
Andreaw Gravillon4%
Fabrizio Caligara4%
Riccardo Capellini3%
Davide Merola0%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Luca Valzania0%
Riccardo Brosco0%
Davide Bettella0%
Gastón Brugman0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Riccardo Tonin0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Julian Brandes0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Lorenzo Berardi0%
Padova · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pietro Fusi33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Pastina33%
Pietro Fusi33%
Alessandro Dellavalle33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
PAD (31)
€25m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Pescara's squad is €17m less valuable than Padova's (€8m vs €25m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
PAL (7)
€23m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
Pescara's attack is €2m less valuable than Padova's (€4m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€7m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Pescara's midfield is €6m less valuable than Padova's (€1m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
PAD (13)
€12m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Pescara's defence is €8m less valuable than Padova's (€3m vs €12m).
Italy: Serie B 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Brescia
Lecce
Palermo
Benevento
Hellas Verona
Cittadella
Spezia
Perugia
Cremonese
Cosenza
Ascoli
Venezia
Salernitana