Peterboro’s recent draw against Stevenage and Sheffield Weds’ two-game winning streak set the stage for a tight League One encounter. The model favours a home win, with a 41% chance, while the draw sits at 28% and the away side at 31%. The expected total is 2.7 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.2% probability. Peterboro averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.42 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Sheffield Weds concedes 2.36 and scores only 0.64 on the road. The model’s selection list highlights a strong edge on low-scoring outcomes: Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9% (+4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9% (+7% edge), Under 6.5 at 97.8% (+4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.3% (+5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0% (+9% edge), Under 5.5 at 94.0% (+6% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.8% (+2% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Peterboro win
40.6%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.05
Edge
+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.25
Dafabet
3.10
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Draw
27.8%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.65
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.81
Betfair
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Sheffield Weds win
31.5%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.12
Edge
-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.18
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Peterboro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.60
1.92
1.38
1.24
1.76
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
3.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.48
1.63
2.08
1.42
1.00
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.77
1.00
1.47
0.53
2.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.60
0.33
1.83
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (20)
1.00
1.85
1.44
1.22
0.64
2.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.1%
@ 1.15-4.2%
Under 1.5
22.9%
@ 4.99+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Pinnacle
5.21
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.51-9.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
@ 2.41+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.6%
@ 2.31-11.0%
Under 3.5
70.4%
@ 1.58+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.45
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.34
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Both teams to score
Yes
56.7%
@ 1.45-7.3%
No
43.3%
@ 2.57+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.47
Unibet
1.47
1xBet
1.44
10Bet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
No
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.60
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 7.06+6.9%
2-1
8.9%@ 10.19+4.4%
1-0
8.3%@ 12.65+4.7%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.32+2.3%
0-0
7.6%@ 15.04+4.6%
0-1
7.0%@ 10.31+2.6%
2-0
7.0%@ 17.68+4.4%
2-2
5.6%@ 10.36+1.3%
Peterboro goals ↓
Sheffield Weds goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
7.0%
5.2%
2.2%
0.7%
1
8.3%
13%
7.7%
3.3%
1.0%
2
7.0%
8.9%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.4%
4.3%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterboro goals (down), columns = Sheffield Weds goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Peterboro is 0.34 points worse than Sheffield Weds in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.49).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Peterboro is 0.03 goals worse than Sheffield Weds in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Peterboro is 0.27 goals worse than Sheffield Weds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Peterboro
For 4.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sheffield Weds
For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Peterboro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
10.0
4.0
3.9
4.1
23.1
23.4
22.9
vs Stronger (4)
10.2
18.0
7.7
5.2
10.0
3.7
25.5
34.0
22.7
vs Similar (46)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.9
3.7
4.1
22.9
23.0
22.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
46%
48%
64%
56%
72%
57%
62%
52%
% under line
53%
54%
52%
36%
44%
28%
43%
38%
48%
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.3
10.2
3.0
2.9
3.1
22.1
21.3
23.0
vs Stronger (16)
10.4
11.5
8.5
2.6
2.0
3.5
19.9
17.5
23.8
vs Similar (33)
10.3
9.8
10.8
3.2
3.5
3.0
23.1
23.4
22.8
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
7.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
52%
52%
52%
40%
37%
43%
54%
52%
57%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
60%
63%
57%
46%
48%
43%
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.7
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
11.0
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.4
Burton
10.4
Bradford
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Huddersfield
10.2
Bromley
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Blackpool
3.9
Doncaster
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Oxford
3.5
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.8
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Luton
23.9
Leyton Orient
23.7
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Doncaster
22.8
Reading
22.7
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Mansfield
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.5%
@ 1.52-4.1%
Under 9.5
43.5%
@ 2.34+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Unibet
1.46
Under
Unibet
2.48
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.5%
Under 3.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.8%
Under 21.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Peterboro or Draw
68.5%
Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.67
Edge
+12.6%
41%
28%
32%
covers Peterboro + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
Peterboro or Sheffield Weds
72.2%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.6%
41%
28%
32%
covers Peterboro + Sheffield Weds
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Sheffield Weds
59.4%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.34
Edge
-10.0%
41%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Sheffield Weds
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Peterboro over/under 0.5
Over
77.0%
@ 1.24+1.9%
Under
23.0%
@ 3.73-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Betano
3.75
Peterboro over/under 1.5
Over
43.3%
@ 2.18+0.5%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.63-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.23
1xBet
2.21
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Peterboro over/under 2.5
Over
18.4%
@ 4.89-0.6%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.15+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Peterboro over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
@ 10.88-2.6%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.04+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5
Over
72.0%
@ 1.13-9.8%
Under
28.0%
@ 5.09+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.15
BetVictor
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
@ 1.77-16.3%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.96+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5
Over
13.7%
@ 3.42-13.4%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.27+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.35
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Sheffield Weds over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 7.33-8.8%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.07+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Betano
6.50
1xBet
5.80
Under
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Peterboro, so a minus line means Peterboro give that many goals of a start and Sheffield Weds receive them. At -1, Peterboro must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Peterboro win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Peterboro)
Peterboro -2
7.8%
@ 14.17+1.4%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 8.83+2.2%
Sheffield Weds +2
79.7%
@ 1.09-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
12.50
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Handicap -1 (Peterboro)
Peterboro -1
20.3%
@ 6.08+5.5%
Draw -1
20.4%
@ 5.00+2.4%
Sheffield Weds +1
59.4%
@ 1.33-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Handicap +1 (Peterboro)
Peterboro +1
68.5%
@ 1.69+15.4%
Draw +1
17.4%
@ 4.00-5.0%
Sheffield Weds -1
14.1%
@ 3.65-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.70
Away
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.50
Handicap +2 (Peterboro)
Peterboro +2
85.9%
@ 1.22+12.8%
Draw +2
9.3%
@ 5.97-5.7%
Sheffield Weds -2
4.8%
@ 7.52-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.50
Away
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Unibet
7.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Peterboro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.62
0.46
0.47
0.76
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.63
0.67
0.42
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.40
0.33
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.00
0.17
0.83
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.65
0.56
0.00
0.45
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.4%
@ 1.25+1.2%
Under 0.5
24.6%
@ 3.59-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.7%
@ 2.22-2.2%
Under 1.5
60.3%
@ 1.60+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.26
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Unibet
2.23
Under
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 5.00-3.6%
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.14+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Under
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.1%
@ 1.96-7.2%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.76+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Peterboro over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.2%
@ 5.89-5.5%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.10+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Peterboro over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 17.25-4.4%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.9%
@ 1.71+6.8%
Under
39.1%
@ 2.02-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Unibet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
2.00
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.7%
@ 4.45-0.1%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.17+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.50
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.6%
@ 11.00-4.9%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Peterboro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.97
1.31
0.92
0.76
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.96
1.00
1.42
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.00
0.60
1.13
0.20
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.60
0.17
1.00
0.25
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
1.20
0.89
1.22
0.18
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.8%
@ 1.14+0.7%
Under 0.5
17.2%
@ 5.18-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.5%
@ 1.72-6.5%
Under 1.5
52.5%
@ 2.02+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.3%
@ 3.19-5.8%
Under 2.5
76.7%
@ 1.31+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.20
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.8%
@ 1.65-6.4%
Under
50.2%
@ 2.12+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Peterboro over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.9%
@ 4.10-9.6%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.19+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Peterboro over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 9.50-7.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.3%
@ 1.47-3.0%
Under
39.7%
@ 2.53+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.48
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.1%
@ 3.21-6.6%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.30+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.8%
@ 8.03-2.7%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.05+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.07
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
-
+8.8%
Under 5.5
94.0%
1.06
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+6.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
+2.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+5.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.19
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+9.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.3%
1.27
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
+13.4%
Home +2 handicap
85.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+12.8%
Under 4.5
85.6%
1.22
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
+9.1%
Under 5.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
+3.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.14
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+0.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
81.6%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+0.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-3.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
79.3%
1.17
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+0.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.30
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-
+6.6%
Over 1.5
77.1%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Bet365
1.14
-4.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
77.0%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
+1.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.31
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+5.8%
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.4%
1.25
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+1.2%
Home or Away
72.2%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
-2.6%
Away over 0.5 goals
72.0%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-9.8%
Under 4.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.4%
1.58
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
+11.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Peterboro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Leonard60%
B. Woods20%
Harrison Jones20%
Bolu Shofowoke20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johnston25%
Brandon Khela25%
James Dornelly25%
H. Leonard20%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
Ethan Williams0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Woods20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
H. Leonard0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Harrison Jones0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
H. Leonard40%
Brandon Khela25%
Ethan Williams25%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Sheffield Weds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Lowe60%
Louie Barry40%
C. Slattery25%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
G. Otegbayo20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
K. Morrison0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
C. Slattery50%
Jarvis Thornton33%
B. Mitchell25%
B. Bannan20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
J. Lowe0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Louie Barry0%
Sil Swinkels0%
Mason Paul James Burstow0%
K. Morrison0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Bannan40%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
J. Lowe20%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Lowe60%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Peterboro's squad is €14m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€7m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Peterboro's attack is €4m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€3m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Peterboro's midfield is €4m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€1m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Peterboro's defence is €5m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€3m vs €8m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe