Peterboro are tipped to win as the model favours a home victory with a 51% chance, while draws sit at 27% and Stevenage’s 22% chance of triumph. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate-scoring affair, and the most likely single score is 1-1, a 12.8% probability. Peterboro, playing at home against a similar-strength side, have averaged 2.17 goals for and 1.5 against, whereas Stevenage, on the road, have only 0.9 goals for and 1.5 against. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (98.1% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.4% with a 1% edge), Under 5.5 (94.8% with a 2% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.1% with a 2% edge). Peterboro’s recent form shows a win-loss-win-loss-win streak after a 0-4 defeat to Blackpool, while Stevenage are coming off a 2-2 draw with Doncaster.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Peterboro at 51%, failed to materialise as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The game saw both sides come off recent draws, with Peterboro’s last five showing DLWWL and Stevenage’s DDLLD, a reminder that neither side was on a winning run. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.4%, Under 5.5 at 94.8%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.1%. The match delivered a low-scoring stalemate, confirming the model’s defensive predictions while its favourite prediction fell short.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Peterboro win✗ Miss
51.5%
Avg Implied 38.4% · @ 2.44
Edge
+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.60
Dafabet
2.55
10Bet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.50
Draw✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.29
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.56
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Stevenage win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.82
Edge
-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.10
Pinnacle
3.06
Marathonbet
2.95
Superbet
2.85
William Hil
2.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Peterboro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.63
2.00
1.46
1.24
1.76
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
3.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.52
1.67
2.17
1.50
1.00
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.27
1.06
0.88
0.77
1.77
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.67
0.67
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (24)
1.04
1.17
1.14
0.93
0.90
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.28+2.9%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 3.37-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.93+0.6%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.84-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.01
Pinnacle
1.99
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Unibet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
@ 3.27-1.0%
Under 3.5
72.6%
@ 1.30+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.43
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.1%
@ 1.70-2.3%
No
47.9%
@ 2.03+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.75
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
No
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 5.96+5.3%
1-0
10.5%@ 7.80+4.8%
2-0
9.7%@ 11.43+5.8%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.83+4.6%
0-0 ✓
8.3%@ 9.51+3.6%
0-1
5.9%@ 8.38+0.6%
1-2
5.8%@ 9.34+1.0%
3-0
5.3%@ 23.39+3.4%
Peterboro goals ↓
Stevenage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
5.9%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.8%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.7%
9.6%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.3%
5.3%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.2%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterboro goals (down), columns = Stevenage goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Peterboro is 0.41 points worse than Stevenage in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Peterboro is 0.37 goals better than Stevenage in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Peterboro is 0.46 goals worse than Stevenage in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Peterboro is 10.2 percentage points better than Stevenage in terms of average possession (55% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Peterboro
For 5.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stevenage
For 4.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Peterboro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
10.0
4.0
4.0
4.1
23.3
23.7
22.9
vs Stronger (4)
10.2
18.0
7.7
5.2
10.0
3.7
25.5
34.0
22.7
vs Similar (46)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.9
3.8
4.1
23.1
23.2
22.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
46%
48%
66%
60%
72%
59%
67%
52%
% under line
53%
54%
52%
34%
40%
28%
41%
33%
48%
This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
9.0
3.7
3.6
3.7
24.5
26.2
22.8
vs Stronger (12)
10.3
10.0
10.7
3.3
3.7
3.0
25.0
28.5
21.5
vs Similar (38)
8.5
8.5
8.4
3.8
3.6
3.9
24.3
25.4
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
36%
62%
54%
58%
50%
71%
84%
58%
% under line
51%
64%
38%
46%
42%
50%
29%
16%
42%
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.1
Leicester
10.8
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.5
Blackpool
10.4
Bromley
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.9
Mansfield
9.8
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
8.9
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.0
Mansfield
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Luton
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Wycombe
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.9
Plymouth
24.6
Bradford
24.5
Stevenage
24.5
Huddersfield
24.4
Luton
24.0
Leyton Orient
23.5
Peterboro
23.4
Wigan
23.4
Blackpool
23.3
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Burton
22.5
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Reading
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Leicester
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.1
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.9%
@ 1.77-1.3%
Under 9.5
49.1%
@ 1.94+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Under
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.0%
Under 3.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.7%
Under 21.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Peterboro or Draw✓ Hit
78.3%
Avg Implied 66.5% · @ 1.40
Edge
+11.8%
51%
27%
22%
covers Peterboro + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Peterboro or Stevenage✗ Miss
73.2%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
+1.4%
51%
27%
22%
covers Peterboro + Stevenage
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Draw or Stevenage✓ Hit
48.5%
Avg Implied 61.7% · @ 1.51
Edge
-13.2%
51%
27%
22%
covers Draw + Stevenage
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
1xBet
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Peterboro over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.8%
@ 1.26+7.2%
Under
19.2%
@ 3.52-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.82
Marathonbet
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Peterboro over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
49.1%
@ 2.32+8.9%
Under
50.9%
@ 1.56-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Peterboro over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.0%
@ 5.34+5.6%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.12-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Peterboro over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 12.67+1.1%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.03-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Stevenage over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.1%
@ 1.31-7.8%
Under
36.9%
@ 3.18+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Unibet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Stevenage over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
@ 2.56-10.1%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.47+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.68
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.61
BetVictor
2.60
Under
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Stevenage over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 6.05-7.4%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.09+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Stevenage over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 15.08-4.5%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Peterboro, so a minus line means Peterboro give that many goals of a start and Stevenage receive them. At -1, Peterboro must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Peterboro win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Peterboro)Actual: Stevenage
Peterboro -2
12.2%
@ 10.61+3.7%
Draw -2
16.2%
@ 6.62+2.7%
Stevenage +2
71.7%
@ 1.14-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Handicap -1 (Peterboro)Actual: Stevenage
Peterboro -1
28.3%
@ 4.92+10.0%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 4.10+1.2%
Stevenage +1
48.5%
@ 1.51-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Handicap +1 (Peterboro)Actual: Peterboro
Peterboro +1
78.3%
@ 1.41+14.9%
Draw +1
13.5%
@ 4.36-7.0%
Stevenage -1
8.1%
@ 5.61-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.45
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
6.30
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Handicap +2 (Peterboro)Actual: Peterboro
Peterboro +2
91.9%
@ 1.12+10.8%
Draw +2
5.9%
@ 7.66-5.9%
Stevenage -2
2.2%
@ 12.88-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Unibet
6.75
Away
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
10.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Peterboro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.62
0.54
0.47
0.76
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.47
0.35
0.38
0.77
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.46
0.50
0.36
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.0%
@ 1.39+2.9%
Under 0.5
30.0%
@ 2.82-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
1xBet
2.81
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 2.78-1.4%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.40+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.90
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.85
Under
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 7.30-2.5%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.06+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.9%
@ 2.02+3.9%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.71-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Peterboro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 6.49+0.1%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.08-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Superbet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Peterboro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 18.83-1.5%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Stevenage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.9%
@ 2.15-3.3%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.64+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Superbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Stevenage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 7.18-3.8%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.06+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
6.80
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Stevenage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 19.83-3.4%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Peterboro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.97
1.38
0.92
0.76
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.59
0.53
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.71
0.64
0.57
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.23+0.5%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 3.77-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.2%
@ 2.11+1.0%
Under 1.5
54.8%
@ 1.67-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.4%
@ 4.59-0.9%
Under 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.17+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.6%
@ 1.73+1.0%
Under
45.4%
@ 1.99-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Peterboro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 4.67+0.6%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.16-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Peterboro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 12.33-1.8%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.02+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Stevenage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.7%
@ 1.82-6.1%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.88+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.83
Stevenage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 5.20-3.2%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.13+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Stevenage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 13.75-3.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.0%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.9%
1.12
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
-
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.10
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.4%
1.13
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.8%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
+7.2%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
78.3%
1.40
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.3%
1.41
Unibet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+14.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.9%
1.23
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+0.5%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.3%
1.28
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
73.7%
1.47
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.2%
1.30
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.6%
1.35
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
71.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-6.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Peterboro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Leonard60%
B. Woods20%
Harrison Jones20%
Bolu Shofowoke20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johnston25%
Brandon Khela25%
James Dornelly25%
H. Leonard20%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
Ethan Williams0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Woods20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
H. Leonard0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Harrison Jones0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
H. Leonard40%
Brandon Khela25%
Ethan Williams25%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Stevenage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Magennis40%
J. Roberts20%
D. Kemp20%
O. Sanderson20%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
L. Freestone0%
P. Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luther James-Wildin67%
C. Piergianni40%
J. Roberts20%
L. Freestone20%
D. Kemp20%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
P. Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
O. Sanderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
P. Patterson40%
J. Roberts0%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
L. Freestone0%
D. Kemp0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
O. Sanderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Kemp40%
P. Patterson20%
O. Sanderson20%
J. Roberts0%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
L. Freestone0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Peterboro and Stevenage have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Peterboro and Stevenage have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Peterboro and Stevenage have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Peterboro and Stevenage have a similar defence value (both €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe