Petrovac vs Buducnost Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2026

Time: 18:00

Final 1-1

Petrovac

39%

33%

28%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Buducnost Podgorica

Montenegro: First League

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

Petrovac hosts Buducnost Podgorica on May 24, 2026, in the Montenegro: First League. The home side's recent form is worth noting, as they come off a draw against Otrant-Olympic. Petrovac's home strengths are evident in their home form, where they average 2 goals scored and 1 conceded against stronger opponents. Conversely, Buducnost Podgorica's away form shows they average 0.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded when facing weaker opponents.

The model predicts a 39% chance of a home win, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance of an away win, with the home win being the most likely result. The expected total goals are 2.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.7%.

Petrovac's home scoring and conceding are 2.0 and 1.0, respectively, against stronger opponents, while Buducnost Podgorica's away scoring and conceding are 0.57 and 0.86, respectively, against weaker opponents. The model's selection for the match result is a home win, with the suggested picks including Under 3.5 at 84.7%, and the home win at 39%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Petrovac drew 1-1 with Buducnost Podgorica, extending their run of four draws in their last five home matches. The win extends their run after coming off a draw, but the model's selection, a home win, was incorrect as it had a 39% probability. The model's selection was not the only one to miss, as the model's call was wrong. The model's selection had a 28% probability of being the most likely outcome, but that did not materialize. The suggested pick of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 84.7%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrovac win✗ Miss

39.2%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✓ Hit

32.8%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Buducnost Podgorica win✗ Miss

28.0%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Petrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.23	1.03	1.43	0.71	1.06	1.31
vs Stronger (3)	1.00	1.00	2.00	1.00	0.50	1.00
vs Similar (17)	1.00	1.00	1.11	0.89	0.88	1.12
vs Weaker (10)	1.70	1.10	2.00	0.25	1.50	1.67
Clean sheet %	23% (-7pp vs league)

This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	0.93	1.19	0.88	0.79	1.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (13)	0.85	0.85	0.67	0.50	1.00	1.14
vs Weaker (17)	1.12	1.00	1.50	1.10	0.57	0.86
Clean sheet %	33% (+3pp vs league)

This opponent (Petrovac) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

62.2%

Under 1.5

37.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

33.8%

Under 2.5

66.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

15.3%

Under 3.5

84.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

42.2%

57.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1 ✓

14.7%

0-0

14.1%

1-0

13.2%

0-1

10.4%

2-0

8.3%

2-1

7.6%

1-2

6.1%

0-2

5.4%

Petrovac goals ↓

	Buducnost Podgorica goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	14%	10%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%
1	13%	15%	6.1%	1.9%	0.4%
2	8.3%	7.6%	3.5%	1.1%	0.2%
3	3.1%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrovac goals (down), columns = Buducnost Podgorica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sutjeska

2.00

Mornar

1.92

Petrovac

1.42

Dečić

1.42

Buducnost Podgorica

1.33

Arsenal Tivat

1.28

Mladost DG

1.28

Jezero

1.24

Bokelj

1.05

Jedinstvo

0.97

Grbalj

0.50

Iskra (Montenegro)

0.00

Petrovac is 0.08 points better than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Sutjeska

1.69

Mornar

1.42

Mladost DG

1.36

Petrovac

1.22

Jezero

1.21

Dečić

1.19

Bokelj

1.05

Buducnost Podgorica

1.00

Arsenal Tivat

1.00

Jedinstvo

0.83

Iskra (Montenegro)

0.50

Grbalj

0.00

Petrovac is 0.22 goals better than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Mornar

0.81

Buducnost Podgorica

0.97

Grbalj

1.00

Petrovac

1.00

Sutjeska

1.00

Dečić

1.25

Bokelj

1.26

Arsenal Tivat

1.28

Jezero

1.29

Jedinstvo

1.36

Mladost DG

1.50

Iskra (Montenegro)

4.00

Petrovac is 0.03 goals worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 3.5	84.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SUT (23)

€5m

DEČ (19)

€4m

BP (21)

€3m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SUT (9)

€2m

DEČ (8)

€1m

BP (6)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BP (5)

€1m

SUT (5)

€1m

DEČ (3)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SUT (9)

€2m

DEČ (8)

€2m

BP (10)

€2m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Petrovac vs Buducnost Podgorica · H/A from PET

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/04/26	A	Buducnost Podgorica Vs PET	1-0
06/12/25	H	PET Vs Buducnost Podgorica	2-1
27/09/25	A	Buducnost Podgorica Vs PET	1-1
06/04/25	H	PET Vs Buducnost Podgorica	3-3
07/12/24	A	Buducnost Podgorica Vs PET	3-1
27/11/24	H	PET Vs Buducnost Podgorica	1-4
06/08/24	A	Buducnost Podgorica Vs PET	2-1
25/05/24	H	PET Vs Buducnost Podgorica	3-1

Petrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/05/26	A	Mornar Vs PET	1-1
16/05/26	H	PET Vs Jedinstvo	1-0
10/05/26	A	Mladost DG Vs PET	1-0
02/05/26	H	PET Vs Dečić	1-1
26/04/26	A	Arsenal Tivat Vs PET	3-1
18/04/26	H	PET Vs Sutjeska	0-1
12/04/26	A	Jezero Vs PET	1-1
08/04/26	A	Bokelj Vs PET	0-1
04/04/26	A	Buducnost Podgorica Vs PET	1-0
21/03/26	H	PET Vs Mornar	0-2

Buducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/05/26	H	BP Vs Bokelj	2-1
16/05/26	H	BP Vs Mornar	0-0
10/05/26	A	Jedinstvo Vs BP	0-0
02/05/26	H	BP Vs Mladost DG	0-1
26/04/26	A	Dečić Vs BP	0-0
18/04/26	H	BP Vs Arsenal Tivat	0-2
12/04/26	A	Sutjeska Vs BP	2-0
08/04/26	H	BP Vs Jezero	2-0
04/04/26	H	BP Vs Petrovac	1-0
21/03/26	A	Bokelj Vs BP	2-0

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Petrovac

Montenegro: First League

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDLWD	1.42
Home	WLLDW	1.68
Away	WDLLD	1.16

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	44%	28%
AVG goals	2.24	1.96	2.52
Over 1.5 %	68%	60%	76%
Over 2.5 %	38%	28%	48%
Over 3.5 %	20%	16%	24%
Scored	1.24	1.24	1.24
Conceded	1.00	0.72	1.28
BTTS	54%	36%	72%
Clean Sheet	28%	44%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Buducnost Podgorica

Montenegro: First League

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLDDW	1.46
Home	WLLDW	1.64
Away	LLLDD	1.28

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	44%	36%
AVG goals	2.36	2.40	2.32
Over 1.5 %	64%	64%	64%
Over 2.5 %	38%	36%	40%
Over 3.5 %	24%	24%	24%
Scored	1.36	1.52	1.20
Conceded	1.00	0.88	1.12
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheet	34%	40%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sutjeska	36	72	61%	2.0	61	36	+25	2.7	72%	47%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.7	1.0	-
2	Mornar	36	69	56%	1.9	51	29	+22	2.2	69%	50%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.8	-
3	Petrovac	36	51	36%	1.4	44	36	+8	2.2	67%	36%	22%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.0	-
4	Dečić	36	51	39%	1.4	43	45	-2	2.4	64%	47%	22%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.2	1.2	-
5	Buducnost Podgorica	36	48	36%	1.3	36	35	+1	2.0	61%	25%	11%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	2	1.0	1.0	-
6	Jezero	38	47	32%	1.2	46	49	-3	2.5	79%	47%	21%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.3	-
7	Mladost DG	36	46	39%	1.3	49	54	-5	2.9	64%	61%	39%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.5	-
8	Arsenal Tivat	36	46	33%	1.3	36	46	-10	2.3	64%	39%	22%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.3	-
9	Bokelj	38	40	24%	1.1	40	48	-8	2.3	68%	39%	16%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.3	-
10	Jedinstvo	36	35	25%	1.0	30	49	-19	2.2	58%	36%	19%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.4	-
11	Grbalj	2	1	0%	0.5	0	2	-2	1.0	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.0	1.0	-
12	Iskra (Montenegro)	2	0	0%	0.0	1	8	-7	4.5	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.5	4.0	-

Montenegro: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

← all matches

Petrovac vs Buducnost Podgorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Petrovac

Buducnost Podgorica

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Petrovac

Buducnost Podgorica

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature