This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.87
1.47
0.80
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
1.18
1.55
1.00
1.40
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.26
0.47
1.70
0.50
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.0%
Under 1.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.7%
@ 2.12-10.0%
Under 2.5
65.3%
@ 1.71+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.9%
Under 3.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
Pisa goals ↓
Chievo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
5.7%
1.8%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.4%
2.0%
0.5%
2
7.9%
7.6%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.0%
2.9%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pisa goals (down), columns = Chievo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Pisa is 0.21 points worse than Chievo in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Pisa is 0.11 goals better than Chievo in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Pisa is 0.58 goals worse than Chievo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pisa
For 4.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 17.7 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
For 6.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pisa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.1
6.3
6.6
6.0
32.6
34.2
31.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
10.1
10.8
9.5
5.4
5.1
5.8
30.9
31.0
30.8
vs Weaker (34)
8.7
8.5
8.9
6.7
7.4
6.1
33.5
35.9
31.3
% over line
52%
58%
46%
86%
96%
77%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
48%
42%
54%
14%
4%
23%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.4
8.8
5.4
5.3
5.5
31.2
30.7
31.7
vs Stronger (18)
9.2
8.6
9.9
5.1
4.7
5.4
31.6
29.8
33.4
vs Similar (32)
8.3
8.4
8.2
5.6
5.7
5.5
31.0
31.2
30.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
40%
48%
76%
76%
76%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
56%
60%
52%
24%
24%
24%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
12.0
Monza
10.7
Pordenone
10.6
Cosenza
10.5
Spal
10.3
Empoli
10.3
Cittadella
10.1
Cremonese
10.1
Vicenza Virtus
10.1
Frosinone
10.0
Brescia
9.9
Venezia
9.6
Virtus Entella
9.4
Pisa
9.2
Reggina
9.2
Salernitana
8.9
Pescara
8.9
Ascoli
8.8
Chievo
8.6
Reggiana
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
7.4
Pisa
6.3
Salernitana
6.2
Ascoli
6.1
Cosenza
5.9
Reggiana
5.8
Vicenza Virtus
5.8
Virtus Entella
5.6
Venezia
5.5
Pordenone
5.5
Brescia
5.5
Cittadella
5.5
Chievo
5.4
Pescara
5.3
Spal
5.2
Monza
5.2
Lecce
5.0
Frosinone
5.0
Cremonese
4.6
Empoli
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
37.2
Salernitana
34.4
Reggiana
32.9
Cittadella
32.9
Frosinone
32.9
Pisa
32.6
Vicenza Virtus
32.4
Venezia
32.3
Ascoli
31.5
Pordenone
31.2
Cosenza
31.2
Chievo
31.2
Monza
30.9
Virtus Entella
30.5
Pescara
30.3
Empoli
29.5
Brescia
29.3
Spal
28.9
Cremonese
27.6
Lecce
25.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.2%
Under 3.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pisa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.43
0.36
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (21)
0.43
0.57
0.36
0.27
0.50
0.90
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.73
0.27
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.45
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.21
0.90
0.20
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pisa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pisa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.86
0.57
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.89
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.86
0.86
1.00
0.55
0.70
1.20
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.73
0.53
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.09
0.60
1.00
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.26
0.80
0.30
0.33
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pisa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pisa · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giuseppe Leone33%
Simone Canestrelli33%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Simone Zanon0%
Isak Vural0%
Emanuele Rao0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isak Vural67%
Simone Zanon33%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Giuseppe Leone0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Emanuele Rao0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Tramoni33%
Mehdi Léris33%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Giuseppe Leone0%
Simone Zanon0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Isak Vural0%
Emanuele Rao0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matteo Tramoni100%
Mehdi Léris33%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Giuseppe Leone0%
Simone Zanon0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Isak Vural0%
Emanuele Rao0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →