This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.57
1.40
1.60
1.07
1.53
vs Stronger (21)
1.19
1.62
1.27
1.73
1.10
1.50
vs Similar (9)
1.33
1.44
1.75
1.25
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
@ 2.13+8.2%
Under 2.5
47.6%
@ 1.69-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
Pisa goals ↓
FeralpiSalo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
6.4%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.6%
13%
7.2%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.2%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.0%
4.8%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pisa goals (down), columns = FeralpiSalo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Pisa is 0.34 points better than FeralpiSalo in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 0.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Pisa is 0.18 goals better than FeralpiSalo in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Pisa is 0.29 goals better than FeralpiSalo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Pisa is 11.2 percentage points better than FeralpiSalo in terms of average possession (56% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pisa
For 3.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FeralpiSalo
For 4.6 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pisa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.1
8.0
4.2
4.4
4.0
27.1
27.8
26.4
vs Stronger (3)
7.0
10.0
4.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
26.0
22.0
30.0
vs Similar (23)
9.2
9.1
9.3
4.2
4.5
3.8
25.5
27.5
23.3
vs Weaker (24)
8.1
8.9
7.4
4.3
4.2
4.4
28.8
28.9
28.8
% over line
34%
38%
31%
62%
60%
64%
91%
94%
88%
% under line
66%
62%
69%
38%
40%
36%
9%
6%
12%
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
9.4
8.8
10.0
5.0
5.4
4.6
26.6
27.2
25.9
vs Stronger (23)
9.3
8.3
10.4
5.2
5.8
4.5
26.8
27.5
26.1
vs Similar (9)
9.6
10.0
9.2
4.6
4.2
4.8
26.0
26.5
25.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
31%
62%
84%
88%
81%
88%
81%
94%
% under line
53%
69%
38%
16%
12%
19%
12%
19%
6%
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
10.4
Venezia
10.4
Ternana
10.3
Bari
10.0
Palermo
10.0
Cremonese
9.9
Modena
9.8
Brescia
9.8
Lecco
9.8
Spezia
9.7
Cosenza
9.7
Reggiana
9.6
Pisa
9.6
Ascoli
9.5
FeralpiSalo
9.4
Como
9.4
Catanzaro
9.1
Cittadella
9.1
Sampdoria
8.7
Sudtirol
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.4
Pisa
6.2
Spezia
5.9
Cittadella
5.8
Modena
5.8
Lecco
5.7
Ascoli
5.6
Sampdoria
5.6
Bari
5.5
Sudtirol
5.5
Catanzaro
5.4
Parma
5.4
Reggiana
5.4
Cremonese
5.3
Palermo
5.2
FeralpiSalo
5.2
Brescia
5.1
Como
5.1
Venezia
5.0
Ternana
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.0
Ascoli
31.9
Sudtirol
30.1
Sampdoria
30.1
Reggiana
29.9
Palermo
29.7
Spezia
29.5
Bari
29.5
Como
29.3
Pisa
28.9
Catanzaro
28.9
Modena
28.5
Brescia
28.0
Lecco
27.9
Ternana
27.6
Cremonese
27.6
Cosenza
27.5
Parma
27.2
FeralpiSalo
26.6
Venezia
25.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.2%
Under 3.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.1%
Under 21.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pisa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.47
0.73
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.77
0.43
0.71
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (15)
0.47
0.40
0.57
0.71
0.38
0.12
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.87
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (21)
0.43
0.67
0.36
0.91
0.50
0.40
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.78
0.50
0.75
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pisa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pisa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
1.00
0.60
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.00
1.29
0.86
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.60
0.71
0.43
0.88
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
1.00
0.73
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.76
0.95
0.91
0.82
0.60
1.10
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.67
1.25
0.50
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pisa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pisa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicholas Bonfanti31%
Matteo Tramoni29%
Mattia Valoti24%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Jan Mlakar12%
Stefano Moreo12%
Ernesto Torregrossa11%
Tommaso Barbieri10%
Lisandru Tramoni9%
Antonio Caracciolo8%
Simone Canestrelli8%
Alessandro Arena8%
Arturo Calabresi8%
Gaetano Masucci8%
Marius Marin6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Miguel Veloso4%
Tomás Esteves3%
Pietro Beruatto3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Idrissa Touré0%
Roko Jureškin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roko Jureškin67%
Marius Marin39%
Maxime Leverbe36%
Simone Canestrelli33%
Antonio Caracciolo29%
Lisandru Tramoni26%
Tomás Esteves24%
Arturo Calabresi23%
Tommaso Barbieri23%
Hjörtur Hermannsson20%
Nícolas19%
Gabriele Piccinini18%
Idrissa Touré16%
Gaetano Masucci15%
Mattia Valoti15%
Miguel Veloso15%
Pietro Beruatto13%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Stefano Moreo12%
Alessandro Arena12%
Ádám Nagy9%
Jan Mlakar4%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Tramoni14%
Pietro Beruatto13%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Miguel Veloso11%
Ernesto Torregrossa11%
Idrissa Touré11%
Mattia Valoti9%
Lisandru Tramoni9%
Jan Mlakar8%
Gaetano Masucci8%
Tomás Esteves7%
Tommaso Barbieri6%
Marius Marin6%
Stefano Moreo6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Antonio Caracciolo4%
Alessandro Arena4%
Arturo Calabresi4%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Moreo21%
Nicholas Bonfanti19%
Alessandro Arena16%
Mattia Valoti15%
Emanuel Vignato8%
Pietro Beruatto7%
Ernesto Torregrossa6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Marco D'Alessandro4%
Lisandru Tramoni4%
Jan Mlakar4%
Miguel Veloso4%
Tomás Esteves3%
Tommaso Barbieri3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Arturo Calabresi0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Marius Marin0%
Gaetano Masucci0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Idrissa Touré0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Roko Jureškin0%
FeralpiSalo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edgaras Dubickas29%
Andrea La Mantia19%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Felici11%
Davide Balestrero10%
Christos Kourfalidis10%
Mattia Zennaro10%
Mattia Tonetto10%
Marco Sau9%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Federico Bergonzi6%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Bruno Martella3%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davide Balestrero38%
Luca Ceppitelli37%
Christopher Attys33%
Luca Fiordilino24%
Vittorio Parigini23%
Federico Carraro20%
Mattia Felici17%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Christos Kourfalidis14%
Mattia Zennaro13%
Federico Bergonzi12%
Andrea La Mantia11%
Semuel Pizzignacco11%
Bruno Martella10%
Giacomo Manzari10%
Alessandro Pilati10%
Karlo Butić9%
Loris Bacchetti9%
Davide Di Molfetta7%
Denis Hergheligiu6%
Mattia Tonetto5%
Gaetano Letizia4%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Giudici0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetano Letizia22%
Giacomo Manzari20%
Davide Di Molfetta15%
Mattia Felici14%
Bruno Martella10%
Vittorio Parigini8%
Christos Kourfalidis7%
Luca Ceppitelli7%
Mattia Zennaro6%
Alessandro Pilati5%
Davide Balestrero3%
Federico Bergonzi3%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Andrea La Mantia0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Karlo Butić0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Mattia Compagnon0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrea La Mantia16%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Compagnon10%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Luca Ceppitelli3%
Luca Fiordilino3%
Mattia Felici3%
Marco Sau0%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Bruno Martella0%
Mattia Zennaro0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Davide Balestrero0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Federico Bergonzi0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →