PK-35 is expected to come out on top in this Finland: Ykkönsliiga match against Klubi-04. The recent form of PK-35, having won their last match 3-0 against SJK Akatemia, suggests they are in good spirits. Klubi-04, however, has struggled, losing their last three matches, including a 0-1 defeat to Kooteepee. The model predicts a home win with a 42% chance, a draw at 27%, and an away win at 31%.
The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.8, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13% probability. PK-35 has been scoring 1.43 goals on average at home and conceding 1.14, while Klubi-04 has been scoring 1.25 goals on average away and conceding 1.75.
The model's selection is the home win, with PK-35 also being the favourite to win. The model suggests Over 1.5 goals with a 78.3% probability and a 3% edge. PK-35 has a 42% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 31% chance of losing.
Results analysis
PK-35's draw extends their run of coming off a draw, and Klubi-04's draw continues their streak of drawing away. The final score was 1-1, resulting in a draw, contradicting the actual result. The pre-match favourite for a home win, with a 42% probability, was incorrect. The model's selection of a home win also failed to come through. The model's selection of Over 1.5 hit, with an 78.3% probability, as the final score was indeed more than 1.5 goals.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PK-35 win✗ Miss
41.9%
Avg Implied 56.0% · @ 1.62
Edge
-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.65
Betano
1.65
Dafabet
1.65
10Bet
1.64
Draw✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.71
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.83
Betfair
3.80
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Klubi-04 win✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied 19.5% · @ 4.67
Edge
+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.00
Pinnacle
4.99
BetVictor
4.80
Betano
4.75
Betfair
4.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PK-35
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.20
1.29
1.50
2.19
0.94
vs Stronger (7)
3.00
1.29
1.00
2.50
3.80
0.80
vs Similar (20)
1.35
1.20
1.20
1.40
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.67
1.82
1.82
1.38
1.46
vs Stronger (7)
2.43
3.00
2.67
2.83
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.26
1.36
1.27
1.42
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
@ 1.23+3.1%
Under 1.5
21.7%
@ 3.72-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.10
BetVictor
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
1xBet
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.77+0.8%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.95-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Bet365
1.85
SBO
1.81
10Bet
1.77
BetVictor
1.77
Under
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Betfair
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.1%
@ 2.91-0.7%
Under 3.5
68.9%
@ 1.35+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
3.04
10Bet
2.95
Under
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.8%
@ 1.75+5.3%
No
42.2%
@ 1.93-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
10Bet
1.73
No
1xBet
1.98
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.0%@ 6.53+6.4%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.06+3.0%
1-0
8.0%@ 6.42+1.4%
1-2
7.6%@ 13.45+4.4%
0-0
7.2%@ 10.92+3.3%
2-0
7.0%@ 7.16+1.1%
0-1
6.5%@ 12.16+3.0%
2-2
5.8%@ 13.98+2.7%
PK-35 goals ↓
Klubi-04 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.5%
4.9%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.0%
13%
7.6%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
9.0%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.6%
4.6%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PK-35 goals (down), columns = Klubi-04 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
PK-35 is 0.90 points better than Klubi-04 in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
PK-35 is 0.33 goals better than Klubi-04 in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
PK-35 is 0.79 goals better than Klubi-04 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PK-35
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
0.50
0.43
1.12
0.62
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
0.71
0.50
1.00
1.80
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.82
0.82
0.62
0.92
vs Stronger (7)
1.57
1.29
1.67
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.74
0.36
0.73
0.58
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PK-35 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PK-35
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
0.79
1.07
1.06
0.31
vs Stronger (7)
1.57
0.57
0.50
1.50
2.00
0.20
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.70
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.77
0.54
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.71
1.00
1.83
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.52
1.00
0.55
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PK-35 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.3%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
+3.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
PK-35 and Klubi-04 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
PK-35 and Klubi-04 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
PK-35 and Klubi-04 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
PK-35 and Klubi-04 have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
JIPPO
Kooteepee
EIF
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa