PK-35 are tipped to win, the model’s pick, as they have a 45% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 28% for SJK Akatemia. The expected total is 2.9 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 24%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12.5% chance. PK-35’s home form shows an average of 1.33 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against similarly ranked teams, while SJK Akatemia, on the road, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded versus similar opposition. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 5.5 (92.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.5%), Home +2 handicap (87.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.9%) and Under 4.5 (83.4%). The recent form narrative shows PK-35 on a two-game winning run after a 3-0 win over MP, whereas SJK Akatemia has just endured two straight defeats, losing 2-6 to Klubi-04.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PK-35 win
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia win
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PK-35
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.10
1.33
1.27
2.40
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
3.60
1.20
0.00
2.00
4.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.14
1.33
1.25
1.56
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.75
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.97
1.57
1.93
1.56
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.12
1.94
1.00
2.14
1.20
1.80
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
2.17
2.17
2.00
2.17
2.33
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
PK-35 goals ↓
SJK Akatemia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
5.8%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
1
8.0%
13%
7.1%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.5%
9.4%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
3
4.1%
5.1%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PK-35 goals (down), columns = SJK Akatemia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
PK-35 is 1.38 points better than SJK Akatemia in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
PK-35 is 1.12 goals better than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
PK-35 is 1.12 goals better than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PK-35 or Draw
72.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
28%
covers PK-35 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PK-35 or SJK Akatemia
73.4%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
28%
covers PK-35 + SJK Akatemia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or SJK Akatemia
54.5%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
28%
covers Draw + SJK Akatemia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PK-35 over/under 0.5
Over
80.6%
Under
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5
Over
48.8%
Under
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5
Over
22.7%
Under
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 3.5
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
Under
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5
Over
35.4%
Under
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PK-35, so a minus line means PK-35 give that many goals of a start and SJK Akatemia receive them. At -1, PK-35 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PK-35 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PK-35)
PK-35 -2
10.2%
Draw -2
14.1%
SJK Akatemia +2
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PK-35)
PK-35 -1
24.3%
Draw -1
21.2%
SJK Akatemia +1
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PK-35)
PK-35 +1
72.1%
Draw +1
15.8%
SJK Akatemia -1
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PK-35)
PK-35 +2
87.9%
Draw +2
8.1%
SJK Akatemia -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PK-35
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.53
0.27
1.27
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.43
0.50
0.33
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.90
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.94
0.14
1.14
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.92
0.50
0.67
0.67
1.17
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PK-35 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PK-35
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
0.80
1.00
1.13
0.33
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
0.60
0.00
2.00
2.50
0.25
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.71
0.83
0.92
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.29
1.07
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.82
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.58
1.25
1.67
1.33
1.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PK-35 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
JIPPO
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
EIF
JäPS
MP
KäPa