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Plymouth vs Burton Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Plymouth
Plymouth
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burton
Burton
England: League One
Referee: O Yates

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plymouth win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied 52.3% · @ 1.79
Edge
-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.58
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burton win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.35
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PlymouthPlymouth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W03L01L10W10W51W14L11D11DA·HUD08/11A·POR22/11H·NOR29/11H·BRA06/12A·WYC09/12H·ROT13/12A·DON20/12H·REA26/12H·WYC29/12A·STE01/01
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.601.201.601.401.60
vs Stronger (2)2.001.502.001.50--
vs Similar (17)1.241.711.381.381.112.00
vs Weaker (11)1.271.450.602.001.831.00
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W10W04L01L31W00D22D51W02L02LA·BRA08/11H·BLA15/11H·LEY29/11A·WIG02/12A·BRA08/12H·WYC13/12A·STE20/12H·NOR26/12H·WIG29/12A·REA01/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.301.251.251.211.36
vs Stronger (8)1.501.501.801.401.001.67
vs Similar (21)1.051.241.001.181.101.30
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.0%
@ 1.92-0.5%
Under 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.81+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
Plymouth goals ↓
Burton goals →
01234
08.7%7.6%5.2%2.0%0.6%
19.3%14%7.3%2.9%0.8%
27.5%8.8%5.2%2.0%0.6%
33.5%4.2%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.2%1.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Plymouth goals (down), columns = Burton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Plymouth is 0.41 points better than Burton in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Plymouth is 0.54 goals better than Burton in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Plymouth is 0.07 goals worse than Burton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Plymouth is 1.5 percentage points better than Burton in terms of average possession (48% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PlymouthPlymouth

For 4.1 · Against 8.1 · Total 12.2

🚩 Corners

190561065741511226524828311111612191387121014A·STEH·WYCH·REAA·DONH·ROTA·WYCH·BRAH·NORA·PORA·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

8012224322326132531623474564748A·STEH·WYCH·REAA·DONH·ROTA·WYCH·BRAH·NORA·PORA·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.2

⚠️ Fouls

31011186141091713811131312151118157181329201930192627292231A·STEH·WYCH·REAA·DONH·ROTA·WYCH·BRAH·NORA·PORA·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurtonBurton

For 4.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1403581572566717726752789127128148129A·REAH·WIGH·NORA·STEH·WYCA·BRAA·WIGH·LEYH·BLAA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

70132111211334420152122376A·REAH·WIGH·NORA·STEH·WYCA·BRAA·WIGH·LEYH·BLAA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

290101261512814691115119991171420922212020202618202129A·REAH·WIGH·NORA·STEH·WYCA·BRAA·WIGH·LEYH·BLAA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PlymouthPlymouth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.011.33.83.73.923.422.624.3
vs Stronger (5)8.07.59.02.22.02.523.020.528.0
vs Similar (34)10.59.911.33.83.44.223.122.523.9
vs Weaker (11)11.511.411.74.35.43.324.323.624.8
% over line60%48%73%54%50%58%62%48%77%
% under line40%52%27%46%50%42%38%52%23%
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.39.73.43.23.721.921.622.1
vs Stronger (13)9.29.78.73.12.14.221.822.221.3
vs Similar (36)9.69.210.13.63.63.621.821.422.2
vs Weaker (1)8.0-8.02.0-2.026.0-26.0
% over line47%46%48%46%40%52%49%46%52%
% under line53%54%52%54%60%48%51%54%48%
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Huddersfield
10.8
Wigan
10.6
Plymouth
10.6
Doncaster
10.3
Barnsley
10.1
Leyton Orient
10.0
Luton
10.0
Port Vale
10.0
Rotherham
9.8
Bolton
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Exeter
9.6
Burton
9.6
Blackpool
9.4
Reading
9.4
Bradford
9.3
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Wycombe
9.2
Mansfield
9.2
Peterboro
9.1
Northampton
9.0
Lincoln
8.9
Stockport
8.8
Stevenage
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bradford
4.4
Bolton
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Plymouth
3.9
Exeter
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Lincoln
3.8
Doncaster
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Leyton Orient
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Rotherham
3.5
Mansfield
3.5
Barnsley
3.5
Burton
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Reading
3.5
Cardiff
3.4
Luton
3.4
Stockport
3.4
Stevenage
3.4
Wigan
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.4
Blackpool
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bradford
24.3
Peterboro
24.2
Exeter
24.0
Stevenage
23.9
Huddersfield
23.6
Plymouth
23.4
Northampton
23.4
Doncaster
23.4
Wigan
23.4
Bolton
23.3
Stockport
23.2
Lincoln
23.0
Rotherham
23.0
Luton
23.0
AFC Wimbledon
22.8
Mansfield
22.7
Cardiff
22.5
Wycombe
22.5
Reading
22.3
Blackpool
22.2
Burton
21.7
Port Vale
21.5
Barnsley
21.3
Leyton Orient
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.4%
Under 21.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PlymouthPlymouth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D00D10W31W03L01L00DA·HUD08/11A·POR22/11H·NOR29/11H·BRA06/12A·WYC09/12H·ROT13/12A·DON20/12H·REA26/12H·WYC29/12A·STE01/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.470.800.600.67
vs Stronger (2)1.500.501.500.50--
vs Similar (17)0.350.760.250.750.440.78
vs Weaker (11)0.640.730.401.000.830.50
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D02L01L11D00D10W41W00D02LA·BRA08/11H·BLA15/11H·LEY29/11A·WIG02/12A·BRA08/12H·WYC13/12A·STE20/12H·NOR26/12H·WIG29/12A·REA01/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.440.500.640.57
vs Stronger (8)0.500.750.400.800.670.67
vs Similar (21)0.520.430.450.360.600.50
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Plymouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PlymouthPlymouth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W03L01L10W00D20W11D10W11DA·HUD08/11A·POR22/11H·NOR29/11H·BRA06/12A·WYC09/12H·ROT13/12A·DON20/12H·REA26/12H·WYC29/12A·STE01/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.730.800.800.93
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (17)0.880.941.120.620.671.22
vs Weaker (11)0.640.730.201.001.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L00D20W00D12L10W02L00DA·BRA08/11H·BLA15/11H·LEY29/11A·WIG02/12A·BRA08/12H·WYC13/12A·STE20/12H·NOR26/12H·WIG29/12A·REA01/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.810.750.570.79
vs Stronger (8)1.000.751.400.600.331.00
vs Similar (21)0.520.810.550.820.500.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Plymouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards80.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Plymouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lorent Tolaj43%
Aribim Pepple35%
Owen Oseni24%
Caleb Watts19%
Herbie Kane12%
Bradley Ibrahim12%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu11%
Malachi Boateng10%
Mathias Ross10%
Joe Ralls10%
Xavier Amaechi10%
Ronan Curtis10%
Brendan Galloway8%
Alex Mitchell7%
Owen Dale4%
Matthew Sorinola3%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
Victor Pálsson0%
Jamie Paterson0%
Wes Harding0%
Bali Mumba0%
Joe Edwards0%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Luca Ashby-Hammond0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Caleb Roberts0%
Ayman Benarous0%
Law McCabe0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Tegan Finn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julio Pleguezuelo38%
Bradley Ibrahim35%
Owen Dale32%
Matthew Sorinola32%
Caleb Watts23%
Bali Mumba22%
Joe Edwards22%
Caleb Roberts22%
Mathias Ross21%
Joe Ralls20%
Ronan Curtis19%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu18%
Jack Mackenzie18%
Alex Mitchell17%
Lorent Tolaj17%
Malachi Boateng17%
Wes Harding14%
Owen Oseni14%
Kornél Szűcs14%
Brendan Galloway12%
Aribim Pepple11%
Xavier Amaechi10%
Law McCabe9%
Ayman Benarous8%
Tegan Finn8%
Luca Ashby-Hammond5%
Conor Hazard3%
Victor Pálsson0%
Jamie Paterson0%
Herbie Kane0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Pálsson50%
Lorent Tolaj27%
Herbie Kane25%
Ronan Curtis19%
Ayman Benarous15%
Bali Mumba15%
Wes Harding14%
Malachi Boateng12%
Bradley Ibrahim12%
Owen Dale11%
Joe Ralls10%
Caleb Watts10%
Joe Edwards8%
Owen Oseni7%
Xavier Amaechi7%
Aribim Pepple5%
Matthew Sorinola5%
Luca Ashby-Hammond5%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu3%
Mathias Ross3%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
Jamie Paterson0%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Brendan Galloway0%
Alex Mitchell0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Caleb Roberts0%
Law McCabe0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Tegan Finn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lorent Tolaj53%
Ronan Curtis19%
Aribim Pepple19%
Caleb Watts16%
Owen Oseni14%
Alex Mitchell10%
Ayman Benarous8%
Bradley Ibrahim6%
Kornél Szűcs5%
Jamie Paterson4%
Owen Dale4%
Xavier Amaechi3%
Joe Edwards3%
Mathias Ross3%
Malachi Boateng2%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
Victor Pálsson0%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu0%
Joe Ralls0%
Wes Harding0%
Bali Mumba0%
Herbie Kane0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Brendan Galloway0%
Luca Ashby-Hammond0%
Matthew Sorinola0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Caleb Roberts0%
Law McCabe0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Tegan Finn0%
Burton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Beesley23%
Charlie Webster21%
Tyrese Shade19%
Fábio Tavares16%
Kyran Lofthouse12%
Alex Hartridge8%
John Joshua Mckiernan6%
George Evans6%
Udoka Godwin-Malife5%
Jack Armer5%
Terence Vancooten4%
Jasper Moon4%
Dylan Williams3%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Julian Larsson0%
Finn Delap0%
Kain Adom0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Terence Vancooten22%
Finn Delap20%
George Evans19%
Jack Newall18%
Udoka Godwin-Malife18%
Bradley Collins17%
John Joshua Mckiernan15%
Kgagelo Chauke15%
Kyran Lofthouse14%
Dylan Williams13%
Alex Hartridge12%
Andy Cannon12%
Jake Beesley11%
Jack Armer10%
Toby Sibbick10%
Jasper Moon9%
Sulyman Krubally9%
Charlie Webster8%
Kain Adom7%
Fábio Tavares6%
Sebastian Revan6%
Tyrese Shade5%
Julian Larsson4%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kyran Lofthouse18%
Jake Beesley17%
Charlie Webster12%
George Evans11%
Terence Vancooten9%
Udoka Godwin-Malife8%
Julian Larsson8%
Kain Adom7%
Sebastian Revan6%
Jasper Moon4%
Sulyman Krubally4%
Dylan Williams3%
Fábio Tavares3%
John Joshua Mckiernan3%
Jack Armer3%
Alex Hartridge2%
Toby Sibbick2%
Tyrese Shade2%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Webster33%
Tyrese Shade29%
Jake Beesley23%
Kain Adom7%
Andy Cannon6%
Julian Larsson4%
Fábio Tavares3%
Jack Armer3%
Kyran Lofthouse2%
Udoka Godwin-Malife0%
Alex Hartridge0%
Terence Vancooten0%
George Evans0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Jasper Moon0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Dylan Williams0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Plymouth's squad is €8m more valuable than Burton's (€13m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Plymouth's attack is €3m more valuable than Burton's (€4m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Plymouth's midfield is €1m more valuable than Burton's (€3m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Plymouth's defence is €4m more valuable than Burton's (€6m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
PLY wins
3
Draws
0
BUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Plymouth vs Burton · H/A from PLY
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ABurton Vs PLY0-4
29/04/23HPLY Vs Burton1-0
19/11/22ABurton Vs PLY2-2
09/04/22ABurton Vs PLY0-0
09/10/21HPLY Vs Burton2-1
17/04/21ABurton Vs PLY1-1
10/10/20HPLY Vs Burton2-0

PlymouthPlymouth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26AStevenage Vs PLY1-1
29/12/25HPLY Vs Wycombe1-1
26/12/25HPLY Vs Reading1-4
20/12/25ADoncaster Vs PLY1-5
13/12/25HPLY Vs Rotherham1-0
09/12/25AWycombe Vs PLY0-1
06/12/25HPLY Vs Bradford0-1
29/11/25HPLY Vs Northampton0-3
22/11/25APort Vale Vs PLY0-1
08/11/25AHuddersfield Vs PLY3-1

BurtonBurton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26AReading Vs BUR2-0
29/12/25HBUR Vs Wigan0-2
26/12/25HBUR Vs Northampton5-1
20/12/25AStevenage Vs BUR2-2
13/12/25HBUR Vs Wycombe0-0
08/12/25ABrackley Town Vs BUR1-3
02/12/25AWigan Vs BUR1-0
29/11/25HBUR Vs Leyton Orient0-4
15/11/25HBUR Vs Blackpool1-0
08/11/25ABradford Vs BUR1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Plymouth
Plymouth
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.20
HomeLLWLD1.31
AwayLWWWD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.882.922.83
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.241.311.17
Conceded1.641.621.67
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet14%12%17%
Corners10.6010.0011.27
Cards4.003.804.23
Burton
Burton
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLL1.34
HomeWLDWL1.40
AwayWLWDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.502.722.28
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.241.441.04
Conceded1.261.281.24
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners9.499.299.68
Cards3.493.293.68

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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