Plzen are the clear favourites, the model rating them at 67% for a home win, 20% for a draw and 13% for a Slovákko victory. The Czech side’s home form shows they average 2.18 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded against weaker opposition, while Slovákko, playing away against a stronger side, averages just 1.0 goal scored and 3.75 conceded. The expected total is 3.1 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 22% of the time. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Plzen, with an 11% probability.
The model’s suggested picks include: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.6%, Away under 3.5 goals98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals98.6%, Under 7.598.4% (edge 4%), Home +2 handicap96.1%, Under 6.595.8% (edge 4%), Over 19.5 fouls94.5%, and Away under 2.5 goals94.2% (edge 4%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability and any edge percentage. The model’s pick remains the home win, supported by Plzen’s robust home attack and Slovákko’s defensive frailties on the road.
Results analysis
The draw stunned the pundits, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 68% probability, failed to materialise. Plzen and Slovakia finished 1-1, a result that left the model’s call incorrect. The match was a quiet affair, with both sides scoring once and no goal-scoring spree. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.5%), Under 7.5 (98.4%), Home +2 handicap (96.1%), Under 6.5 (95.8%), Over 19.5 fouls (94.4%) and Away under 2.5 goals (94.2%). All these picks were settled in the match, underscoring the model’s strength in over-under and handicap markets even when the outright outcome was wrong.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Plzen win✗ Miss
67.6%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.29
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
Dafabet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Draw✓ Hit
20.0%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.25
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.80
Pinnacle
5.69
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Slovácko win✗ Miss
12.3%
Avg Implied 10.7% · @ 8.64
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
9.05
Pinnacle
9.02
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Plzen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.23
2.00
0.93
1.07
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.67
2.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (19)
1.95
1.37
2.18
1.00
1.62
1.88
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovácko
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.67
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.81
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
2.50
1.60
1.60
1.00
3.40
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.25
1.44
1.44
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
@ 1.14+1.0%
Under 1.5
17.1%
@ 5.16-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
BetVictor
5.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.50-1.5%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 2.46+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.51
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.49
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
@ 2.26-3.1%
Under 3.5
61.6%
@ 1.60+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
@ 1.83+2.7%
No
46.7%
@ 1.88-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.84
No
1xBet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.1%@ 6.57+4.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.99+4.1%
1-1 ✓
9.5%@ 9.62+4.8%
1-0
8.9%@ 7.68+3.1%
3-0
8.3%@ 8.06+2.8%
3-1
7.3%@ 9.70+2.7%
0-0
5.2%@ 16.33+2.5%
4-0
4.7%@ 12.28+1.0%
Plzen goals ↓
Slovácko goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
3.0%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.9%
9.5%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
2
11%
9.7%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.3%
7.3%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
4
4.7%
4.1%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Plzen goals (down), columns = Slovácko goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Plzen is 0.87 points better than Slovácko in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Plzen is 1.37 goals better than Slovácko in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Plzen is 0.40 goals worse than Slovácko in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Plzen is 10.5 percentage points better than Slovácko in terms of average possession (59% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Plzen
For 5.1 · Against 2.8 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovácko
For 4.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 15.5 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Plzen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.1
8.6
4.9
5.5
4.3
26.1
26.8
25.4
vs Stronger (5)
9.8
11.0
8.0
7.4
8.0
6.5
26.8
30.7
21.0
vs Similar (13)
9.8
11.0
9.1
6.2
7.4
5.4
28.5
31.4
26.8
vs Weaker (32)
9.2
9.7
8.4
4.0
4.5
3.5
24.9
24.7
25.2
% over line
49%
56%
41%
72%
72%
72%
79%
80%
77%
% under line
51%
44%
59%
28%
28%
28%
21%
20%
23%
This opponent (Slovácko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovácko
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
10.0
3.4
3.9
3.0
26.7
27.7
25.8
vs Stronger (15)
9.1
8.8
9.6
4.5
5.0
3.9
28.0
29.9
25.9
vs Similar (35)
10.6
11.2
10.1
2.9
3.2
2.8
26.1
26.5
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
68%
58%
44%
55%
36%
85%
91%
79%
% under line
37%
32%
42%
56%
45%
64%
15%
9%
21%
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Hradec Králové
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Slovan Liberec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Slavia Praha
4.5
Teplice
4.5
Pardubice
4.4
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.7
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.2
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.1
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.2%
@ 1.70-6.9%
Under 9.5
52.8%
@ 2.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.8%
@ 1.63+4.1%
Under 3.5
40.2%
@ 2.05-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.59
Under
Superbet
2.12
Betano
1.98
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Plzen or Draw✓ Hit
88.1%
Avg Implied 89.0% · @ 1.05
Edge
-0.9%
68%
20%
12%
covers Plzen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Plzen or Slovácko✗ Miss
80.3%
Avg Implied 83.4% · @ 1.12
Edge
-3.0%
68%
20%
12%
covers Plzen + Slovácko
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw or Slovácko✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.39
Edge
+3.9%
68%
20%
12%
covers Draw + Slovácko
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
William Hil
3.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Plzen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.8%
@ 1.05+0.7%
Under
10.2%
@ 8.64-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Under
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
8.60
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.20
Plzen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
66.6%
@ 1.34-2.7%
Under
33.4%
@ 3.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Plzen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
40.0%
@ 2.09-4.4%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.67+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.16
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Unibet
1.67
Plzen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 3.77-4.8%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.23+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.13
BetVictor
3.90
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Slovácko over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.0%
@ 1.70+3.6%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.04-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Slovácko over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.6%
@ 4.48+0.8%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.17-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Slovácko over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 13.17-1.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Slovácko over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 45.50-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Plzen, so a minus line means Plzen give that many goals of a start and Slovácko receive them. At -1, Plzen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Plzen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Plzen)Actual: Slovácko
Plzen -2
25.5%
@ 2.94-5.1%
Draw -2
20.6%
@ 3.96-2.0%
Slovácko +2
53.9%
@ 1.91+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Away
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Unibet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Handicap -1 (Plzen)Actual: Slovácko
Plzen -1
46.1%
@ 1.79-4.4%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 3.82-1.2%
Slovácko +1
31.5%
@ 3.47+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.65
Away
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
Superbet
3.35
Handicap +1 (Plzen)Actual: Plzen
Plzen +1
88.1%
@ 1.06+1.4%
Draw +1
8.0%
@ 10.50-0.8%
Slovácko -1
3.9%
@ 20.50-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
9.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Handicap +2 (Plzen)Actual: Plzen
Plzen +2
96.1%
Draw +2
3.0%
Slovácko -2
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Plzen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.00
0.33
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.62
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.16
0.63
1.18
0.27
1.12
1.12
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovácko
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.79
0.71
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.40
0.40
0.60
0.80
2.20
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.78
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.24+0.0%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 3.68-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.18-4.2%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.62+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 4.84-5.2%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.15+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.85
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Plzen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
60.4%
@ 1.41-5.6%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.73+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.87
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Unibet
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Plzen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.0%
@ 2.93-6.6%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.35+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
2.90
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.82
Under
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Plzen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 7.17-5.7%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.06+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Betano
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Slovácko over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.5%
@ 3.07+1.3%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.33-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.37
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Slovácko over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 11.50-1.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Slovácko over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 55.00-99.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
55.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Plzen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.60
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.12
0.50
0.00
0.17
0.17
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.74
1.00
0.73
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovácko
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.71
0.79
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.10
1.20
1.00
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.65
0.44
0.67
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.3%
@ 1.13+1.3%
Under 0.5
16.7%
@ 5.14-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Under
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 1.71-7.9%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 2.03+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.4%
@ 3.21-6.4%
Under 2.5
77.6%
@ 1.30+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Plzen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
72.6%
@ 1.27-0.4%
Under
27.4%
@ 3.42+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Under
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Plzen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.7%
@ 2.27-10.2%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.57+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Plzen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 4.99-9.3%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.14+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Slovácko over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
35.7%
@ 2.41-2.7%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.50+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.43
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
10Bet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Slovácko over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 8.63-3.0%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.04+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Slovácko over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 36.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.0%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
89.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
88.1%
1.05
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.0%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.13
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.13
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.9%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-3.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
80.2%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.9%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.5%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.22
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.4%
1.17
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.9%
1.24
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
1.38
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.0%
1.35
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.24
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
+0.0%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.27
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Plzen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christophe Kabongo50%
Matěj Vydra33%
Tomáš Ladra33%
Dávid Krčík33%
Patrik Hrošovský25%
Denis Višinský25%
Sampson Dweh25%
Lukáš Červ0%
Cheick Souaré0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Merchas Doski0%
Amar Memić0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Alexandr Sojka0%
Karel Spáčil0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sampson Dweh50%
Matěj Vydra33%
Merchas Doski33%
Lukáš Červ25%
Christophe Kabongo25%
Stefan Pirgić25%
Patrik Hrošovský0%
Tomáš Ladra0%
Cheick Souaré0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Denis Višinský0%
Amar Memić0%
Alexandr Sojka0%
Karel Spáčil0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cheick Souaré33%
Alexandr Sojka33%
Patrik Hrošovský25%
Amar Memić25%
Matěj Vydra0%
Tomáš Ladra0%
Lukáš Červ0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Merchas Doski0%
Christophe Kabongo0%
Denis Višinský0%
Sampson Dweh0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Karel Spáčil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matěj Vydra33%
Patrik Hrošovský0%
Tomáš Ladra0%
Lukáš Červ0%
Cheick Souaré0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Merchas Doski0%
Christophe Kabongo0%
Denis Višinský0%
Sampson Dweh0%
Amar Memić0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Alexandr Sojka0%
Karel Spáčil0%
Slovácko
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pavel Juroška33%
Gigli Ndefe20%
Michal Trávník0%
Tihomir Kostadinov0%
Milan Heča0%
Marek Havlík0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Martin Šviderský0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Filip Horský0%
Simon Sloncik0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tihomir Kostadinov40%
Andrej Stojchevski40%
Milan Heča25%
Martin Šviderský25%
Simon Sloncik25%
Michal Trávník20%
Gigli Ndefe20%
Jocelin Behiratche20%
Marek Havlík0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Filip Horský0%
Pavel Juroška0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Trávník20%
Marek Havlík20%
Gigli Ndefe0%
Tihomir Kostadinov0%
Milan Heča0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Martin Šviderský0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Filip Horský0%
Pavel Juroška0%
Simon Sloncik0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pavel Juroška33%
Michal Trávník0%
Gigli Ndefe0%
Tihomir Kostadinov0%
Milan Heča0%
Marek Havlík0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Martin Šviderský0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Filip Horský0%
Simon Sloncik0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Plzen's squad is €49m more valuable than Slovácko's (€57m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Plzen's attack is €13m more valuable than Slovácko's (€15m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Plzen's midfield is €19m more valuable than Slovácko's (€22m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Plzen's defence is €17m more valuable than Slovácko's (€20m vs €4m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Artis
Pardubice
Zlin