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Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Vs
49%
29%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nyva Ternopil
Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podillya Khmelnytskyi win✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D30W01L20W10W11D01L00D22D01LA·KRE03/05H·DIN11/05A·MET19/05H·HIR25/05H·KHU08/08A·MET17/08H·BUK25/08A·MIN01/09H·PRY07/09A·AHR11/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.901.670.730.871.07
vs Stronger (5)0.801.000.331.001.501.00
vs Similar (25)1.360.882.000.670.771.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W33D11D01L32W11D01L20W03L23LH·MET12/05A·CHE19/05H·KRE25/05H·EPI08/08A·KHU16/08H·MET25/08A·BUK31/08A·MIN06/09A·PRY11/09H·AHR15/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.171.271.000.801.33
vs Stronger (7)0.571.290.801.000.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.171.131.501.000.921.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Podillya Khmelnytskyi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0 ✓
12.4%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
Podillya Khmelnytskyi goals ↓
Nyva Ternopil goals →
01234
010%7.2%3.8%1.2%0.3%
112%14%5.6%1.7%0.4%
210%9.1%4.1%1.3%0.3%
34.9%4.5%2.0%0.6%0.1%
41.8%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Podillya Khmelnytskyi goals (down), columns = Nyva Ternopil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Chernihiv
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.43
SK Poltava
1.88
Kudrivka
1.71
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.67
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.50
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.50
Metal Kharkiv
1.41
Nyva Ternopil
1.40
UCSA
1.38
Bukovyna
1.36
Prykarpattia
1.33
Minai
1.17
Yarud Mariupol'
1.17
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.15
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Dinaz Vyshhorod
0.71
Kremin'
0.61
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.00
Khust City
0.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi is 0.25 points worse than Nyva Ternopil in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernihiv
2.50
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.91
UCSA
1.62
SK Poltava
1.46
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.42
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.33
Prykarpattia
1.33
Khust City
1.33
Metal Kharkiv
1.32
Kudrivka
1.25
Nyva Ternopil
1.24
Yarud Mariupol'
1.04
Minai
1.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.92
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.92
Bukovyna
0.91
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.86
Dinaz Vyshhorod
0.79
Kremin'
0.65
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi is 0.32 goals worse than Nyva Ternopil in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Chernihiv
0.00
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.71
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.74
Kudrivka
0.79
SK Poltava
0.88
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.88
Bukovyna
0.91
Metal Kharkiv
0.95
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.08
Nyva Ternopil
1.16
Prykarpattia
1.17
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.18
Minai
1.30
UCSA
1.46
Yarud Mariupol'
1.46
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.54
Kremin'
1.78
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.92
Khust City
3.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi is 0.08 goals better than Nyva Ternopil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D20W10W00D00D00D00D00DA·KRE03/05H·DIN11/05A·MET19/05H·HIR25/05H·KHU08/08A·MET17/08H·BUK25/08A·MIN01/09H·PRY07/09A·AHR11/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.330.870.200.400.47
vs Stronger (5)0.600.200.330.001.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.640.361.000.250.310.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D10W00D22D00D01L20W03L00DH·MET12/05A·CHE19/05H·KRE25/05H·EPI08/08A·KHU16/08H·MET25/08A·BUK31/08A·MIN06/09A·PRY11/09H·AHR15/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.530.200.470.80
vs Stronger (7)0.290.290.400.200.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.570.570.600.200.540.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Podillya Khmelnytskyi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L00D00D11D01L00D22D01LA·KRE03/05H·DIN11/05A·MET19/05H·HIR25/05H·KHU08/08A·MET17/08H·BUK25/08A·MIN01/09H·PRY07/09A·AHR11/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.800.530.470.60
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.720.521.000.420.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyva Ternopil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W22D01L01L10W11D00D00D00D23LH·MET12/05A·CHE19/05H·KRE25/05H·EPI08/08A·KHU16/08H·MET25/08A·BUK31/08A·MIN06/09A·PRY11/09H·AHR15/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.730.800.330.53
vs Stronger (7)0.291.000.400.800.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.610.570.900.800.380.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Podillya Khmelnytskyi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyva Ternopil over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (26)
€28m
BUK (25)
€9m
ED (23)
€6m
KUD (24)
€5m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
KKI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (10)
€10m
BUK (10)
€4m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (6)
€7m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
KKI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (10)
€11m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
KKI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
PK wins
1
Draws
0
NT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Ternopil · H/A from PK
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/23ANyva Ternopil Vs PK0-0
10/09/23HPK Vs Nyva Ternopil2-0

Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/24AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs PK1-0
07/09/24HPK Vs Prykarpattia2-2
01/09/24AMinai Vs PK0-0
25/08/24HPK Vs Bukovyna0-1
17/08/24AMetal Kharkiv Vs PK1-1
08/08/24HPK Vs Khust City1-0
25/05/24HPK Vs Hirnyk-Sport2-0
19/05/24AMetalurh Zaporizhya Vs PK1-0
11/05/24HPK Vs Dinaz Vyshhorod3-0
03/05/24AKremin' Vs PK1-1

Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/24HNT Vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk2-3
11/09/24APrykarpattia Vs NT3-0
06/09/24AMinai Vs NT0-2
31/08/24ABukovyna Vs NT1-0
25/08/24HNT Vs Metal Kharkiv1-1
16/08/24AKhust City Vs NT2-3
08/08/24HNT Vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-1
25/05/24HNT Vs Kremin'1-1
19/05/24AChernihiv Vs NT3-3
12/05/24HNT Vs Metalurh Zaporizhya4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL1.32
HomeWWWLD1.82
AwayDLDDL0.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%53%6%
AVG goals2.092.241.94
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %32%35%29%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.181.470.88
Conceded0.910.761.06
BTTS53%41%65%
Clean Sheet29%35%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Nyva Ternopil
Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.18
HomeWDLDL1.20
AwayDWLWL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.222.122.32
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %36%32%40%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.101.161.04
Conceded1.120.961.28
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2356
74%
2.4
4417+27
2.7
74%
48%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1231.90.7
-
2SK PoltavaSK Poltava2445
54%
1.9
3521+14
2.3
67%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.9
-
3KudrivkaKudrivka2441
50%
1.7
3019+11
2.0
67%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.8
-
4Metalist 1925 KharkivMetalist 1925 Kharkiv2440
46%
1.7
3421+13
2.3
75%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
28
107111.40.9
-
5Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka2436
38%
1.5
3217+15
2.0
62%
29%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.30.7
-
6Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2535
36%
1.4
3129+2
2.4
72%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
7UCSAUCSA2433
38%
1.4
3935+4
3.1
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.5
-
8Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk2233
45%
1.5
1926-7
2.0
59%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2432
33%
1.3
3228+4
2.5
67%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.2
-
10Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv2231
36%
1.4
2921+8
2.3
73%
41%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.31.0
-
11BukovynaBukovyna2230
36%
1.4
2020+0
1.8
64%
23%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4230.90.9
-
12Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi2630
27%
1.2
2428-4
2.0
65%
31%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'2428
33%
1.2
2535-10
2.5
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.5
-
14MinaiMinai2327
30%
1.2
2330-7
2.3
70%
48%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya2626
23%
1.0
2440-16
2.5
77%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
16Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod2417
12%
0.7
1946-27
2.7
79%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
17KreminKremin'2314
13%
0.6
1541-26
2.4
70%
52%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
18ChernihivChernihiv26
100%
3.0
50+5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.50.0
-
19Kolos Kovalivka IIKolos Kovalivka II10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
20Khust CityKhust City30
0%
0.0
49-5
4.3
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.0
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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