Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki will host Nieciecza in a fixture that the model predicts to finish with an away win, giving the visitors a 41 % chance of victory, a 34 % chance for the hosts, and a 25 % chance of a draw. The expected total goals is 3.2, with the most likely total being three goals at a 22 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 11.2 % probability. Pogoń’s home form shows an average of 1.58 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opposition, while Nieciecza’s away form averages 1.33 scored and 2.78 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (95.2 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.9 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (92.9 % with a 2 % edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (90.6 % with a 2 % edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win, fell short as the game finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s prediction wrong. The model had given the away side a 41% chance of triumph, yet the match ended in a stalemate. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely score of 1-2 in the model’s distribution, but the outcome was a draw. All of the model’s suggested picks were settled: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.2%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93.0%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 90.4%. Both teams were unbeaten in their last five matches, each ending their recent run with a 2-2 draw.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied 36.8% · @ 2.48
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.60
10Bet
2.60
SBO
2.56
1xBet
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Draw✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.50
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.89
Betano
3.60
Betfair
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Dafabet
3.55
Nieciecza win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.45
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.40
1.33
1.33
1.27
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.30
1.48
1.46
1.38
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nieciecza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nieciecza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
2.00
1.31
1.69
1.29
2.36
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.43
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (21)
1.38
2.24
1.42
1.83
1.33
2.78
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
@ 1.17+5.2%
Under 1.5
15.4%
@ 4.49-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.91
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.59+4.7%
Under 2.5
36.9%
@ 2.23-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.62
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.36
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.9%
@ 2.44+3.1%
Under 3.5
59.1%
@ 1.49-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.54
Unibet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.4%
@ 1.49+3.7%
No
34.6%
@ 2.40-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.50
No
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
William Hil
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 6.57+4.4%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.57+3.6%
2-1
7.8%@ 8.70+2.7%
2-2 ✓
6.7%@ 10.48+2.5%
0-2
5.7%@ 13.20+2.3%
0-1
5.6%@ 10.07+1.2%
1-3
5.0%@ 15.93+2.2%
1-0
4.9%@ 10.36+0.6%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals ↓
Nieciecza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
5.6%
5.7%
3.3%
1.4%
1
4.9%
11%
8.8%
5.0%
2.1%
2
4.6%
7.8%
6.7%
3.8%
1.6%
3
2.3%
4.0%
3.4%
2.0%
0.8%
4
0.9%
1.5%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals (down), columns = Nieciecza goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 0.83 points better than Nieciecza in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 0.17 goals better than Nieciecza in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 0.83 goals better than Nieciecza in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or Draw✓ Hit
58.8%
Avg Implied 62.3% · @ 1.48
Edge
-3.5%
34%
25%
41%
covers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
SBO
1.49
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or Nieciecza✗ Miss
74.8%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.7%
34%
25%
41%
covers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki + Nieciecza
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
SBO
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Nieciecza✓ Hit
66.4%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.45
Edge
+2.8%
34%
25%
41%
covers Draw + Nieciecza
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.5%
@ 1.22+2.1%
Under
21.5%
@ 3.94-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.27
Superbet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.4%
@ 2.05+0.2%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.69-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.06
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.68
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 4.34-1.4%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.18+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.31
Superbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 9.97-2.5%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.05+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
8.90
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Nieciecza over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.0%
@ 1.20+4.9%
Under
18.0%
@ 4.06-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Under
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.22
1xBet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
Nieciecza over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.2%
@ 2.02+5.3%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.71-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Unibet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Nieciecza over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.7%
@ 4.20+2.6%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.19-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Pinnacle
4.24
BetVictor
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Nieciecza over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 9.50-0.3%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.04+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
9.40
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, so a minus line means Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki give that many goals of a start and Nieciecza receive them. At -1, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Nieciecza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nieciecza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.03
0.56
0.69
0.43
1.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.67
1.00
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.00
0.58
0.58
0.56
1.56
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.8%
@ 1.28-1.7%
Under 0.5
29.2%
@ 3.36+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.1%
@ 2.31-5.0%
Under 1.5
64.9%
@ 1.54+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Betfair
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 5.30-5.5%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.12+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.7%
@ 1.86-2.0%
Under
52.3%
@ 1.84+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 5.22-0.3%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.12+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.45
Superbet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 13.00-4.8%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Nieciecza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.3%
@ 1.87-4.2%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.84+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Nieciecza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.21-7.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.11+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
Superbet
5.25
Betano
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Nieciecza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 13.62-5.1%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.80
0.93
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.78
0.85
0.92
0.43
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nieciecza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nieciecza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.75
1.00
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.29
0.33
0.00
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
1.24
0.83
1.25
0.78
1.22
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.7%
@ 1.17-0.3%
Under 0.5
20.3%
@ 4.66+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.0%
@ 1.81-5.1%
Under 1.5
54.0%
@ 1.89+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.40-7.1%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.27+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.63-1.1%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.13+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.04
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 3.89-3.8%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.21+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.92
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 9.50-5.2%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.04+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Nieciecza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.1%
@ 1.60-2.8%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.20+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Nieciecza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 3.86-6.0%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.21+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
Nieciecza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 10.00-5.1%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.6%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.5%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.7%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.21
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.0%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.0%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.0%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.1%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.17
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
75.3%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.8%
1.24
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
SBO
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
-1.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nieciecza · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kamil Zapolnik23%
Ivan Durdov19%
Rafał Kurzawa17%
Jesús Jiménez16%
Krzysztof Kubica16%
Damian Hilbrycht15%
Morgan Fassbender10%
Andrzej Trubeha10%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz7%
Artem Putivtsev6%
Sergio Guerrero4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Isik Gabriel3%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz3%
Lucas Masoero0%
Bartosz Kopacz0%
Maciej Wolski0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Radu Boboc0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Dominik Biniek0%
Miłosz Matysik0%
Wojciech Jakubik0%
Diego Deisadze0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Putivtsev33%
Krzysztof Kubica28%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz21%
Bartosz Kopacz21%
Rafał Kurzawa21%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz21%
Dominik Biniek20%
Kamil Zapolnik19%
Damian Hilbrycht18%
Miłosz Matysik18%
Maciej Wolski16%
Sergio Guerrero14%
Isik Gabriel14%
Andrzej Trubeha10%
Wojciech Jakubik9%
Lucas Masoero5%
Radu Boboc4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Jesús Jiménez3%
Ivan Durdov0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Morgan Fassbender0%
Diego Deisadze0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Damian Hilbrycht12%
Radu Boboc7%
Sergio Guerrero7%
Jesús Jiménez6%
Ivan Durdov6%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz6%
Lucas Masoero5%
Maciej Wolski5%
Wojciech Jakubik4%
Krzysztof Kubica4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz3%
Isik Gabriel3%
Morgan Fassbender3%
Rafał Kurzawa0%
Kamil Zapolnik0%
Bartosz Kopacz0%
Artem Putivtsev0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Andrzej Trubeha0%
Dominik Biniek0%
Miłosz Matysik0%
Diego Deisadze0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Krzysztof Kubica24%
Kamil Zapolnik19%
Morgan Fassbender14%
Ivan Durdov12%
Bartosz Kopacz11%
Isik Gabriel7%
Andrzej Trubeha5%
Rafał Kurzawa4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Damian Hilbrycht3%
Lucas Masoero0%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz0%
Jesús Jiménez0%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz0%
Maciej Wolski0%
Artem Putivtsev0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Radu Boboc0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Dominik Biniek0%
Miłosz Matysik0%
Wojciech Jakubik0%
Diego Deisadze0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's squad is €1m less valuable than Nieciecza's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's attack is €1m less valuable than Nieciecza's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Nieciecza have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Nieciecza have a similar defence value (both €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
PGM wins
0
Draws
0
NIE wins
Head-to-head
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza · H/A from PGM
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
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Miedz Legnica
ŁKS Łódź
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Puszcza Niepołomice
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów