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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Tychy 71 Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Vs
52%
23%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tychy 71
Tychy 71
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win✗ Miss
51.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W03L32W03L12L02L22D14L23L13LH·POL28/02A·CHR07/03H·POL14/03A·GÓR20/03H·STA06/04H·POG19/04A·RUC27/04H·WIE02/05A·ŁKS07/05A·ODR11/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.771.731.601.201.93
vs Stronger (5)1.402.200.672.002.502.50
vs Similar (25)1.481.682.001.501.001.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L24L11D01L10W32W02L23L04LH·PUS01/03A·STA06/03H·SLA15/03A·POL21/03H·ZNI04/04A·POG12/04H·ŁKS18/04A·WIE26/04A·CHR03/05H·RUC10/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.171.142.070.752.25
vs Stronger (2)0.502.50--0.502.50
vs Similar (26)0.962.191.152.000.772.38
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.003.001.000.00
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.4%
Under 3.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
4.7%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals ↓
Tychy 71 goals →
01234
04.4%3.7%3.2%1.4%0.5%
16.0%10%6.3%2.9%1.0%
27.0%9.5%6.4%2.9%1.0%
34.7%6.4%4.3%1.9%0.7%
42.4%3.2%2.2%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals (down), columns = Tychy 71 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Wisla Krakow
2.15
Slask Wroclaw
1.79
Wieczysta Kraków
1.75
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Znicz Pruszków
0.82
Górnik Łęczna
0.79
Tychy 71
0.68
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 0.65 points better than Tychy 71 in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 0.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.18
Wieczysta Kraków
2.08
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Stal Mielec
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Znicz Pruszków
1.18
Tychy 71
1.18
Górnik Łęczna
1.15
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 0.32 goals better than Tychy 71 in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Wisla Krakow
0.88
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Wieczysta Kraków
1.39
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Stal Mielec
1.82
Górnik Łęczna
1.82
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Tychy 71
2.18
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 0.59 goals better than Tychy 71 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 2.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L20W00D00D01L11D00D11D01LH·POL28/02A·CHR07/03H·POL14/03A·GÓR20/03H·STA06/04H·POG19/04A·RUC27/04H·WIE02/05A·ŁKS07/05A·ODR11/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.900.730.600.731.20
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.000.001.002.50
vs Similar (25)0.800.880.920.750.691.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L03L01L01L00D10W01L11D03LH·PUS01/03A·STA06/03H·SLA15/03A·POL21/03H·ZNI04/04A·POG12/04H·ŁKS18/04A·WIE26/04A·CHR03/05H·RUC10/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.270.501.290.251.25
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (26)0.381.350.541.310.231.38
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L12L03L12L01L11D14L12L12LH·POL28/02A·CHR07/03H·POL14/03A·GÓR20/03H·STA06/04H·POG19/04A·RUC27/04H·WIE02/05A·ŁKS07/05A·ODR11/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.871.001.000.470.73
vs Stronger (5)1.001.200.672.001.500.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.801.080.750.310.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tychy 71) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L21W10W00D10W22D01L12L01LH·PUS01/03A·STA06/03H·SLA15/03A·POL21/03H·ZNI04/04A·POG12/04H·ŁKS18/04A·WIE26/04A·CHR03/05H·RUC10/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.640.790.501.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (26)0.580.850.620.690.541.00
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tychy 71 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WK (22)
€12m
SW (22)
€7m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
PW (13)
€3m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
SW (8)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
PGM wins
0
Draws
0
T7 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Tychy 71 · H/A from PGM
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ATychy 71 Vs PGM1-2

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/26AOdra Opole Vs PGM3-1
07/05/26AŁKS Łódź Vs PGM3-2
02/05/26HPGM Vs Wieczysta Kraków1-4
27/04/26ARuch Chorzów Vs PGM2-2
19/04/26HPGM Vs Pogoń Siedlce0-2
06/04/26HPGM Vs Stal Mielec1-2
20/03/26AGórnik Łęczna Vs PGM3-0
14/03/26HPGM Vs Polonia Warszawa3-2
07/03/26AChrobry Głogów Vs PGM3-0
28/02/26HPGM Vs Polonia Bytom2-1

Tychy 71Tychy 71

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HT7 Vs Ruch Chorzów0-4
03/05/26AChrobry Głogów Vs T73-2
26/04/26AWieczysta Kraków Vs T72-0
18/04/26HT7 Vs ŁKS Łódź3-2
12/04/26APogoń Siedlce Vs T70-1
04/04/26HT7 Vs Znicz Pruszków0-1
21/03/26APolonia Bytom Vs T71-1
15/03/26HT7 Vs Slask Wroclaw2-4
06/03/26AStal Mielec Vs T74-0
01/03/26HT7 Vs Puszcza Niepołomice1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.26
HomeWWLLL1.56
AwayLLDLL0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%39%24%
AVG goals3.113.282.94
Over 1.5 %89%94%82%
Over 2.5 %69%67%71%
Over 3.5 %34%39%29%
Scored1.491.831.12
Conceded1.631.441.82
BTTS71%78%65%
Clean Sheet9%11%6%
Corners---
Cards---
Tychy 71
Tychy 71
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.20
HomeLLLWL1.21
AwayLDWLL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals3.263.383.15
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %66%62%69%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored1.481.621.35
Conceded1.781.751.81
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3371
61%
2.2
7229+43
3.1
88%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6252.20.9
-
2Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków3663
50%
1.8
7550+25
3.5
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5152.11.4
-
3Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw3359
48%
1.8
6647+19
3.4
94%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2322.01.4
-
4Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3656
44%
1.6
5039+11
2.5
81%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
5ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3555
43%
1.6
5749+8
3.0
86%
66%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
6Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3453
41%
1.6
5446+8
2.9
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.61.4
-
7Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3553
43%
1.5
5452+2
3.0
83%
60%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.51.5
-
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3452
44%
1.5
5253-1
3.1
88%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.6
-
9Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3449
35%
1.4
4540+5
2.5
82%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.31.2
-
10Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom3447
38%
1.4
5650+6
3.1
85%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
11Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3445
32%
1.3
5154-3
3.1
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.6
-
12Odra OpoleOdra Opole3444
32%
1.3
3440-6
2.2
76%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.2
-
13Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3443
35%
1.3
4960-11
3.2
85%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.8
-
14Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce3436
26%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
74%
38%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
15Stal MielecStal Mielec3436
29%
1.1
5162-11
3.3
91%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.8
-
16Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3428
21%
0.8
4068-28
3.2
76%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3427
15%
0.8
3962-23
3.0
91%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18Tychy 71Tychy 713423
15%
0.7
4074-34
3.4
79%
68%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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