Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice face a tightly contested encounter, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total goals hover at 2.3, pointing to a modestly low-scoring affair. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.5% probability. Pogoń’s home form shows 1.15 goals scored and 0.92 conceded against stronger opposition, while Puszcza’s away record boasts 2.0 goals scored and none conceded against weaker opponents. The home win probability is 39%, the draw 31%, and the away win 30%. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.0% with a 6% edge), and Under 5.5 (97.0% with a 4% edge). The match is balanced, but the model’s pick remains a home victory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pogoń Siedlce win
39.5%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.02
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.12
Dafabet
3.10
Betano
3.10
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Draw
30.9%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.15
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Bet365
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
Puszcza Niepołomice win
29.7%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.22
Edge
-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.26
Dafabet
2.26
Betano
2.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pogoń Siedlce
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.33
1.12
1.12
0.71
1.57
vs Stronger (23)
0.87
1.30
1.15
0.92
0.50
1.80
vs Similar (7)
1.14
1.43
1.00
2.00
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puszcza Niepołomice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.13
1.50
1.00
1.29
1.29
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
0.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.17
1.58
1.00
1.17
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.1%
@ 1.31-2.0%
Under 1.5
31.9%
@ 3.08+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
2.97
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.02-5.8%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.73+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.06
Betfair
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.76
Betfair
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.0%
@ 3.47-6.6%
Under 3.5
80.0%
@ 1.25+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.61
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Under
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
47.6%
@ 1.78-4.0%
No
52.4%
@ 1.90+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.78
No
Unibet
1.98
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.78+6.8%
0-0
11.4%@ 8.10+5.9%
1-0
11.2%@ 8.33+5.9%
0-1
9.2%@ 6.73+2.7%
2-1
8.2%@ 10.30+3.9%
2-0
7.8%@ 14.12+4.7%
1-2
6.9%@ 8.41+1.7%
0-2
5.5%@ 9.66+1.0%
Pogoń Siedlce goals ↓
Puszcza Niepołomice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.2%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.8%
8.2%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pogoń Siedlce goals (down), columns = Puszcza Niepołomice goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce is 0.33 points better than Puszcza Niepołomice in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Pogoń Siedlce is 0.33 goals better than Puszcza Niepołomice in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Pogoń Siedlce is 0.17 goals better than Puszcza Niepołomice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pogoń Siedlce or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.56
Edge
+11.5%
39%
31%
30%
covers Pogoń Siedlce + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pogoń Siedlce or Puszcza Niepołomice
69.1%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.9%
39%
31%
30%
covers Pogoń Siedlce + Puszcza Niepołomice
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Draw or Puszcza Niepołomice
60.5%
Avg Implied 70.2% · @ 1.31
Edge
-9.6%
39%
31%
30%
covers Draw + Puszcza Niepołomice
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
SBO
1.31
William Hil
1.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 0.5
Over
71.3%
@ 1.40+4.7%
Under
28.7%
@ 2.78-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
Superbet
2.77
Betano
2.75
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.71
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 1.5
Over
35.4%
@ 2.83+2.8%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.37-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.84
Under
Unibet
1.41
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
@ 7.16+0.1%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.06-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.80
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 17.50-1.7%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 0.5
Over
65.0%
@ 1.27-8.3%
Under
35.0%
@ 3.47+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.63
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Betano
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 1.5
Over
28.2%
@ 2.26-12.7%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.56+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 2.5
Over
9.0%
@ 5.13-9.1%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.13+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
@ 12.17-5.6%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pogoń Siedlce, so a minus line means Pogoń Siedlce give that many goals of a start and Puszcza Niepołomice receive them. At -1, Pogoń Siedlce must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pogoń Siedlce win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pogoń Siedlce)
Pogoń Siedlce -2
6.2%
@ 17.00+0.8%
Draw -2
11.8%
@ 8.80+1.4%
Puszcza Niepołomice +2
82.0%
@ 1.09-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Superbet
8.10
Away
Bet365
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Handicap -1 (Pogoń Siedlce)
Pogoń Siedlce -1
18.0%
@ 6.03+3.8%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 4.30+1.5%
Puszcza Niepołomice +1
60.5%
@ 1.30-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
4.80
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap +1 (Pogoń Siedlce)
Pogoń Siedlce +1
70.3%
@ 1.56+14.3%
Draw +1
17.8%
@ 3.72-5.6%
Puszcza Niepołomice -1
11.9%
@ 4.25-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
Unibet
1.47
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.30
Away
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
3.70
Handicap +2 (Pogoń Siedlce)
Pogoń Siedlce +2
88.1%
@ 1.17+11.8%
Draw +2
8.4%
@ 6.32-5.7%
Puszcza Niepołomice -2
3.5%
@ 9.33-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Away
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.30
Marathonbet
8.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pogoń Siedlce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.50
0.38
0.29
0.71
vs Stronger (23)
0.43
0.48
0.54
0.23
0.30
0.80
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.71
0.33
1.00
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puszcza Niepołomice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.56
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.67
0.50
0.42
0.58
0.92
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.9%
@ 1.40+0.2%
Under 0.5
34.1%
@ 2.70-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
William Hil
2.80
Unibet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.6%
@ 2.96-1.7%
Under 1.5
70.4%
@ 1.35+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Pinnacle
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Under
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 7.57-2.7%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.06+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.4%
@ 2.33+4.7%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.53-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.8%
@ 7.65-1.2%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.04+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.90
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 30.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.5%
@ 2.02-3.3%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.70+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
@ 6.05-5.4%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.08+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 15.88-4.5%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pogoń Siedlce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.62
0.75
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (23)
0.43
0.83
0.62
0.69
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.71
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puszcza Niepołomice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
1.00
0.44
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.50
1.08
0.58
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.4%
@ 1.27+2.0%
Under 0.5
24.6%
@ 3.50-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Superbet
3.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.2%
@ 2.22-1.5%
Under 1.5
59.8%
@ 1.59+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 4.90-3.7%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.15+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.8%
@ 1.95+3.5%
Under
49.2%
@ 1.75-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.0%
@ 5.74-0.0%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.10+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.75
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 14.62-3.6%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.2%
@ 1.72-5.5%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.99+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.8%
@ 4.45-6.9%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.16+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 11.50-5.2%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
Under 5.5
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
Under 4.5
91.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+5.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
91.0%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
+9.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+2.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+5.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+1.2%
Home +2 handicap
88.1%
1.17
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+11.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-0.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.16
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+6.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
+3.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+0.0%
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
Superbet
1.09
-
-
-
-2.2%
Under 3.5
80.0%
1.25
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
+6.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
-
+2.0%
Away under 1.5 goals
71.8%
1.56
1xBet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
+12.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.40
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
+4.7%
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.35
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
+1.7%
Home or Draw
70.3%
1.56
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
+11.5%
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
1.56
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
Unibet
1.47
+14.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Puszcza Niepołomice · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michalis Kosidis27%
German Barkovskiy20%
Antoni Klimek15%
Artur Crăciun14%
Jani Atanasov11%
Piotr Mroziński11%
Dawid Szymonowicz9%
Mateusz Cholewiak7%
Konrad Stępień7%
Łukasz Sołowiej6%
Roman Yakuba6%
Jakov Blagaić5%
Dawid Abramowicz4%
Jakub Serafin3%
Jin-hyun Lee0%
Mateusz Stępień0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Kewin Komar0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artur Siemaszko33%
Dawid Abramowicz29%
Artur Crăciun28%
German Barkovskiy27%
Jakub Stec25%
Jani Atanasov22%
Georgy Zhukov22%
Jakub Serafin22%
Dawid Szymonowicz22%
Wojciech Hajda21%
Łukasz Sołowiej19%
Konrad Stępień19%
Piotr Mroziński19%
Ioan-Calin Revenco18%
Roman Yakuba15%
Jakov Blagaić14%
Michal Siplak12%
Jin-hyun Lee11%
Mateusz Stępień10%
Michalis Kosidis10%
Antoni Klimek8%
Mateusz Cholewiak7%
Hubert Tomalski7%
Mateusz Radecki5%
Kewin Komar3%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Michał Perchel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konrad Stępień15%
German Barkovskiy13%
Jin-hyun Lee11%
Dawid Abramowicz11%
Jakub Serafin6%
Łukasz Sołowiej6%
Mateusz Stępień5%
Mateusz Cholewiak4%
Artur Crăciun3%
Michalis Kosidis3%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Dawid Szymonowicz0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Jani Atanasov0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Piotr Mroziński0%
Kewin Komar0%
Roman Yakuba0%
Antoni Klimek0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
German Barkovskiy13%
Jani Atanasov11%
Antoni Klimek8%
Piotr Mroziński7%
Jin-hyun Lee6%
Dawid Szymonowicz4%
Konrad Stępień4%
Michalis Kosidis3%
Jakub Serafin3%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Mateusz Stępień0%
Mateusz Cholewiak0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Dawid Abramowicz0%
Łukasz Sołowiej0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Artur Crăciun0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Kewin Komar0%
Roman Yakuba0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ŁKS Łódź
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów