This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
0.83
2.36
0.93
2.19
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.00
1.20
3.00
1.50
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
2.32
0.76
2.25
0.83
2.38
0.69
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
0-0 ✓
6.0%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
Pogoń Siedlce goals ↓
Wisla Krakow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
8.6%
9.3%
5.9%
2.9%
1
4.3%
11%
9.9%
6.4%
3.1%
2
2.9%
5.5%
5.3%
3.4%
1.6%
3
1.0%
2.0%
1.9%
1.2%
0.6%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pogoń Siedlce goals (down), columns = Wisla Krakow goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Wisla Krakow
2.15
Slask Wroclaw
1.79
Wieczysta Kraków
1.75
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Znicz Pruszków
0.82
Górnik Łęczna
0.79
Tychy 71
0.68
Pogoń Siedlce is 1.09 points worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 2.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.18
Wieczysta Kraków
2.08
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Stal Mielec
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Znicz Pruszków
1.18
Tychy 71
1.18
Górnik Łęczna
1.15
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Pogoń Siedlce is 1.21 goals worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 2.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Wisla Krakow
0.88
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Wieczysta Kraków
1.39
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Stal Mielec
1.82
Górnik Łęczna
1.82
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Tychy 71
2.18
Pogoń Siedlce is 0.39 goals worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pogoń Siedlce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.57
0.43
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (22)
0.59
0.55
0.60
0.40
0.58
0.67
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.43
1.29
0.50
1.00
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.80
1.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (25)
1.20
0.36
1.25
0.42
1.15
0.31
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pogoń Siedlce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.79
0.64
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (22)
0.77
0.59
1.00
0.70
0.58
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
0.00
0.33
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.40
1.07
0.43
1.19
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.20
0.40
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (25)
1.12
0.40
1.00
0.42
1.23
0.38
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wisla Krakow · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Sánchez83%
Marko Božić33%
Elie Youan20%
Ángel Rodado17%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxence Maisonneuve60%
Alan Uryga33%
Kacper Duda33%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Jordi Sánchez17%
Marko Božić17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Ángel Rodado0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafał Mikulec33%
Raoul Giger25%
Maxence Maisonneuve20%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Alan Uryga17%
Marko Božić17%
Ángel Rodado17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Jordi Sánchez0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Sánchez50%
Marko Božić33%
Ángel Rodado33%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WK (22)
€12m
SW (22)
€7m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
Pogoń Siedlce's squad is €11m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€2m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
PW (13)
€3m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
Pogoń Siedlce's attack is €5m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€1m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Pogoń Siedlce's midfield is €1m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
SW (8)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
Pogoń Siedlce's defence is €5m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€1m vs €5m).
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →