Polissya II are tipped to win as the model favours a home victory, with a 43 % chance of triumph, a 29 % chance of a draw and a 28 % chance of an away win. The expected total goals hover at 2.5, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 13.8 % probability. Polissya’s home form shows they score and concede 1.33 and 0.67 goals respectively against weaker opposition, while Ahrobiznes Volochysk’s away form indicates a similar scoring and conceding profile of 1.33 and 0.67. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with the model’s selections heavily favouring under-goals: Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Under 6.5 (98.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3 %), Under 5.5 (95.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.3 %), Away under 2.5 goals (89.8 %), Under 4.5 (88.5 %) and Home +2 handicap (88.5 %). The teams enter the game after recent draws, Polissya having a 2-2 stalemate with Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes a 0-0 draw with Lokomotiv Kyiv.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Polissya II win
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk win
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Polissya II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.80
1.00
1.67
1.50
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.75
1.00
1.67
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.13
0.93
1.33
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
5.00
-
-
1.00
5.00
vs Similar (23)
1.35
1.22
1.33
0.92
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.83
0.33
1.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
Polissya II goals ↓
Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.0%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
1
8.5%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.4%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.2%
5.0%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polissya II goals (down), columns = Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
SK Poltava
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.00
Chernihiv
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.50
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Polissya II is 1.00 points worse than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
UCSA
1.60
SK Poltava
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Inhulets
1.17
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.67
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.67
Polissya II is 0.20 goals better than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.17
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.33
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.33
Inhulets
1.50
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Polissya II and Ahrobiznes Volochysk are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Polissya II or Draw
72.6%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Polissya II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Polissya II or Ahrobiznes Volochysk
73.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Polissya II + Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ahrobiznes Volochysk
54.3%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Draw + Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Polissya II over/under 0.5
Over
80.1%
Under
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5
Over
22.0%
Under
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 3.5
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5
Over
70.1%
Under
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5
Over
34.0%
Under
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 3.5
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Polissya II, so a minus line means Polissya II give that many goals of a start and Ahrobiznes Volochysk receive them. At -1, Polissya II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Polissya II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Polissya II)
Polissya II -2
10.1%
Draw -2
14.2%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk +2
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Polissya II)
Polissya II -1
24.3%
Draw -1
21.4%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk +1
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Polissya II)
Polissya II +1
72.6%
Draw +1
15.7%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Polissya II)
Polissya II +2
88.3%
Draw +2
7.9%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -2
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Polissya II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.47
0.40
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.57
0.50
0.33
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Polissya II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.20
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.25
0.33
1.33
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.65
0.83
0.58
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
Polissya II's squad is €1m less valuable than Ahrobiznes Volochysk's (€1m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
Polissya II and Ahrobiznes Volochysk have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
Polissya II and Ahrobiznes Volochysk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Polissya II's defence is €1m less valuable than Ahrobiznes Volochysk's (€0m vs €1m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
Kulykiv
Inhulets
Prykarpattia
Metal Kharkiv
UCSA
Nyva Ternopil
Yarud Mariupol'
Kolos Kovalivka II
Chernihiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Probiy Horodenka