Polissya II are the clear favourites, with the model giving them a 77% chance of victory, a 16% chance of a draw and only 6% for Kolos Kovalivka II. The pick is a home win, driven by Polissya’s strong home form and Kolos’s poor away record against stronger opponents, where they average 0.33 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The expected total is 3.0 goals, but the most likely total is 2, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 14.6% chance. Polissya’s home scoring and conceding figures against this tier of opposition are favourable, while Kolos’s away scoring and conceding are weak. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Under 7.5 (98.8%), Home +2 handicap (98.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (97.8%), Under 6.5 (96.7%), Home or Draw (93.5%), Home +1 handicap (93.5%), and Under 5.5 (91.8%). Polissya’s recent draw, coming off a 2-2 result, and Kolos’s recent 1-3 loss after three defeats underscore the home side’s advantage.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Polissya II win
74.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II win
7.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Polissya II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.80
1.00
1.67
1.50
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.75
1.00
1.67
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.00
0.33
2.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
43.3%
No
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.0%
1-0
11.2%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
Polissya II goals ↓
Kolos Kovalivka II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
2.5%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
8.4%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
2
14%
8.9%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
11%
6.9%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
4
6.3%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polissya II goals (down), columns = Kolos Kovalivka II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Polissya II is 0.20 points worse than Kolos Kovalivka II in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Polissya II is 0.60 goals better than Kolos Kovalivka II in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 0.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Polissya II is 0.20 goals worse than Kolos Kovalivka II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Polissya II or Draw
92.4%
Avg Implied -
75%
18%
8%
covers Polissya II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Polissya II or Kolos Kovalivka II
82.4%
Avg Implied -
75%
18%
8%
covers Polissya II + Kolos Kovalivka II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka II
25.3%
Avg Implied -
75%
18%
8%
covers Draw + Kolos Kovalivka II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Polissya II over/under 0.5
Over
90.3%
Under
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5
Over
67.7%
Under
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5
Over
41.3%
Under
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 3.5
Over
20.8%
Under
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 0.5
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 1.5
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 2.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 3.5
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Polissya II, so a minus line means Polissya II give that many goals of a start and Kolos Kovalivka II receive them. At -1, Polissya II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Polissya II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Polissya II)
Polissya II -2
29.8%
Draw -2
22.3%
Kolos Kovalivka II +2
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Polissya II)
Polissya II -1
52.1%
Draw -1
22.6%
Kolos Kovalivka II +1
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Polissya II)
Polissya II +1
92.4%
Draw +1
5.6%
Kolos Kovalivka II -1
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Polissya II)
Polissya II +2
98.0%
Draw +2
1.7%
Kolos Kovalivka II -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Polissya II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Polissya II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.20
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.25
0.33
1.33
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.17
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
Polissya II and Kolos Kovalivka II have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
Polissya II and Kolos Kovalivka II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
Polissya II and Kolos Kovalivka II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Polissya II and Kolos Kovalivka II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
Kulykiv
Prykarpattia
Metal Kharkiv
Inhulets
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
UCSA
Nyva Ternopil
Yarud Mariupol'
Chernihiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Probiy Horodenka