Polissya II vs Prykarpattia Result & Analysis

Polissya II are tipped to win as the model’s pick, with a 46 % chance of a home victory, 29 % for a draw and 25 % for Prykarpattia to triumph. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly scored affair, and the single most likely score is 1-1, a 13.8 % probability. Polissya’s home form shows they average 1 goal scored and 1.5 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Prykarpattia, on the road, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The match is predicted to be low-scoring, reflected in the model’s selections: Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.7 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1 %) and Under 5.5 (96.1 %). Polissya’s recent draw and Prykarpattia’s win suggest a cautious start, with both sides likely to keep the scoreline tight.

The upset came early as Polissya II, the pre-match favourite with a 46% chance of victory, fell short, losing 1-2 to Prykarpattia. The model’s call was wrong, but the match lived up to its low-scoring nature, with the total goals tallying 3, well below the expected 2.5. The pre-match favourite had a 46% probability, while the model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2%), Under 5.5 (96.1%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.7%). Polissya II’s recent form shows a string of losses, while Prykarpattia comes off a two-game winning run, a contrast that helped explain the outcome.