Polonia Bytom are clear favourites, with the model giving a 73% chance of a home win and a 16% draw probability, while Podbeskidzie face only an 11% chance of victory. The prediction favours a 2-1 scoreline, the most likely result at 8.8%. The expected total of 3.8 goals points to a high-scoring encounter, yet the most probable total is three goals, a 20% chance. Polonia’s home form is strong against weaker opponents, scoring an average of 2.33 and conceding 2.0, whereas Podbeskidzie’s away record against stronger teams is weak, with only 0.87 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Suggested picks include a 98.8% chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals” (edge 8%), a 97.9% chance of “Away under 3.5 goals” (edge 7%), a 96.6% chance of “Away under 2.5 2H goals” (edge 7%), a 96.2% chance of “Home +2 handicap” (edge 15%), a 95.9% chance of “Under 7.5” goals, a 95.5% chance of “Home under 2.5 HT goals” (edge 5%), a 94.5% chance of “Home under 2.5 2H goals” (edge 6%), and a 93.8% chance of “Home over 0.5 goals” (edge 17%). Polonia’s recent draw and Podbeskidzie’s recent defeats underline the home side’s advantage.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Polonia Bytom win
73.3%
Avg Implied 39.0% · @ 2.32
Edge
+34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Betano
2.37
Dafabet
2.36
Pinnacle
2.36
Draw
16.1%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.38
Edge
-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.52
Dafabet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.40
Podbeskidzie win
10.7%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.65
Edge
-23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.79
Dafabet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Betano
2.72
1xBet
2.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Polonia Bytom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.83
1.80
1.47
2.07
2.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.83
1.73
1.36
1.69
2.23
vs Weaker (4)
3.50
1.50
2.33
2.00
7.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbeskidzie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbeskidzie
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.73
1.13
1.20
0.87
2.27
vs Stronger (29)
0.97
1.79
1.07
1.29
0.87
2.27
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.1%
@ 1.19+12.5%
Under 1.5
9.9%
@ 4.10-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.31
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.4%
@ 1.66+17.3%
Under 2.5
26.6%
@ 2.11-17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
53.1%
@ 2.56+17.2%
Under 3.5
46.9%
@ 1.43-17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.41
Both teams to score
Yes
61.1%
@ 1.54+1.3%
No
38.9%
@ 2.29-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
No
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.8%@ 8.60+3.6%
2-0
8.5%@ 12.03+4.8%
3-1
8.2%@ 15.73+5.3%
3-0
7.9%@ 22.87+6.0%
1-1
7.0%@ 6.28-0.2%
4-1
5.7%@ 39.38+4.6%
4-0
5.5%@ 52.13+4.7%
1-0
5.5%@ 9.38+0.7%
Polonia Bytom goals ↓
Podbeskidzie goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.8%
1.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
1
5.5%
7.0%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
2
8.5%
8.8%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.9%
8.2%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
4
5.5%
5.7%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polonia Bytom goals (down), columns = Podbeskidzie goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Polonia Bytom is 0.17 points better than Podbeskidzie in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Polonia Bytom is 0.67 goals better than Podbeskidzie in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Polonia Bytom is 0.83 goals worse than Podbeskidzie in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Polonia Bytom or Draw
89.3%
Avg Implied 66.0% · @ 1.39
Edge
+23.3%
73%
16%
11%
covers Polonia Bytom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Polonia Bytom or Podbeskidzie
83.9%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
+10.7%
73%
16%
11%
covers Polonia Bytom + Podbeskidzie
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.25
Draw or Podbeskidzie
26.7%
Avg Implied 60.8% · @ 1.51
Edge
-34.0%
73%
16%
11%
covers Draw + Podbeskidzie
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5
Over
93.8%
@ 1.21+17.0%
Under
6.2%
@ 4.01-17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5
Over
76.7%
@ 2.01+30.6%
Under
23.3%
@ 1.72-30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5
Over
52.7%
@ 4.19+30.7%
Under
47.3%
@ 1.19-30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Polonia Bytom over/under 3.5
Over
30.5%
@ 9.55+20.7%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.04-20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Podbeskidzie over/under 0.5
Over
64.4%
@ 1.24-10.3%
Under
35.6%
@ 3.67+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Podbeskidzie over/under 1.5
Over
27.6%
@ 2.17-15.0%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.61+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Podbeskidzie over/under 2.5
Over
8.6%
@ 4.81-10.6%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.15+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Betano
4.60
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Podbeskidzie over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
@ 11.00-6.5%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.04+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Polonia Bytom, so a minus line means Polonia Bytom give that many goals of a start and Podbeskidzie receive them. At -1, Polonia Bytom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Polonia Bytom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Polonia Bytom)
Polonia Bytom -2
33.3%
@ 9.20+23.6%
Draw -2
20.3%
@ 6.72+6.9%
Podbeskidzie +2
46.4%
@ 1.17-30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Superbet
8.60
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.40
Away
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (Polonia Bytom)
Polonia Bytom -1
53.6%
@ 4.30+33.3%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.09-1.7%
Podbeskidzie +1
26.7%
@ 1.50-31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Unibet
3.85
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.15
Unibet
3.50
Away
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Unibet
1.41
Handicap +1 (Polonia Bytom)
Polonia Bytom +1
89.3%
@ 1.39+26.9%
Draw +1
6.9%
@ 4.34-13.1%
Podbeskidzie -1
3.8%
@ 4.95-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
4.00
Handicap +2 (Polonia Bytom)
Polonia Bytom +2
96.2%
@ 1.14+15.4%
Draw +2
2.8%
@ 8.00-8.7%
Podbeskidzie -2
1.0%
@ 12.00-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Polonia Bytom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
1.00
0.40
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.67
1.09
0.36
0.69
0.92
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
1.00
0.67
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbeskidzie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbeskidzie
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
1.00
0.33
0.53
0.20
1.47
vs Stronger (29)
0.24
1.03
0.29
0.57
0.20
1.47
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.30+1.0%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.23-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.1%
@ 2.41+2.8%
Under 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.50-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.46
Superbet
2.40
Under
William Hil
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 5.57-1.1%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.12+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.40
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.5%
@ 1.86+7.8%
Under
42.5%
@ 1.84-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.1%
@ 5.34+3.9%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.11-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.5%
@ 13.62-2.4%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Podbeskidzie over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.7%
@ 1.98-6.9%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.73+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Podbeskidzie over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
@ 5.95-6.1%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.09+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Podbeskidzie over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 14.75-5.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Polonia Bytom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.20
0.80
1.07
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
1.17
0.64
1.00
1.00
1.31
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.00
1.33
1.33
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbeskidzie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbeskidzie
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (29)
0.72
0.76
0.79
0.71
0.67
0.80
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.18+0.8%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 4.41-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Betano
4.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.5%
@ 1.86-4.3%
Under 1.5
54.5%
@ 1.84+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.9%
@ 3.60-4.9%
Under 2.5
79.1%
@ 1.25+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.8%
@ 1.61+2.1%
Under
40.2%
@ 2.20-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.1%
@ 3.89-2.6%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.21+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.5%
@ 10.00-3.8%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
Podbeskidzie over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.5%
@ 1.68-7.5%
Under
52.5%
@ 2.05+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Podbeskidzie over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.4%
@ 4.28-8.2%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.18+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
1xBet
4.30
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Podbeskidzie over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
@ 10.88-5.3%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+6.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.3%
Home +2 handicap
96.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+15.4%
Under 7.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
93.8%
1.21
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
-
+17.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
91.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+10.6%
Under 6.5
90.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-3.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+6.1%
Over 1.5
90.1%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
+12.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+8.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
+1.1%
Home or Away
83.9%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.25
+10.7%
Under 5.5
81.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-7.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-
+0.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
-
+4.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+2.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.9%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-3.9%
Over 2.5
73.4%
1.66
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
+17.3%
Away under 1.5 goals
72.4%
1.61
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
+15.0%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+1.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Polonia Bytom's squad is €2m more valuable than Podbeskidzie's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ŁKS Łódź
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Puszcza Niepołomice
Unia Skierniewice
Stal Rzeszów