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Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 2-2
Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom
Vs
44%
25%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Polonia Bytom are expected to come out on top in this match, building on their recent form, which includes a draw against Pogoń Siedlce. The home side has been scoring at an average rate of 1.83 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.17 goals. In contrast, Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki have been scoring 1.0 goals per game away from home and conceding 1.42 goals.

The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 11.6%. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The model suggests a Home win, with a probability of 44%, a Draw at 25%, and an Away win at 30%.

The model's selection is Home win, with the home side having a 44% chance of winning, a draw at 25%, and an away win at 30%. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection, with a probability of 83.0%.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Polonia Bytom, failed to deliver as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. Polonia, coming off a draw in their last five, had a 44 % chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. The model’s selection of a home win was incorrect, and the final score matched the most likely 2-1 scenario only in goal count, not outcome. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (98.5 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.8 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5 %), Under 6.5 (95.9 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.6 %), and Under 5.5 (90.2 %). All were settled in favour of the model’s selections.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polonia Bytom win✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 1.96
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.04
Dafabet
2.01
SBO
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Draw✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.55
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.84
Dafabet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.25
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.49
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.30
Betfair
3.30

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-534L20W32W41W13L14L43W12L22D25LA·WIE23/04A·ODR26/04H·POL04/05A·ZNI09/05H·SLA17/05A·STA24/05H·WAR24/07A·ŁKS31/07H·POG07/08A·STA16/08
Avg total
4.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.801.731.402.002.20
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.001.001.002.50
vs Similar (23)1.701.831.641.271.752.33
vs Weaker (4)3.501.502.332.007.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D14L23L13L00D00D30W10W10W11DA·RUC27/04H·WIE02/05A·ŁKS07/05A·ODR11/05H·TYC17/05A·SLA24/05A·LEC25/07H·PUS02/08A·MIE08/08H·STA14/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.371.331.331.271.40
vs Stronger (3)1.330.670.501.003.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.301.441.461.381.141.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.17+4.2%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 4.38-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.77
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.60+2.5%
Under 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.21-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.2%
@ 2.47+0.7%
Under 3.5
61.8%
@ 1.48-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
888Sport
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.0%
@ 1.52+2.5%
No
37.0%
@ 2.33-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.53
No
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.38
Betfair
2.38
888Sport
2.38
1xBet
2.36

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 6.79+5.1%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.78+3.5%
1-2
7.4%@ 10.46+3.1%
2-0
6.6%@ 10.05+2.1%
1-0
6.5%@ 8.94+1.5%
2-2 ✓
6.4%@ 10.98+2.4%
0-0
5.4%@ 13.19+2.1%
3-1
5.3%@ 12.86+1.8%
Polonia Bytom goals ↓
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals →
01234
05.4%5.0%4.3%2.0%0.7%
16.5%12%7.4%3.4%1.2%
26.6%9.2%6.4%3.0%1.0%
33.8%5.3%3.7%1.7%0.6%
41.6%2.3%1.6%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polonia Bytom goals (down), columns = Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Polonia Bytom is 1.00 points worse than Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Polonia Bytom is 0.33 goals better than Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Polonia Bytom is 1.67 goals worse than Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Polonia Bytom or Draw✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.4%
44%
25%
30%
covers Polonia Bytom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Polonia Bytom or Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗ Miss
74.5%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
-0.4%
44%
25%
30%
covers Polonia Bytom + Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✓ Hit
55.6%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.75
Edge
+2.8%
44%
25%
30%
covers Draw + Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.83
888Sport
1.80
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
SBO
1.80

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.3%
@ 1.15+1.7%
Under
17.7%
@ 4.79-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Under
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.55
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.7%
@ 1.77-0.4%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.92+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
1.96
BetVictor
1.95
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.1%
@ 3.38-2.3%
Under
74.9%
@ 1.28+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Polonia Bytom over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 7.12-3.3%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.07+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.20
1xBet
6.70
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.3%
@ 1.30+3.9%
Under
24.7%
@ 3.25-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.8%
@ 2.43+2.9%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.48-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 5.67+0.3%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.11-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.70
Betano
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 13.50-1.7%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Polonia Bytom, so a minus line means Polonia Bytom give that many goals of a start and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki receive them. At -1, Polonia Bytom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Polonia Bytom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Polonia Bytom)Actual: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Polonia Bytom -2
10.5%
@ 6.78-2.8%
Draw -2
13.7%
@ 5.73-2.0%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +2
75.8%
@ 1.27+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Polonia Bytom)Actual: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Polonia Bytom -1
24.2%
@ 3.34-2.0%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 3.71-3.3%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +1
55.6%
@ 1.74+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.72
Handicap +1 (Polonia Bytom)Actual: Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom +1
69.9%
@ 1.28+1.7%
Draw +1
16.1%
@ 4.92-1.7%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki -1
14.0%
@ 6.26-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
Superbet
5.10
Unibet
3.95
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.30
Unibet
5.00
Handicap +2 (Polonia Bytom)Actual: Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom +2
86.0%
@ 1.09+0.8%
Draw +2
9.0%
@ 10.00-0.3%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki -2
5.0%
@ 17.00-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
17.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D21W10W10W02L21W12L01L12LA·WIE23/04A·ODR26/04H·POL04/05A·ZNI09/05H·SLA17/05A·STA24/05H·WAR24/07A·ŁKS31/07H·POG07/08A·STA16/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.600.930.400.930.80
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.870.651.000.360.750.92
vs Weaker (4)1.750.501.000.674.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D11D01L00D00D10W10W10W00DA·RUC27/04H·WIE02/05A·ŁKS07/05A·ODR11/05H·TYC17/05A·SLA24/05A·LEC25/07H·PUS02/08A·MIE08/08H·STA14/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.530.400.730.80
vs Stronger (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.670.620.460.710.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.9%
@ 1.28-1.4%
Under 0.5
29.1%
@ 3.34+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
10Bet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
1xBet
3.32
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.31-2.6%
Under 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.54+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.39
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
10Bet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 5.26-2.8%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.13+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.10
Under
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.3%
@ 1.71-1.9%
Under
47.7%
@ 2.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.1%
@ 4.45-4.6%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.16+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 11.12-5.0%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.0%
@ 2.12-1.8%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.65+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 6.61-2.9%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.07+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.95
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 16.62-3.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L20W11D31W03L12L22D00D21W13LA·WIE23/04A·ODR26/04H·POL04/05A·ZNI09/05H·SLA17/05A·STA24/05H·WAR24/07A·ŁKS31/07H·POG07/08A·STA16/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.200.801.001.071.40
vs Stronger (3)0.671.671.001.000.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.831.170.640.911.001.42
vs Weaker (4)1.751.001.331.333.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D14L12L12L00D00D20W00D00D11DA·RUC27/04H·WIE02/05A·ŁKS07/05A·ODR11/05H·TYC17/05A·SLA24/05A·LEC25/07H·PUS02/08A·MIE08/08H·STA14/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.800.930.530.60
vs Stronger (3)1.000.670.501.002.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.630.780.850.920.430.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.2%
Under 0.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.6%
Under 1.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.3%
Under 2.5
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.8%
Under
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.5%1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
---+5.0%✓ Hit
Under 6.595.9%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-+2.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.6%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
--+1.7%✓ Hit
Under 5.590.2%1.05
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+1.7%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.2%1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-+3.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.0%1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-+2.9%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap86.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+0.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals85.2%1.13
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+2.8%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals83.9%1.16
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-+4.6%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals83.4%1.11
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-0.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.583.0%1.17
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+4.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.7%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.3%1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+1.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals81.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.579.3%1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
+0.7%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals79.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap75.8%1.27
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
--+4.8%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals75.3%1.30
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
+3.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.9%1.28
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+2.3%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.5%1.23
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-0.4%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals70.9%1.28
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-1.4%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
PB wins
0
Draws
1
PGM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · H/A from PB
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26APogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Vs PB2-1
20/08/25HPB Vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3-0

Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AStal Mielec Vs PB5-2
07/08/26HPB Vs Pogoń Siedlce2-2
31/07/26AŁKS Łódź Vs PB2-1
24/07/26HPB Vs Warta Poznań4-3
24/05/26AStal Mielec Vs PB4-1
17/05/26HPB Vs Slask Wroclaw1-3
09/05/26AZnicz Pruszków Vs PB1-4
04/05/26HPB Vs Polonia Warszawa3-2
26/04/26AOdra Opole Vs PB0-2
23/04/26AWieczysta Kraków Vs PB4-3

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26HPGM Vs Stal Rzeszów1-1
08/08/26AMiedz Legnica Vs PGM0-1
02/08/26HPGM Vs Puszcza Niepołomice1-0
25/07/26ALechia Gdansk Vs PGM0-3
24/05/26ASlask Wroclaw Vs PGM0-0
17/05/26HPGM Vs Tychy 710-0
11/05/26AOdra Opole Vs PGM3-1
07/05/26AŁKS Łódź Vs PGM3-2
02/05/26HPGM Vs Wieczysta Kraków1-4
27/04/26ARuch Chorzów Vs PGM2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.45
HomeDWLWD1.76
AwayWWLLL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%48%35%
AVG goals3.523.383.65
Over 1.5 %86%86%87%
Over 2.5 %61%52%70%
Over 3.5 %45%48%43%
Scored1.952.191.74
Conceded1.571.191.91
BTTS64%62%65%
Clean Sheet25%29%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.37
HomeLLDWD1.57
AwayLLDWW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%30%
AVG goals2.832.952.70
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %61%57%65%
Over 3.5 %29%33%25%
Scored1.411.671.15
Conceded1.411.291.55
BTTS63%71%55%
Clean Sheet20%19%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica613
67%
2.2
103+7
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.70.5
-
2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.70.8
-
3ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź611
50%
1.8
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
4Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów610
50%
1.7
105+5
2.5
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
5Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia610
50%
1.7
95+4
2.3
83%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.8
-
6Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa610
50%
1.7
108+2
3.0
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.71.3
-
7Warta PoznańWarta Poznań69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
83%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.81.7
-
8Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
9Odra OpoleOdra Opole68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
50%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.0
-
10Stal MielecStal Mielec68
33%
1.3
1113-2
4.0
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.2
-
11NiecieczaNieciecza67
33%
1.2
910-1
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.51.7
-
12Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk67
33%
1.2
711-4
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.21.8
-
13Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów67
33%
1.2
37-4
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.51.2
-
14Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice66
33%
1.0
57-2
2.0
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.81.2
-
15Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom66
17%
1.0
1215-3
4.5
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.5
-
16Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice66
33%
1.0
59-4
2.3
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie65
0%
0.8
810-2
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
18Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów65
17%
0.8
412-8
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.72.0
-
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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