Polonia Warszawa enter the match after a win, while Le Chia Gdańsk also come off a victory, giving the game a bright start for both sides. The model favours an away win, assigning 39 % to a Le Chia triumph, 36 % to a Polonia victory and 25 % to a draw. With an expected total of 3.2 goals, the most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 11.4 % chance. Polonia’s home form shows an average of 1.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, whereas Le Chia’s away record against similar teams yields 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. The model’s selections lean heavily on low-scoring outcomes: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals98.4 % with a 7 % edge, Under 7.598.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals95.7 % with a 7 % edge, Under 6.595.4 % with a 6 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals93.6 % with a 10 % edge, Home under 3.5 goals92.4 % with a 16 % edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals92.2 % with a 3 % edge.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction was spot on as Lechia Gdansk secured a 4-2 victory over Polonia Warszawa, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, “Away win,” was backed by a 39% probability and proved correct. The final score of 2-4 matched the expected result. The suggested picks largely hit: “Away under 2.5 HT goals” (98.7%) and “Away under 2.5 2H goals” (98.5%) were accurate, as were “Under 7.5” (98.2%) and “Under 6.5” (95.3%). “Home under 2.5 2H goals” (94.2%) and “Home under 2.5 HT goals” (92.8%) also succeeded, along with “Away under 1.5 HT goals” (92.8%) and “Home under 3.5 goals” (92.5%). The single miss was “Away under 2.5 2H goals,” which fell short.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Polonia Warszawa win✗ Miss
35.4%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.55
Edge
-23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.60
Dafabet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.14
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.43
Dafabet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
Betano
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Lechia Gdansk win✓ Hit
39.2%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.77
Edge
+20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.50
Dafabet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.76
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Polonia Warszawa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.30
1.43
1.14
1.62
1.44
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.56
1.40
1.36
1.27
1.71
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
2.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lechia Gdansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lechia Gdansk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.73
1.75
1.62
1.43
1.86
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
1.50
1.67
1.33
2.00
1.67
vs Similar (20)
1.70
1.75
2.20
1.60
1.20
1.90
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
2.00
0.33
2.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
@ 1.15+3.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
@ 4.89-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.15
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.7%
@ 1.53+2.3%
Under 2.5
37.3%
@ 2.33-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.4%
@ 2.35+0.8%
Under 3.5
59.6%
@ 1.54-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.54
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.2%
@ 1.60+7.5%
No
34.8%
@ 2.19-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.66
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
No
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 7.75+5.5%
1-2
8.6%@ 13.79+5.3%
2-1
8.1%@ 7.37+2.0%
2-2
6.7%@ 12.91+3.2%
0-1
5.5%@ 16.01+2.7%
0-2
5.4%@ 28.95+3.9%
1-0
5.2%@ 8.41-0.2%
0-0
5.0%@ 15.15+2.0%
Polonia Warszawa goals ↓
Lechia Gdansk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
5.5%
5.4%
3.0%
1.3%
1
5.2%
11%
8.6%
4.7%
2.0%
2
4.9%
8.1%
6.7%
3.7%
1.5%
3
2.6%
4.2%
3.5%
1.9%
0.8%
4
1.0%
1.7%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polonia Warszawa goals (down), columns = Lechia Gdansk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Odra Opole
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Polonia Warszawa is 0.50 points better than Lechia Gdansk in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Polonia Warszawa is 0.50 goals better than Lechia Gdansk in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Polonia Warszawa is 0.50 goals better than Lechia Gdansk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Polonia Warszawa or Draw✗ Miss
60.8%
Avg Implied 80.9% · @ 1.14
Edge
-20.1%
35%
25%
39%
covers Polonia Warszawa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Polonia Warszawa or Lechia Gdansk✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied 78.4% · @ 1.18
Edge
-3.8%
35%
25%
39%
covers Polonia Warszawa + Lechia Gdansk
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Draw or Lechia Gdansk✓ Hit
64.6%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.27
Edge
+23.9%
35%
25%
39%
covers Draw + Lechia Gdansk
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.37
Betano
2.35
William Hil
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.2%
@ 1.09-6.1%
Under
20.8%
@ 6.34+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Under
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
Superbet
6.30
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.80
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.6%
@ 1.53-14.3%
Under
53.4%
@ 2.38+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.37
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 2.59-14.8%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.44+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
2.64
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Polonia Warszawa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 4.65-12.6%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.17+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betano
4.85
Superbet
4.85
1xBet
4.80
Pinnacle
3.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Lechia Gdansk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.0%
@ 1.45+16.8%
Under
19.0%
@ 2.60-16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.85
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.60
Lechia Gdansk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.4%
@ 3.06+19.0%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.34-19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Lechia Gdansk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.2%
@ 7.88+11.4%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.06-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.10
Superbet
7.60
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
Lechia Gdansk over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.7%
@ 19.50+3.8%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.01-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Polonia Warszawa, so a minus line means Polonia Warszawa give that many goals of a start and Lechia Gdansk receive them. At -1, Polonia Warszawa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Polonia Warszawa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Lechia Gdansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lechia Gdansk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.75
0.94
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.65
1.00
1.00
0.90
0.30
1.10
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.0%
@ 1.25-4.2%
Under 0.5
30.0%
@ 3.59+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 2.23-6.0%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.58+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.30
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Under
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
BetVictor
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 4.93-5.5%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.15+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.0%
@ 1.56-5.7%
Under
46.0%
@ 2.31+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.52
Under
Superbet
2.37
Pinnacle
2.37
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.22
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 3.41-10.4%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.28+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Pinnacle
2.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 8.63-3.5%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.04+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
8.80
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Lechia Gdansk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.5%
@ 2.39-1.3%
Under
62.5%
@ 1.52+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.48
Lechia Gdansk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 8.15-4.1%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.20
Superbet
8.30
1xBet
8.10
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Lechia Gdansk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 34.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Polonia Warszawa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.73
1.21
0.71
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.12
0.88
1.18
0.91
1.07
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lechia Gdansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lechia Gdansk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
1.00
0.69
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.75
1.20
0.70
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.16-1.2%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 4.81+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.75
Betano
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.7%
@ 1.76-10.8%
Under 1.5
58.3%
@ 1.95+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 3.31-11.3%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.29+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.0%
@ 1.37-8.4%
Under
41.0%
@ 2.85+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Under
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.87
1xBet
2.80
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.8%
@ 2.71-11.1%
Under
77.2%
@ 1.40+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.79
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 6.33-8.7%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.08+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Lechia Gdansk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.6%
@ 2.00-1.5%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.72+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Lechia Gdansk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
11.2%
@ 6.04-4.0%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.09+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
Superbet
6.20
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Lechia Gdansk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
1.5%
@ 15.62-4.6%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Under 7.5
98.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.5%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-3.8%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
89.1%
1.07
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.3%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
+11.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.2%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
81.0%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
+16.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-12.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.1%
1.44
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
+14.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.5%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.40
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
-
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
76.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
-11.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.7%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
-3.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lechia Gdansk · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tomáš Bobček47%
Ivan Zhelyzko23%
Rifet Kapić16%
Dawid Kurminowski13%
Camilo Mena13%
Kacper Sezonienko13%
Aleksandar Ćirković12%
Mohamed Awadalla12%
Bogdan Viunnyk12%
Tomasz Neugebauer9%
Bujar Pllana6%
Matej Rodin4%
Maksym Diachuk4%
Matúš Vojtko3%
Miłosz Kałahur0%
Alvis Jaunzems0%
Alex Paulsen0%
Elias Olsson0%
Bartłomiej Kłudka0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Anton Tsarenko0%
Michal Głogowski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miłosz Kałahur33%
Ivan Zhelyzko30%
Rifet Kapić25%
Elias Olsson25%
Mohamed Awadalla25%
Bujar Pllana24%
Camilo Mena19%
Matúš Vojtko19%
Tomasz Neugebauer19%
Tomáš Bobček17%
Maksym Diachuk15%
Kacper Sezonienko13%
Aleksandar Ćirković12%
Matej Rodin12%
Tomasz Wójtowicz9%
Dawid Kurminowski9%
Alex Paulsen8%
Bogdan Viunnyk8%
Bartłomiej Kłudka6%
Alvis Jaunzems0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Anton Tsarenko0%
Michal Głogowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Camilo Mena23%
Tomáš Bobček17%
Aleksandar Ćirković17%
Ivan Zhelyzko17%
Anton Tsarenko14%
Elias Olsson12%
Matej Rodin12%
Alvis Jaunzems11%
Matúš Vojtko10%
Rifet Kapić9%
Kacper Sezonienko6%
Tomasz Neugebauer6%
Dawid Kurminowski4%
Maksym Diachuk4%
Miłosz Kałahur0%
Alex Paulsen0%
Bogdan Viunnyk0%
Bujar Pllana0%
Bartłomiej Kłudka0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Michal Głogowski0%
Mohamed Awadalla0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Bobček57%
Aleksandar Ćirković21%
Camilo Mena13%
Ivan Zhelyzko10%
Bogdan Viunnyk8%
Matej Rodin8%
Bujar Pllana6%
Dawid Kurminowski4%
Miłosz Kałahur0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Alvis Jaunzems0%
Rifet Kapić0%
Alex Paulsen0%
Maksym Diachuk0%
Elias Olsson0%
Kacper Sezonienko0%
Bartłomiej Kłudka0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Tomasz Neugebauer0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Anton Tsarenko0%
Michal Głogowski0%
Mohamed Awadalla0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Polonia Warszawa's squad is €18m less valuable than Lechia Gdansk's (€5m vs €22m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Polonia Warszawa's attack is €12m less valuable than Lechia Gdansk's (€3m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Polonia Warszawa's midfield is €5m less valuable than Lechia Gdansk's (€0m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Polonia Warszawa and Lechia Gdansk have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ŁKS Łódź
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Ruch Chorzów
Puszcza Niepołomice
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów