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Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 18:30
Final 2-1
Pontypridd Town
Pontypridd Town
Vs
48%
26%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pontypridd Town are favoured to win this match, having recently been on a 2-game winning run, including a 3-2 victory over Pontardawe Town. The model predicts a home win, with a 48% chance of success. The draw percentage stands at 26%, while Trethomas Bluebirds have a 27% chance of taking the three points.

This match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.0 goals expected. The most likely total number of goals is 2, but the most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a probability of 11.9%.

Pontypridd Town have been scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.6. Meanwhile, Trethomas Bluebirds have been scoring 0.62 goals per game away from home, while conceding 1.62.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with an 81.4% probability of occurring.

Pontypridd Town have a 48% chance of winning, while Trethomas Bluebirds have a 27% chance. The draw percentage is 26%. The model also suggests a Pontypridd Town win (48%), a Trethomas Bluebirds win (27%), and a draw (26%).

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved spot on as Pontypridd Town secured a 2-1 home win, extending their four-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was Home win with a 48 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-0, yet the match finished 2-1. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 % hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8 % hit, Under 6.5 at 96.6 % hit, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0 % hit, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.8 % hit, Under 5.5 at 91.4 % hit, and Home under 3.5 goals at 89.9 % hit. All eight selections settled in the model’s favour.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pontypridd Town win✓ Hit
47.7%
Avg Implied 50.3% · @ 1.80
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Dafabet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.72
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Dafabet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.79
Betano
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Trethomas Bluebirds win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.57
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
William Hil
3.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D52W24L13L10W22D00D32W32W41WA·TRE14/03A·CWM17/03A·TRE20/03H·TRE27/03A·CAR04/04A·CAR11/04H·CAE18/04A·TRE01/08H·PON07/08A·CAR15/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.671.871.801.731.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)2.331.522.401.302.271.73
vs Weaker (9)0.562.000.802.800.251.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Trethomas Bluebirds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-545L10W03L42W22D44D11D00D11D24LH·CAR06/03H·NEW09/03A·ABE14/03H·PON20/03A·YNY28/03H·CAR04/04A·BAG18/04H·BAG31/07A·LLA07/08H·CAE14/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.472.072.142.070.882.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.532.262.202.400.782.11
vs Weaker (11)1.361.732.001.251.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pontypridd Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
@ 1.11-0.8%
Under 1.5
18.6%
@ 5.12+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
5.89
Superbet
4.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.53-1.6%
Under 2.5
42.0%
@ 2.26+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.35
Superbet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
@ 2.30-4.3%
Under 3.5
64.4%
@ 1.53+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
@ 1.52+0.1%
No
39.6%
@ 2.31-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
No
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.29
William Hil
2.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 7.10+6.0%
2-1 ✓
9.5%@ 8.00+4.3%
2-0
7.5%@ 9.50+3.1%
1-0
7.5%@ 8.90+2.8%
1-2
6.9%@ 11.20+3.1%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.20+2.3%
0-0
6.0%@ 14.20+3.0%
3-1
5.5%@ 12.00+2.0%
Pontypridd Town goals ↓
Trethomas Bluebirds goals →
01234
06.0%5.1%3.9%1.7%0.5%
17.5%12%6.9%2.9%0.9%
27.5%9.5%6.0%2.5%0.8%
34.4%5.5%3.5%1.5%0.5%
41.9%2.4%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pontypridd Town goals (down), columns = Trethomas Bluebirds goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Pontypridd Town is 1.27 points better than Trethomas Bluebirds in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Pontypridd Town is 1.20 goals better than Trethomas Bluebirds in terms of goals scored per game (3.20 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Pontypridd Town is 0.17 goals worse than Trethomas Bluebirds in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pontypridd Town or Draw✓ Hit
73.4%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.4%
48%
26%
27%
covers Pontypridd Town + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pontypridd Town or Trethomas Bluebirds✓ Hit
74.4%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
-1.5%
48%
26%
27%
covers Pontypridd Town + Trethomas Bluebirds
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Draw or Trethomas Bluebirds✗ Miss
52.3%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.86
Edge
+2.9%
48%
26%
27%
covers Draw + Trethomas Bluebirds
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pontypridd Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
@ 1.10+0.2%
Under
17.4%
@ 5.15-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
4.90
Pontypridd Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 1.68-2.9%
Under
47.8%
@ 2.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.00
Pontypridd Town over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.6%
@ 2.90-6.0%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.34+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Pontypridd Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 4.95-8.4%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.12+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Superbet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.09
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.8%
@ 1.32+2.5%
Under
28.2%
@ 2.98-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.29
Under
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.95
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.1%
@ 2.54-0.0%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.44+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
1xBet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.57
Superbet
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 5.47-3.0%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.08+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.25
Under
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Pontypridd Town, so a minus line means Pontypridd Town give that many goals of a start and Trethomas Bluebirds receive them. At -1, Pontypridd Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pontypridd Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pontypridd Town)Actual: Trethomas Bluebirds
Pontypridd Town -2
11.7%
@ 5.75-3.7%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 5.20-2.2%
Trethomas Bluebirds +2
73.5%
@ 1.31+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.75
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Away
Marathonbet
1.31
Handicap -1 (Pontypridd Town)Actual: Draw
Pontypridd Town -1
26.5%
@ 2.97-3.3%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 3.74-2.5%
Trethomas Bluebirds +1
52.3%
@ 1.91+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Draw
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Away
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Handicap +1 (Pontypridd Town)Actual: Pontypridd Town
Pontypridd Town +1
73.4%
Draw +1
15.0%
Trethomas Bluebirds -1
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Pontypridd Town)Actual: Pontypridd Town
Pontypridd Town +2
88.4%
Draw +2
7.7%
Trethomas Bluebirds -2
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W11D12L10W10W00D20W12L11DA·TRE14/03A·CWM17/03A·TRE20/03H·TRE27/03A·CAR04/04A·CAR11/04H·CAE18/04A·TRE01/08H·PON07/08A·CAR15/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.530.870.671.000.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.140.520.900.501.360.55
vs Weaker (9)0.440.560.801.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Trethomas Bluebirds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D02L11D12L22D01L00D01L22DH·CAR06/03H·NEW09/03A·ABE14/03H·PON20/03A·YNY28/03H·CAR04/04A·BAG18/04H·BAG31/07A·LLA07/08H·CAE14/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.860.790.380.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.740.901.000.330.44
vs Weaker (11)0.550.640.750.250.430.86
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Pontypridd Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.2%
@ 1.24-2.9%
Under 0.5
28.8%
@ 3.54+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.3%
@ 2.23-6.7%
Under 1.5
65.7%
@ 1.55+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.2%
@ 4.97-2.2%
Under 2.5
83.8%
@ 1.12+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pontypridd Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
53.5%
@ 1.63-2.9%
Under
46.5%
@ 2.11+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Pinnacle
2.11
Pontypridd Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
17.5%
@ 3.90-6.0%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.20+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Pontypridd Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 9.10-6.9%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 2.15-6.0%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.61+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 6.50-6.0%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.08+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.08
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 11.00-6.5%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L13L01L00D12L00D12L20W30WA·TRE14/03A·CWM17/03A·TRE20/03H·TRE27/03A·CAR04/04A·CAR11/04H·CAE18/04A·TRE01/08H·PON07/08A·CAR15/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.131.001.130.731.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.191.001.500.800.911.18
vs Weaker (9)0.111.440.001.800.251.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Trethomas Bluebirds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D10W01L31W10W22D10W00D10W02LH·CAR06/03H·NEW09/03A·ABE14/03H·PON20/03A·YNY28/03H·CAR04/04A·BAG18/04H·BAG31/07A·LLA07/08H·CAE14/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.371.291.290.501.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.891.531.301.400.441.67
vs Weaker (11)0.821.091.251.000.571.14
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pontypridd Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pontypridd Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontypridd Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pontypridd Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trethomas Bluebirds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.8%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.8%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+6.0%✓ Hit
Under 5.591.4%1.05
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
---+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.9%1.12
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.09
---+8.4%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.5%1.08
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
---+3.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals83.8%1.12
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
-+2.2%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.6%1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
---+0.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.5%1.20
1xBet
1.20
----+6.0%✗ Miss
Over 1.581.4%1.11
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
----0.8%✓ Hit
Under 4.581.3%1.17
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
--+3.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.4%1.34
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
--+6.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.4%1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.20
-1.5%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap73.5%1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
----+5.9%✓ Hit
Home or Draw73.4%1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
-1.4%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.4%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals71.8%1.32
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.29
---+2.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals71.2%1.24
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
--2.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
PT wins
0
Draws
3
TB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds · H/A from PT
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/26ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs PT4-2
28/11/25HPT Vs Trethomas Bluebirds2-1
12/04/25ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs PT4-0
14/09/24HPT Vs Trethomas Bluebirds2-3

Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ACardiff Draconians Vs PT1-4
07/08/26HPT Vs Pontardawe Town3-2
01/08/26ATreowen Stars Vs PT2-3
18/04/26HPT Vs Caerau (Ely)0-0
11/04/26ACardiff Draconians Vs PT2-2
04/04/26ACarmarthen Town Vs PT0-1
27/03/26HPT Vs Trefelin1-3
20/03/26ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs PT4-2
17/03/26ACwmbran Celtic Vs PT2-5
14/03/26ATreowen Stars Vs PT2-2

Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26HTB Vs Caerau (Ely)2-4
07/08/26Allanelli AFC Vs TB1-1
31/07/26HTB Vs Baglan Dragons0-0
18/04/26ABaglan Dragons Vs TB1-1
04/04/26HTB Vs Cardiff Draconians4-4
28/03/26AYnyshir Albions Vs TB2-2
20/03/26HTB Vs Pontypridd Town4-2
14/03/26AAberystwyth Town Vs TB3-0
09/03/26HTB Vs Newport City1-0
06/03/26HTB Vs Carmarthen Town4-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pontypridd Town
Pontypridd Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.38
HomeWLLDW1.48
AwayLWDWW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals3.343.523.16
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %66%76%56%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.681.881.48
Conceded1.661.641.68
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDL1.20
HomeWWDDL1.60
AwayLLDDD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%44%12%
AVG goals3.223.522.92
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.501.881.12
Conceded1.721.641.80
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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