This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.20
1.00
1.00
1.47
1.40
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
0.82
0.86
0.71
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.42
1.12
1.25
1.55
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 2.12+12.1%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 1.72-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1 ✓
7.1%
0-2
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
Pordenone goals ↓
Ascoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
7.1%
6.5%
3.5%
1.4%
1
5.9%
12%
9.0%
4.8%
1.9%
2
4.8%
7.7%
6.2%
3.3%
1.3%
3
2.2%
3.5%
2.8%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.8%
1.2%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pordenone goals (down), columns = Ascoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Pordenone is 1.24 points worse than Ascoli in terms of average points per game (0.47 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Pordenone is 0.61 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Pordenone is 0.76 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
P
Pordenone
For 5.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 17.7 · Total 33.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
For 5.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.2 · Against 16.4 · Total 33.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
P
Pordenone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
5.7
5.8
5.6
33.0
33.7
32.2
vs Stronger (19)
10.3
10.9
9.8
5.1
5.3
4.8
32.4
33.1
31.7
vs Similar (31)
9.6
9.8
9.5
6.0
6.0
6.1
33.3
34.1
32.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
60%
56%
84%
84%
84%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
42%
40%
44%
16%
16%
16%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.0
5.9
6.2
5.6
32.5
33.4
31.5
vs Stronger (18)
9.8
10.5
9.3
5.8
5.6
6.0
31.4
33.5
29.7
vs Similar (32)
9.7
8.9
10.5
6.0
6.5
5.3
33.1
33.4
32.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
40%
44%
84%
88%
80%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
16%
12%
20%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
10.8
Alessandria
10.8
Spal
10.7
Brescia
10.6
Pisa
10.5
Benevento
10.5
Cittadella
10.3
Monza
10.2
Reggina
10.2
Cremonese
10.2
Crotone
10.1
Lecce
10.1
Cosenza
10.1
Pordenone
9.9
Ternana
9.9
Perugia
9.8
Como
9.8
Ascoli
9.7
Parma
9.6
Vicenza Virtus
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
6.1
Ascoli
5.9
Pordenone
5.7
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Perugia
5.5
Spal
5.4
Cittadella
5.3
Pisa
5.3
Como
5.2
Crotone
5.1
Cosenza
5.1
Frosinone
5.1
Monza
5.0
Benevento
4.9
Cremonese
4.9
Alessandria
4.8
Parma
4.8
Brescia
4.7
Lecce
4.7
Ternana
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.4
Cittadella
33.4
Pordenone
33.0
Perugia
32.5
Pisa
32.5
Ascoli
32.5
Vicenza Virtus
32.3
Spal
32.1
Monza
31.7
Frosinone
31.6
Alessandria
30.6
Cremonese
29.8
Como
29.5
Ternana
29.2
Benevento
29.1
Crotone
28.0
Cosenza
28.0
Brescia
27.9
Parma
27.4
Lecce
26.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.5%
Under 3.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.8%
Under 21.5
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
P
Pordenone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.90
0.60
0.93
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.91
1.00
1.50
0.29
0.57
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.89
0.45
0.73
0.25
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.53
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.55
0.14
0.43
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.74
0.88
0.62
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pordenone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
P
Pordenone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.60
0.60
0.20
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.73
0.50
0.50
0.14
0.86
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.79
0.64
0.64
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.47
0.47
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.27
0.71
0.29
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.68
0.25
0.62
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pordenone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pordenone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pordenone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ascoli
Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Reggina
Como
Spal
Cosenza
Vicenza Virtus