PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Portadown vs Knockbreda Result & Analysis

Date: 26/03/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
Portadown
Portadown
Vs
77%
14%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Knockbreda
Knockbreda
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Portadown win✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Knockbreda win✗ Miss
9.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W11D21W22D22D04L21W21W31W21WH·DER20/01A·DUN27/01H·BAL06/02A·ANN10/02H·BAL16/02H·NEW20/02A·BAL24/02A·INS16/03A·ARD19/03H·BAN22/03
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.472.641.571.381.38
vs Stronger (5)1.801.604.001.001.251.75
vs Similar (22)2.091.452.581.751.501.10
vs Weaker (3)1.331.332.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Knockbreda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KnockbredaKnockbreda

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L13L14L16L21W12L03L05L22D20WH·DUN13/01H·NEW20/01H·ANN27/01A·BAL03/02A·ARD17/02H·DER24/02H·INS09/03A·BAN15/03A·NEW19/03H·BAL23/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.771.002.470.733.07
vs Stronger (17)0.942.351.002.600.862.00
vs Similar (10)0.803.201.002.250.673.83
vs Weaker (3)0.673.671.002.000.504.50
Clean sheet %7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%2%04%112%217%319%417%528%6+
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.0%
Under 1.5
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
81.8%
Under 2.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.4%
Under 3.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.6%
2-0 ✓
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
1-1
5.1%
3-2
4.8%
Portadown goals ↓
Knockbreda goals →
01234
01.7%1.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%
13.4%5.1%2.7%1.1%0.3%
26.3%7.5%4.4%1.7%0.5%
36.8%8.1%4.8%1.9%0.6%
45.5%6.6%3.9%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Portadown goals (down), columns = Knockbreda goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Portadown
1.87
Institute
1.82
Annagh United
1.79
Bangor
1.79
Dundela
1.76
Ballyclare Comrades
1.61
H&W Welders
1.47
Newington Youth
1.37
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Armagh City
1.00
Ards
0.97
Dergview
0.72
Knockbreda
0.47
Portadown is 1.39 points better than Knockbreda in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 0.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.03
Dundela
1.95
Portadown
1.95
Ballyclare Comrades
1.92
H&W Welders
1.84
Newington Youth
1.71
Annagh United
1.61
Ards
1.58
Institute
1.58
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Dergview
1.07
Armagh City
1.00
Knockbreda
0.89
Portadown is 1.05 goals better than Knockbreda in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 0.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Armagh City
1.00
Institute
1.13
Bangor
1.16
Annagh United
1.32
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Portadown
1.39
Dundela
1.58
Ballyclare Comrades
1.58
H&W Welders
1.66
Newington Youth
1.79
Ards
1.82
Dergview
2.02
Knockbreda
2.63
Portadown is 1.24 goals better than Knockbreda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 2.63).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PortadownPortadown

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L02L01L02L11D01L21W10WH·DER20/01A·DUN27/01H·BAL06/02A·ANN10/02H·BAL16/02H·NEW20/02A·BAL24/02A·INS16/03A·ARD19/03H·BAN22/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.731.140.790.500.69
vs Stronger (5)0.401.402.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.950.591.170.830.700.30
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Knockbreda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KnockbredaKnockbreda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D13L13L12L21W10W01L04L11D10WH·DUN13/01H·NEW20/01H·ANN27/01A·BAL03/02A·ARD17/02H·DER24/02H·INS09/03A·BAN15/03A·NEW19/03H·BAL23/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.370.431.430.441.31
vs Stronger (18)0.441.170.401.500.500.75
vs Similar (9)0.331.670.331.330.331.83
vs Weaker (3)0.671.671.001.000.502.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Portadown over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Knockbreda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Knockbreda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Knockbreda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PortadownPortadown

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D20W20W21W02L10W20W10W11DH·DER20/01A·DUN27/01H·BAL06/02A·ANN10/02H·BAL16/02H·NEW20/02A·BAL24/02A·INS16/03A·ARD19/03H·BAN22/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.731.500.790.880.69
vs Stronger (5)1.400.202.000.001.250.25
vs Similar (22)1.140.861.420.920.800.80
vs Weaker (3)1.000.672.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Knockbreda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KnockbredaKnockbreda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L04L00D02L02L01L11D10WH·DUN13/01H·NEW20/01H·ANN27/01A·BAL03/02A·ARD17/02H·DER24/02H·INS09/03A·BAN15/03A·NEW19/03H·BAL23/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.470.501.210.251.69
vs Stronger (18)0.441.170.601.100.251.25
vs Similar (9)0.331.890.331.670.332.00
vs Weaker (3)0.002.000.001.000.002.50
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Portadown over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Knockbreda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Knockbreda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Knockbreda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.581.8%-------✗ Miss
Home win76.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POR (6)
€1m
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
POR (3)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
POR wins
0
Draws
0
KNO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Portadown vs Knockbreda · H/A from POR
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23HPOR Vs Knockbreda3-1
16/09/23AKnockbreda Vs POR0-2

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/24HPOR Vs Bangor2-1
19/03/24AArds Vs POR1-3
16/03/24AInstitute Vs POR1-2
24/02/24ABallinamallard United Vs POR1-2
20/02/24HPOR Vs Newington Youth0-4
16/02/24HPOR Vs Ballyclare Comrades2-2
10/02/24AAnnagh United Vs POR2-2
06/02/24HPOR Vs Ballyclare Comrades2-1
27/01/24ADundela Vs POR1-1
20/01/24HPOR Vs Dergview3-2

KnockbredaKnockbreda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/24HKNO Vs Ballyclare Comrades2-0
19/03/24ANewington Youth Vs KNO2-2
15/03/24ABangor Vs KNO5-0
09/03/24HKNO Vs Institute0-3
24/02/24HKNO Vs Dergview1-2
17/02/24AArds Vs KNO1-2
03/02/24ABallinamallard United Vs KNO6-1
27/01/24HKNO Vs Annagh United1-4
20/01/24HKNO Vs Newington Youth1-3
13/01/24HKNO Vs Dundela0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.60
HomeWWDLW2.00
AwayDDWWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%35%
AVG goals3.383.713.08
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %70%75%65%
Over 3.5 %50%67%35%
Scored1.722.171.31
Conceded1.661.541.77
BTTS66%71%62%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Knockbreda
Knockbreda
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.64
HomeLLLLW0.67
AwayLLWLD0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%17%15%
AVG goals3.703.463.92
Over 1.5 %90%83%96%
Over 2.5 %72%67%77%
Over 3.5 %54%50%58%
Scored1.081.171.00
Conceded2.622.292.92
BTTS64%62%65%
Clean Sheet10%17%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PortadownPortadown3871
58%
1.9
7453+21
3.3
87%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.4
-
2InstituteInstitute3869
53%
1.8
6043+17
2.7
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
3BangorBangor3868
53%
1.8
7744+33
3.2
87%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.01.2
-
4Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3868
53%
1.8
6150+11
2.9
74%
55%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
5DundelaDundela3867
55%
1.8
7460+14
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades3861
47%
1.6
7360+13
3.5
89%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
7H&W WeldersH&W Welders3856
45%
1.5
7063+7
3.5
89%
76%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Newington YouthNewington Youth3852
42%
1.4
6568-3
3.5
97%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3851
39%
1.3
5151+0
2.7
71%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10ArdsArds3837
24%
1.0
6069-9
3.4
84%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
11DergviewDergview4029
15%
0.7
4381-38
3.1
85%
57%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12KnockbredaKnockbreda3818
13%
0.5
34100-66
3.5
95%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
13Armagh CityArmagh City22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches