Porthmadog vs Caersws Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026

Time: 18:45

Final 1-3

Porthmadog

51%

24%

25%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Caersws

Wales: FAW Championship

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Porthmadog, fresh from a 3-2 win, will face Caersws who are returning after a 2-4 defeat. The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an average of 3.3 goals, most likely totaling three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.7% chance. Home victory is favoured, with a 51% chance, a draw at 24% and an away win at 25%. Porthmadog’s home form shows 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded against similar opposition, while Caersws’ away form yields 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals 98.3%, Under 7.5 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals 96.3%, Away under 3.5 goals 95.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals 95.2%, Under 6.5 95.0% and Away under 1.5 HT goals 94.3%. These probabilities reflect the expected flow of the match.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Caersws overturned Porthmadog’s home advantage, winning 3-1 and ending the hosts’ recent run of defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 51% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 1-3 confirmed an Away win. The model’s selections proved accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1%, Under 7.5 at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3%, Under 6.5 at 95.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.6%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.8%. All eight picks were settled correctly.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Porthmadog win✗ Miss

51.0%

Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.10

Edge

+8.0%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

2.15

Superbet

2.12

Dafabet

2.12

1xBet

2.12

Marathonbet

2.10

Draw✗ Miss

23.9%

Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.71

Edge

-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.90

Bet365

3.90

Dafabet

3.80

Superbet

3.70

1xBet

3.66

Caersws win✓ Hit

25.1%

Avg Implied 32.6% · @ 2.77

Edge

-7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.90

Superbet

2.87

Betano

2.82

1xBet

2.80

Marathonbet

2.75

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Porthmadog

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.5

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.27	2.13	0.89	2.17	1.83	2.08
vs Stronger (1)	3.00	2.00	3.00	2.00	-	-
vs Similar (25)	1.32	2.20	0.85	2.31	1.83	2.08
vs Weaker (4)	0.50	1.75	0.50	1.75	-	-
Clean sheet %	7% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (Caersws) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caersws

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.4

Avg scored

1.9

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.73	1.63	2.06	1.12	1.36	2.21
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	-	-
vs Similar (19)	2.05	1.47	2.56	1.11	1.60	1.80
vs Weaker (10)	1.30	2.00	1.67	1.17	0.75	3.25
Clean sheet %	27% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Porthmadog) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

85.0%

@ 1.11+3.3%

Under 1.5

15.0%

@ 4.95-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.11

Superbet

1.11

Under

1xBet

5.20

Superbet

4.70

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

63.9%

@ 1.45+0.8%

Under 2.5

36.1%

@ 2.48-0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.46

Superbet

1.45

Marathonbet

1.43

1xBet

1.42

Under

Pinnacle

2.52

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.49

Marathonbet

2.46

Superbet

2.45

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

41.8%

@ 2.14-1.2%

Under 3.5

58.2%

@ 1.61+1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.18

Superbet

2.15

Marathonbet

2.15

1xBet

2.14

Betano

2.07

Under

1xBet

1.62

Pinnacle

1.62

Superbet

1.61

Marathonbet

1.61

Betano

1.60

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

64.2%

@ 1.41-0.5%

35.8%

@ 2.59+0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.44

1xBet

1.40

Marathonbet

1.40

William Hil

1.40

1xBet

2.66

Marathonbet

2.60

Superbet

2.60

William Hil

2.50

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

10.7%@ 7.38+4.9%

2-1

9.5%@ 8.50+4.5%

2-0

7.1%@ 12.00+3.6%

1-2

6.5%@ 10.25+2.3%

2-2

6.3%@ 10.50+2.3%

1-0

6.3%@ 11.25+2.5%

3-1

6.2%@ 13.75+3.1%

0-0

4.7%@ 17.00+2.2%

Porthmadog goals ↓

	Caersws goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	4.0%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
1	6.3%	11%	6.5%	2.9%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.5%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
3	4.7%	6.2%	4.1%	1.8%	0.6%
4	2.3%	3.0%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Porthmadog goals (down), columns = Caersws goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Swansea University

2.60

Pontypridd Town

2.60

Newtown AFC

2.60

Brickfield Rangers

2.50

Bala Town

2.40

Aberystwyth Town

2.40

Mold Alexandra

2.17

Bangor City 1876 FC

2.00

Caersws

2.00

Porthmadog

1.83

Treowen Stars

1.80

Carmarthen Town

1.67

Baglan Dragons

1.67

Ynyshir Albions

1.60

Guilsfield

1.50

Rhyl

1.40

Caerphilly Athletic

1.40

Trethomas Bluebirds

1.33

Llanuwchllyn

1.20

Newport City

1.20

Afan Lido

1.17

Caerau (Ely)

1.17

Cardiff Draconians

1.00

Holyhead Hotspur

0.80

Ruthin Town

0.67

Buckley Town

0.67

Denbigh Town

0.67

Pontardawe Town

0.60

llanelli AFC

0.33

Penrhyncoch

0.20

Llantwit Major

0.00

Gresford Athletic

0.00

Porthmadog is 0.17 points worse than Caersws in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Swansea University

3.60

Pontypridd Town

3.20

Aberystwyth Town

3.20

Brickfield Rangers

2.83

Newtown AFC

2.80

Treowen Stars

2.60

Carmarthen Town

2.50

Bangor City 1876 FC

2.33

Caerau (Ely)

2.17

Bala Town

2.00

Trethomas Bluebirds

2.00

Mold Alexandra

2.00

Guilsfield

2.00

Caersws

2.00

Afan Lido

1.83

Porthmadog

1.83

Denbigh Town

1.83

Rhyl

1.80

Newport City

1.80

Holyhead Hotspur

1.40

Cardiff Draconians

1.25

Buckley Town

1.17

llanelli AFC

1.00

Llanuwchllyn

1.00

Pontardawe Town

1.00

Ruthin Town

1.00

Baglan Dragons

0.83

Ynyshir Albions

0.80

Penrhyncoch

0.60

Caerphilly Athletic

0.60

Llantwit Major

0.25

Gresford Athletic

0.00

Porthmadog is 0.17 goals worse than Caersws in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Newtown AFC

0.20

Ynyshir Albions

0.60

Brickfield Rangers

0.67

Bala Town

0.80

Baglan Dragons

0.83

Swansea University

1.00

Mold Alexandra

1.00

Aberystwyth Town

1.00

Newport City

1.00

Bangor City 1876 FC

1.33

Caerphilly Athletic

1.40

Caersws

1.40

Porthmadog

1.50

Guilsfield

1.50

Rhyl

1.60

Cardiff Draconians

1.75

Treowen Stars

1.80

Holyhead Hotspur

1.80

Pontardawe Town

1.80

Trethomas Bluebirds

1.83

Buckley Town

1.83

Pontypridd Town

2.00

Afan Lido

2.17

Ruthin Town

2.17

Carmarthen Town

2.33

Denbigh Town

2.33

Gresford Athletic

2.80

Caerau (Ely)

2.83

llanelli AFC

3.00

Llanuwchllyn

3.00

Penrhyncoch

3.20

Llantwit Major

3.50

Porthmadog is 0.10 goals worse than Caersws in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Porthmadog or Draw✗ Miss

74.9%

Avg Implied 67.6% · @ 1.36

Edge

+7.3%

51%

24%

25%

covers Porthmadog + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

1.40

Bet365

1.36

William Hil

1.36

Betano

1.35

Superbet

1.35

Porthmadog or Caersws✓ Hit

76.1%

Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.22

Edge

+0.8%

51%

24%

25%

covers Porthmadog + Caersws

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.25

Betano

1.25

Betfair

1.25

Superbet

1.22

1xBet

1.19

Draw or Caersws✓ Hit

49.0%

Avg Implied 57.0% · @ 1.61

Edge

-8.0%

51%

24%

25%

covers Draw + Caersws

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.65

Bet365

1.62

Superbet

1.62

Betfair

1.62

Betano

1.60

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Porthmadog over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

85.9%

@ 1.11+4.7%

Under

14.1%

@ 4.80-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.12

1xBet

1.11

Under

1xBet

5.05

Superbet

4.55

Porthmadog over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

58.2%

@ 1.74+5.0%

Under

41.8%

@ 1.98-5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.75

1xBet

1.73

Superbet

1.73

Marathonbet

1.73

Under

Pinnacle

2.00

Marathonbet

1.97

1xBet

1.97

Superbet

1.97

Porthmadog over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

31.2%

@ 3.08+1.5%

Under

68.8%

@ 1.29-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

3.15

1xBet

3.00

Under

1xBet

1.32

Superbet

1.27

Porthmadog over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

13.5%

@ 6.50-0.6%

Under

86.5%

@ 1.07+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.50

Under

1xBet

1.07

Caersws over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.7%

@ 1.19-2.8%

Under

26.3%

@ 3.85+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.19

1xBet

1.18

Under

1xBet

4.05

Superbet

3.65

Caersws over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

38.5%

@ 2.04-6.9%

Under

61.5%

@ 1.69+6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.08

Superbet

2.05

1xBet

2.01

Marathonbet

2.01

Under

1xBet

1.70

Pinnacle

1.70

Marathonbet

1.70

Superbet

1.67

Caersws over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

15.1%

@ 4.45-5.4%

Under

84.9%

@ 1.15+5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.90

Superbet

4.00

Under

Superbet

1.16

1xBet

1.13

Caersws over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.7%

Under

95.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Porthmadog, so a minus line means Porthmadog give that many goals of a start and Caersws receive them. At -1, Porthmadog must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Porthmadog win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Porthmadog)Actual: Caersws

Porthmadog -2

14.3%

@ 6.25+0.1%

Draw -2

15.7%

@ 5.60-0.0%

Caersws +2

70.0%

@ 1.26-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

6.25

Draw

Marathonbet

5.60

Away

Marathonbet

1.26

Handicap -1 (Porthmadog)Actual: Caersws

Porthmadog -1

30.0%

@ 3.87+7.2%

Draw -1

21.0%

@ 4.15-0.3%

Caersws +1

49.0%

@ 1.57-7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

4.00

Marathonbet

3.74

Draw

Betfair

4.20

Marathonbet

4.10

Away

Marathonbet

1.58

Betfair

1.57

Handicap +1 (Porthmadog)Actual: Caersws

Porthmadog +1

74.9%

@ 1.34+9.9%

Draw +1

14.0%

@ 4.70-4.5%

Caersws -1

11.1%

@ 5.30-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.34

Draw

Marathonbet

4.70

Away

Marathonbet

5.30

Handicap +2 (Porthmadog)Actual: Draw

Porthmadog +2

88.9%

Draw +2

7.3%

Caersws -2

3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Porthmadog

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.67	0.56	0.61	0.83	0.75
vs Stronger (1)	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	-	-
vs Similar (25)	0.72	0.76	0.62	0.77	0.83	0.75
vs Weaker (4)	0.25	0.00	0.25	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+28pp vs league)

This opponent (Caersws) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caersws

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.73	0.75	0.44	0.43	1.07
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	-
vs Similar (19)	0.74	0.63	0.89	0.44	0.60	0.80
vs Weaker (10)	0.40	1.00	0.67	0.50	0.00	1.75
Clean sheet %	53% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Porthmadog) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

67.4%

@ 1.22-8.2%

Under 0.5

32.6%

@ 3.76+8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.22

Superbet

1.22

1xBet

1.22

Betfair

1.20

Under

Betfair

4.00

William Hil

3.80

1xBet

3.80

Superbet

3.45

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

35.1%

@ 2.12-8.1%

Under 1.5

64.9%

@ 1.62+8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.20

Pinnacle

2.14

Marathonbet

2.13

1xBet

2.13

Superbet

2.10

Under

William Hil

1.65

Pinnacle

1.64

Superbet

1.63

1xBet

1.62

Marathonbet

1.62

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

10.1%

@ 4.56-10.0%

Under 2.5

89.9%

@ 1.15+10.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

5.20

1xBet

4.40

William Hil

4.40

Superbet

4.25

Under

William Hil

1.17

1xBet

1.16

Superbet

1.14

Betfair

1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Porthmadog over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

52.5%

@ 1.69-2.3%

Under

47.5%

@ 2.05+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.70

Pinnacle

1.68

Superbet

1.68

Under

Pinnacle

2.06

Superbet

2.05

1xBet

2.03

Porthmadog over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

17.0%

@ 4.10-5.3%

Under

83.0%

@ 1.18+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.10

Under

1xBet

1.18

Porthmadog over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.8%

@ 10.00-5.4%

Under

96.2%

@ 1.02+5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Under

1xBet

1.02

Caersws over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

35.3%

@ 1.91-13.3%

Under

64.7%

@ 1.80+13.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.91

Pinnacle

1.91

Superbet

1.90

Under

Pinnacle

1.81

Superbet

1.80

1xBet

1.79

Caersws over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

6.2%

@ 5.10-11.8%

Under

93.8%

@ 1.12+11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.10

Under

1xBet

1.12

Caersws over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.9%

@ 11.00-7.5%

Under

99.1%

@ 1.01+7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

11.00

Under

1xBet

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Porthmadog

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	1.47	0.33	1.56	1.00	1.33
vs Stronger (1)	2.00	1.00	2.00	1.00	-	-
vs Similar (25)	0.60	1.44	0.23	1.54	1.00	1.33
vs Weaker (4)	0.25	1.75	0.25	1.75	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (Caersws) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caersws

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.13	0.90	1.31	0.69	0.93	1.14
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	-	-
vs Similar (19)	1.32	0.84	1.67	0.67	1.00	1.00
vs Weaker (10)	0.90	1.00	1.00	0.67	0.75	1.50
Clean sheet %	43% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Porthmadog) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.8%

@ 1.11-5.0%

Under 0.5

23.2%

@ 5.00+5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.12

Superbet

1.11

Under

1xBet

5.30

Superbet

4.70

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

42.3%

@ 1.68-12.6%

Under 1.5

57.7%

@ 2.04+12.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.69

Marathonbet

1.67

1xBet

1.67

Under

1xBet

2.05

Marathonbet

2.05

Superbet

2.02

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

14.9%

@ 3.00-15.6%

Under 2.5

85.1%

@ 1.31+15.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.00

Superbet

3.00

Under

1xBet

1.33

Superbet

1.30

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Porthmadog over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

59.1%

@ 1.48-2.7%

Under

40.9%

@ 2.38+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.48

Superbet

1.47

Under

Superbet

2.42

1xBet

2.35

Porthmadog over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

21.9%

@ 3.25-6.3%

Under

78.1%

@ 1.28+6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.25

Under

1xBet

1.28

Porthmadog over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

5.4%

@ 7.85-6.4%

Under

94.6%

@ 1.05+6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.85

Under

1xBet

1.05

Caersws over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

43.2%

@ 1.63-13.1%

Under

56.8%

@ 2.10+13.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.63

1xBet

1.63

Under

Superbet

2.12

1xBet

2.09

Caersws over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

11.2%

@ 3.90-12.4%

Under

88.8%

@ 1.20+12.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.90

Under

1xBet

1.20

Caersws over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.9%

@ 9.10-8.3%

Under

98.1%

@ 1.03+8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.10

Under

1xBet

1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	99.1%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	98.1%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.3%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	98.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.2%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	95.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	95.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	94.6%	1.05	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	93.8%	1.12	1xBet 1.12	-	-	-	-	+11.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	89.9%	1.15	William Hil 1.17	1xBet 1.16	Superbet 1.14	Betfair 1.13	-	+10.0%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	88.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals	88.8%	1.20	1xBet 1.20	-	-	-	-	+12.4%	✗ Miss
Under 5.5	88.4%	1.07	1xBet 1.08	Superbet 1.07	-	-	-	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	86.5%	1.07	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.6%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	85.9%	1.11	Superbet 1.12	1xBet 1.11	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	85.1%	1.31	1xBet 1.33	Superbet 1.30	-	-	-	+15.6%	✗ Miss
Over 1.5	85.0%	1.11	1xBet 1.11	Superbet 1.11	-	-	-	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	84.9%	1.15	Superbet 1.16	1xBet 1.13	-	-	-	+5.4%	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals	83.0%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	78.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.3%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	76.8%	1.11	1xBet 1.12	Superbet 1.11	-	-	-	-5.0%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	76.4%	1.22	Marathonbet 1.22	1xBet 1.22	Superbet 1.22	-	-	+2.4%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	76.1%	1.22	William Hil 1.25	Betano 1.25	Betfair 1.25	Superbet 1.22	1xBet 1.19	+0.8%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	74.9%	1.36	Betfair 1.40	Bet365 1.36	William Hil 1.36	Betano 1.35	Superbet 1.35	+7.3%	✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap	74.9%	1.34	Marathonbet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+9.9%	✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals	73.7%	1.19	Superbet 1.19	1xBet 1.18	-	-	-	-2.8%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (12)

€1m

NC (4)

€0m

AT (2)

€0m

RHY (1)

€0m

LA (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (4)

€0m

RHY (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

NC (2)

€0m

LA (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (2)

€0m

LA (2)

€0m

RHY (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

NC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (6)

€0m

NC (2)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

LA (0)

€0m

RHY (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

POR wins

Draws

CAE wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Porthmadog vs Caersws · H/A from POR

Date	H/A	Game	Score
17/02/24	A	Caersws Vs POR	1-2
18/11/23	H	POR Vs Caersws	1-1

Porthmadog

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
21/08/26	A	Denbigh Town Vs POR	2-3
15/08/26	A	Buckley Town Vs POR	1-1
08/08/26	H	POR Vs Rhyl	1-0
01/08/26	A	Penrhyncoch Vs POR	1-3
13/12/25	H	POR Vs Rhyl	1-2
22/11/25	H	POR Vs Port Talbot Town	3-2
18/10/25	H	POR Vs Buckley Town	0-0
24/09/25	H	POR Vs Denbigh Town	2-2
20/09/25	H	POR Vs Denbigh Town	1-4
19/10/24	H	POR Vs Airbus UK	0-2

Caersws

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Rhyl Vs CAE	4-2
08/08/26	H	CAE Vs Gresford Athletic	1-0
01/08/26	A	Mold Alexandra Vs CAE	2-2
18/04/26	H	CAE Vs Denbigh Town	6-0
13/04/26	H	CAE Vs Buckley Town	3-2
11/04/26	A	Guilsfield Vs CAE	4-1
06/04/26	H	CAE Vs Penrhyncoch	1-2
03/04/26	A	Gresford Athletic Vs CAE	0-2
28/03/26	H	CAE Vs Llandudno	0-1
21/03/26	H	CAE Vs Rhyl	1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Porthmadog

Wales: FAW Championship

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWDW	1.02
Home	DDWLW	0.93
Away	DWWDW	1.13

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	26%	30%
AVG goals	3.38	3.07	3.74
Over 1.5 %	88%	81%	96%
Over 2.5 %	72%	67%	78%
Over 3.5 %	48%	41%	57%
Scored	1.38	1.15	1.65
Conceded	2.00	1.93	2.09
BTTS	70%	56%	87%
Clean Sheet	6%	11%	0%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Caersws

Wales: FAW Championship

Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWDWL	1.16
Home	LLWWW	1.42
Away	LWLDL	0.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	42%	25%
AVG goals	3.40	3.15	3.67
Over 1.5 %	82%	73%	92%
Over 2.5 %	66%	58%	75%
Over 3.5 %	50%	42%	58%
Scored	1.58	1.77	1.38
Conceded	1.82	1.38	2.29
BTTS	62%	58%	67%
Clean Sheet	20%	27%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Brickfield Rangers	6	15	83%	2.5	17	4	+13	3.5	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	0.7	-
2	Swansea University	5	13	80%	2.6	18	5	+13	4.6	100%	100%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.6	1.0	-
3	Newtown AFC	5	13	80%	2.6	14	1	+13	3.0	80%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	0.2	-
4	Pontypridd Town	5	13	80%	2.6	16	10	+6	5.2	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.2	2.0	-
5	Mold Alexandra	6	13	67%	2.2	12	6	+6	3.0	67%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	-
6	Aberystwyth Town	5	12	80%	2.4	16	5	+11	4.2	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.2	1.0	-
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	6	12	67%	2.0	14	8	+6	3.7	100%	100%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.3	-
8	Bala Town	5	12	80%	2.4	10	4	+6	2.8	80%	80%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	2.0	0.8	-
9	Porthmadog	6	11	50%	1.8	11	9	+2	3.3	83%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.5	-
10	Caersws	5	10	60%	2.0	10	7	+3	3.4	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.4	-
11	Carmarthen Town	6	10	50%	1.7	15	14	+1	4.8	100%	100%	83%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.5	2.3	-
12	Baglan Dragons	6	10	50%	1.7	5	5	+0	1.7	33%	33%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	0.8	-
13	Treowen Stars	5	9	60%	1.8	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	1.8	-
14	Guilsfield	6	9	33%	1.5	12	9	+3	3.5	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.5	-
15	Trethomas Bluebirds	6	8	33%	1.3	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.8	-
16	Ynyshir Albions	5	8	40%	1.6	4	3	+1	1.4	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	0.6	-
17	Rhyl	5	7	40%	1.4	9	8	+1	3.4	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.6	-
18	Afan Lido	6	7	33%	1.2	11	13	-2	4.0	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	2.2	-
19	Caerau (Ely)	6	7	33%	1.2	13	17	-4	5.0	100%	83%	83%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	2.8	-
20	Caerphilly Athletic	5	7	40%	1.4	3	7	-4	2.0	60%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	1.4	-
21	Newport City	5	6	40%	1.2	9	5	+4	2.8	60%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.0	-
22	Llanuwchllyn	5	6	40%	1.2	5	15	-10	4.0	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.0	-
23	Holyhead Hotspur	5	4	20%	0.8	7	9	-2	3.2	80%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.8	-
24	Cardiff Draconians	4	4	25%	1.0	5	7	-2	3.0	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.8	-
25	Denbigh Town	6	4	17%	0.7	11	14	-3	4.2	100%	100%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	2.3	-
26	Buckley Town	6	4	17%	0.7	7	11	-4	3.0	83%	50%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.8	-
27	Ruthin Town	6	4	17%	0.7	6	13	-7	3.2	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	-
28	Pontardawe Town	5	3	20%	0.6	5	9	-4	2.8	60%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.8	-
29	llanelli AFC	6	2	0%	0.3	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.0	-
30	Penrhyncoch	5	1	0%	0.2	3	16	-13	3.8	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	3.2	-
31	Llantwit Major	4	0	0%	0.0	1	14	-13	3.8	75%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.2	3.5	-
32	Gresford Athletic	5	0	0%	0.0	0	14	-14	2.8	80%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.0	2.8	-

Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

← all matches

Porthmadog vs Caersws Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Porthmadog

Caersws

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Porthmadog

Caersws

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Porthmadog

Caersws

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Porthmadog

Caersws

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature