This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.33
1.13
1.27
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.25
1.50
1.67
1.33
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (22)
0.86
1.27
1.00
1.25
0.70
1.30
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
Portimonense goals ↓
FC Porto B goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.5%
6.0%
2.8%
1.0%
1
7.5%
13%
8.3%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.0%
8.3%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.8%
3.9%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Portimonense goals (down), columns = FC Porto B goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tondela
1.88
Alverca
1.85
Vizela
1.82
Benfica B
1.62
Torreense
1.59
União de Leiria
1.53
Chaves
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Feirense
1.44
Felgueiras 1932
1.35
Academico Viseu
1.32
Penafiel
1.32
Maritimo
1.26
Leixoes
1.21
FC Porto B
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Oliveirense
0.85
Mafra
0.79
Portimonense is 0.03 points worse than FC Porto B in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alverca
1.71
Tondela
1.71
Benfica B
1.56
Vizela
1.47
Torreense
1.44
União de Leiria
1.44
Penafiel
1.32
Academico Viseu
1.26
Felgueiras 1932
1.26
Maritimo
1.24
Chaves
1.18
Portimonense
1.12
Leixoes
1.09
FC Porto B
1.06
Feirense
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Oliveirense
0.88
Mafra
0.85
Portimonense is 0.06 goals better than FC Porto B in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vizela
0.88
Chaves
1.00
Alverca
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
União de Leiria
1.09
Benfica B
1.12
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.21
Torreense
1.24
Leixoes
1.24
Penafiel
1.38
FC Porto B
1.38
Maritimo
1.41
Pacos Ferreira
1.44
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.59
Mafra
1.59
Oliveirense
1.88
Portimonense is 0.21 goals worse than FC Porto B in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
62%
Felgueiras 1932
57%
Chaves
56%
União de Leiria
55%
Benfica B
53%
Oliveirense
51%
Maritimo
51%
FC Porto B
51%
Leixoes
51%
Mafra
50%
Torreense
50%
Feirense
50%
Academico Viseu
48%
Alverca
48%
Penafiel
47%
Tondela
47%
Portimonense
40%
Pacos Ferreira
39%
Portimonense is 11.2 percentage points worse than FC Porto B in terms of average possession (40% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Portimonense
For 4.2 · Against 7.2 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Porto B
For 5.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Portimonense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
12.7
10.6
3.3
3.3
3.4
17.6
16.6
18.6
vs Stronger (12)
13.6
13.8
13.3
3.2
2.7
4.0
19.3
20.2
18.2
vs Similar (38)
10.4
11.8
9.7
3.4
3.6
3.2
17.0
14.9
18.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
89%
42%
48%
44%
52%
53%
50%
56%
% under line
38%
11%
58%
52%
56%
48%
47%
50%
44%
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.0
11.5
3.5
3.4
3.6
17.4
12.4
22.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.7
11.5
8.8
3.1
3.0
3.2
16.2
11.0
19.7
vs Weaker (35)
12.0
10.8
13.0
3.7
3.6
3.8
18.0
12.9
23.7
% over line
74%
88%
64%
48%
48%
48%
55%
36%
73%
% under line
26%
12%
36%
52%
52%
52%
45%
64%
27%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
11.6
Torreense
11.4
FC Porto B
11.3
Portimonense
11.2
Tondela
10.7
Chaves
10.7
União de Leiria
10.4
Benfica B
10.4
Pacos Ferreira
10.4
Penafiel
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.2
Vizela
10.0
Feirense
9.8
Maritimo
9.5
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Leixoes
9.2
Mafra
8.8
Felgueiras 1932
8.6
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
Leixoes
5.4
Oliveirense
5.4
Maritimo
5.3
Chaves
5.2
União de Leiria
5.2
Benfica B
5.2
Torreense
5.2
Pacos Ferreira
5.2
Penafiel
5.1
Tondela
4.9
Portimonense
4.9
Vizela
4.8
Feirense
4.5
FC Porto B
4.5
Academico Viseu
4.5
Alverca
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Mafra
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
24.3
Tondela
21.8
Pacos Ferreira
20.9
Vizela
19.8
Oliveirense
19.1
Feirense
19.1
Portimonense
18.6
Academico Viseu
18.5
União de Leiria
18.5
Torreense
18.4
Maritimo
18.1
Penafiel
17.8
Chaves
17.7
FC Porto B
17.4
Benfica B
15.6
Mafra
15.5
Felgueiras 1932
10.0
Alverca
6.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.8%
Under 9.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.6%
Under 3.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
1.6%
Under 21.5
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Portimonense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.31
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.47
0.53
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.12
1.33
1.00
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (22)
0.23
0.59
0.25
0.42
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Portimonense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Portimonense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.84
0.83
0.83
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.38
0.33
0.33
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (22)
0.64
0.68
0.75
0.83
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Portimonense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Portimonense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paulo Vitor25%
Camilo Duran25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Heitor0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Jefferson Maciel0%
Alemão0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Ruan0%
Danio Djassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Heitor33%
Tamblé Monteiro25%
Alemão25%
Ruan25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Jefferson Maciel0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Danio Djassi0%
Camilo Duran0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jefferson Maciel33%
Tamblé Monteiro25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Heitor0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Alemão0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Ruan0%
Danio Djassi0%
Camilo Duran0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heitor33%
Paulo Vitor25%
Camilo Duran25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Jefferson Maciel0%
Alemão0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Ruan0%
Danio Djassi0%
FC Porto B
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abraham Marcus50%
Rui Monteiro33%
André Castro0%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Lipe0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Tiago Andrade0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Gil Martins0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Anhá Candé0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Domingos Andrade60%
Gabriel Brás33%
Trofim Melnichenko33%
Gil Martins33%
Gonçalo Sousa33%
André Castro25%
Lipe25%
João Teixeira25%
Tiago Andrade17%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Rui Monteiro0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Anhá Candé0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Andrade33%
Trofim Melnichenko33%
André Castro25%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Lipe0%
Rui Monteiro0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Gil Martins0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Anhá Candé0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anhá Candé40%
Dinis Rodrigues20%
André Castro0%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Lipe0%
Rui Monteiro0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Tiago Andrade0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Gil Martins0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (30)
€39m
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Portimonense's squad is €23m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€6m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (8)
€15m
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Portimonense's attack is €10m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€2m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
ALV (8)
€6m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Portimonense's midfield is €6m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€1m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (14)
€18m
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Portimonense's defence is €7m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€3m vs €9m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Tondela
Alverca
Vizela
Benfica B
Torreense
União de Leiria
Chaves
Feirense
Felgueiras 1932
Academico Viseu
Penafiel
Maritimo
Leixoes
Pacos Ferreira
Oliveirense
Mafra
CF Os Belenenses