This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maritimo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.93
1.62
0.88
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.44
1.04
1.42
1.00
1.46
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
2.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tondela
1.88
Alverca
1.85
Vizela
1.82
Benfica B
1.62
Torreense
1.59
União de Leiria
1.53
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Chaves
1.50
Feirense
1.44
Felgueiras 1932
1.35
Penafiel
1.32
Academico Viseu
1.32
Maritimo
1.26
Leixoes
1.21
FC Porto B
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Oliveirense
0.85
Mafra
0.79
Portimonense is 0.26 points worse than Maritimo in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alverca
1.71
Tondela
1.71
Benfica B
1.56
Vizela
1.47
União de Leiria
1.44
Torreense
1.44
Penafiel
1.32
Felgueiras 1932
1.26
Academico Viseu
1.26
Maritimo
1.24
Chaves
1.18
Portimonense
1.12
Leixoes
1.09
FC Porto B
1.06
Feirense
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Oliveirense
0.88
Mafra
0.85
Portimonense is 0.12 goals worse than Maritimo in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vizela
0.88
Alverca
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Tondela
1.03
União de Leiria
1.09
Benfica B
1.12
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.21
Leixoes
1.24
Torreense
1.24
Penafiel
1.38
FC Porto B
1.38
Maritimo
1.41
Pacos Ferreira
1.44
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.59
Mafra
1.59
Oliveirense
1.88
Portimonense is 0.18 goals worse than Maritimo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
62%
Felgueiras 1932
57%
Chaves
56%
União de Leiria
55%
Benfica B
53%
Oliveirense
51%
Maritimo
51%
FC Porto B
51%
Leixoes
51%
Mafra
50%
Torreense
50%
Feirense
50%
Academico Viseu
48%
Alverca
48%
Penafiel
47%
Tondela
47%
Portimonense
40%
Pacos Ferreira
39%
Portimonense is 11.2 percentage points worse than Maritimo in terms of average possession (40% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Portimonense
For 6.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 14.0 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maritimo
For 5.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Portimonense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.9
11.1
4.0
4.2
3.8
27.1
28.2
26.2
vs Stronger (22)
11.3
11.5
11.1
3.3
3.1
3.5
25.6
26.8
24.4
vs Similar (28)
10.8
10.5
11.0
4.6
5.2
4.1
28.3
29.3
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
72%
58%
60%
62%
58%
89%
94%
84%
% under line
35%
28%
42%
40%
38%
42%
11%
6%
16%
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maritimo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.4
3.8
4.0
3.7
28.1
28.2
27.9
vs Stronger (8)
11.0
11.0
11.0
4.2
5.2
3.2
27.8
29.5
26.0
vs Similar (38)
9.6
10.1
9.0
3.8
3.6
3.9
28.4
27.7
29.2
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
8.5
10.0
3.8
5.0
2.5
26.3
29.5
20.0
% over line
58%
57%
58%
62%
62%
62%
81%
86%
75%
% under line
42%
43%
42%
38%
38%
38%
19%
14%
25%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Alverca
12.0
Feirense
11.4
Portimonense
11.0
Oliveirense
10.9
Chaves
10.7
Tondela
10.7
FC Porto B
10.5
Benfica B
10.4
União de Leiria
10.3
Mafra
10.2
Penafiel
10.2
Vizela
10.1
Torreense
10.1
Leixoes
10.0
Pacos Ferreira
10.0
Academico Viseu
9.9
Maritimo
9.8
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maritimo
6.0
Chaves
5.9
Oliveirense
5.7
Leixoes
5.6
Pacos Ferreira
5.5
Portimonense
5.4
Vizela
5.3
Tondela
5.3
Penafiel
5.3
FC Porto B
5.2
Benfica B
5.2
Torreense
5.0
Feirense
4.9
União de Leiria
4.9
Academico Viseu
4.8
Mafra
4.7
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Felgueiras 1932
4.0
Alverca
1.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pacos Ferreira
31.5
Chaves
29.5
Maritimo
29.4
Penafiel
28.8
Leixoes
28.7
Oliveirense
28.5
Vizela
27.9
Portimonense
27.7
Tondela
27.3
Benfica B
26.7
União de Leiria
26.0
Torreense
25.7
Feirense
25.7
FC Porto B
25.4
Mafra
25.3
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Academico Viseu
24.7
Felgueiras 1932
14.0
Alverca
13.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.7%
Under 3.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.0%
Under 21.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Portimonense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.33
0.67
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.67
0.14
1.00
0.40
0.20
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.50
0.50
0.38
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maritimo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.62
0.50
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.60
0.50
0.58
0.85
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Portimonense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Portimonense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.53
0.67
1.20
0.67
1.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.08
1.00
1.29
0.20
3.20
vs Similar (18)
0.67
1.17
0.38
1.12
0.90
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maritimo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
1.00
0.38
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.44
0.92
0.42
0.62
0.46
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Portimonense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Portimonense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paulo Vitor25%
Camilo Duran25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Heitor0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Jefferson Maciel0%
Alemão0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Ruan0%
Danio Djassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Heitor33%
Tamblé Monteiro25%
Alemão25%
Ruan25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Jefferson Maciel0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Danio Djassi0%
Camilo Duran0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jefferson Maciel33%
Tamblé Monteiro25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Heitor0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Alemão0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Ruan0%
Danio Djassi0%
Camilo Duran0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heitor33%
Paulo Vitor25%
Camilo Duran25%
Vinicius Silvestre0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Mohamed Diaby0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Jefferson Maciel0%
Alemão0%
Elijah Benedict0%
Ruan0%
Danio Djassi0%
Maritimo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Guedes50%
Fábio China25%
Ibrahima Guirassy20%
Martim Tavares20%
Patrick Fernandes17%
Igor Julião0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Carlos Daniel0%
Enrique Peña Zauner0%
Michel Costa0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Tomás Domingos0%
Noah Madsen0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Fabio Blanco0%
Gonçalo Tabuaço0%
Francisco França0%
Dani Benchi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Julião50%
Tomás Domingos50%
Ibrahima Guirassy40%
Michel Costa33%
Afonso Freitas33%
Alexandre Guedes25%
Fábio China25%
Martim Tavares20%
Patrick Fernandes0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Carlos Daniel0%
Enrique Peña Zauner0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Noah Madsen0%
Fabio Blanco0%
Gonçalo Tabuaço0%
Francisco França0%
Dani Benchi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fábio China25%
Tomás Domingos25%
Francisco França17%
Igor Julião0%
Alexandre Guedes0%
Patrick Fernandes0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Carlos Daniel0%
Enrique Peña Zauner0%
Ibrahima Guirassy0%
Michel Costa0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Noah Madsen0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Fabio Blanco0%
Gonçalo Tabuaço0%
Martim Tavares0%
Dani Benchi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Fernandes50%
Alexandre Guedes25%
Fabio Blanco25%
Noah Madsen20%
Igor Julião0%
Fábio China0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Carlos Daniel0%
Enrique Peña Zauner0%
Ibrahima Guirassy0%
Michel Costa0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Tomás Domingos0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Gonçalo Tabuaço0%
Francisco França0%
Martim Tavares0%
Dani Benchi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (30)
€39m
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Portimonense's squad is €10m less valuable than Maritimo's (€6m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (8)
€15m
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Portimonense's attack is €4m less valuable than Maritimo's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
ALV (8)
€6m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Portimonense's midfield is €2m less valuable than Maritimo's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (14)
€18m
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Portimonense's defence is €4m less valuable than Maritimo's (€3m vs €6m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →