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Posušje vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Posušje
Posušje
Vs
32%
35%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Posušje win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W01L03L20W11D11D01L23LH·RUD01/03A·VEL06/03H·ZRI15/03A·SLO21/03H·BOR04/04H·SIR10/04A·ZEL17/04H·RAD22/04H·FK 26/04A·RUD02/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.130.870.930.671.33
vs Stronger (10)0.501.800.171.671.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.900.801.330.440.551.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L31W00D30W22D30W00D10W01LA·FK 22/03H·ZRI03/04H·SLO08/04H·SLO11/04A·SLO15/04A·BOR18/04H·SIR21/04A·ZEL25/04H·RAD01/05A·ZRI06/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.501.330.270.930.73
vs Stronger (10)0.800.801.000.500.671.00
vs Similar (19)1.320.371.450.181.120.62
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.8%
Under 1.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.5%
Under 2.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.8%
Under 3.5
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.0%
No
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.9%
1-1 ✓
14.8%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
Posušje goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
017%13%6.8%2.1%0.5%
113%15%6.3%2.0%0.5%
26.7%6.2%2.9%0.9%0.2%
32.1%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
40.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Posušje goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Posušje is 0.47 points worse than Velež in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Posušje is 0.31 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (0.69 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Posušje is 0.17 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PosušjePosušje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L01L10W00D11D00D11DH·RUD01/03A·VEL06/03H·ZRI15/03A·SLO21/03H·BOR04/04H·SIR10/04A·ZEL17/04H·RAD22/04H·FK 26/04A·RUD02/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.470.400.330.470.60
vs Stronger (10)0.300.800.000.500.751.25
vs Similar (20)0.500.300.670.220.360.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W00D30W12L20W00D10W01LA·FK 22/03H·ZRI03/04H·SLO08/04H·SLO11/04A·SLO15/04A·BOR18/04H·SIR21/04A·ZEL25/04H·RAD01/05A·ZRI06/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.270.600.200.400.33
vs Stronger (10)0.300.600.500.500.170.67
vs Similar (19)0.630.110.640.090.620.12
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Posušje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PosušjePosušje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W00D02L10W11D00D01L12LH·RUD01/03A·VEL06/03H·ZRI15/03A·SLO21/03H·BOR04/04H·SIR10/04A·ZEL17/04H·RAD22/04H·FK 26/04A·RUD02/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.670.470.600.200.73
vs Stronger (10)0.201.000.171.170.250.75
vs Similar (20)0.400.500.670.220.180.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W00D00D10W10W00D00D00DA·FK 22/03H·ZRI03/04H·SLO08/04H·SLO11/04A·SLO15/04A·BOR18/04H·SIR21/04A·ZEL25/04H·RAD01/05A·ZRI06/05
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.230.730.070.530.40
vs Stronger (10)0.500.200.500.000.500.33
vs Similar (19)0.680.260.820.090.500.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Posušje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.571.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
POS wins
2
Draws
3
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Posušje vs Velež · H/A from POS
DateH/AGameScore
06/03/26AVelež Vs POS1-0
23/11/25HPOS Vs Velež0-0
30/08/25AVelež Vs POS0-1
17/04/25HPOS Vs Velež2-0
16/03/25HPOS Vs Velež1-1
26/10/24AVelež Vs POS3-0
03/05/24AVelež Vs POS2-0
03/03/24HPOS Vs Velež1-0

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26ARudar Prijedor Vs POS3-2
26/04/26HPOS Vs FK Sarajevo0-1
22/04/26HPOS Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-1
17/04/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs POS1-1
10/04/26HPOS Vs Siroki Brijeg2-0
04/04/26HPOS Vs Borac Banja Luka0-3
21/03/26ASloga Doboj Vs POS1-0
15/03/26HPOS Vs Zrinjski1-0
06/03/26AVelež Vs POS1-0
01/03/26HPOS Vs Rudar Prijedor1-0

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/26AZrinjski Vs VEL1-0
01/05/26HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-0
25/04/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs VEL0-0
21/04/26HVEL Vs Siroki Brijeg3-0
18/04/26ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL2-2
15/04/26ASloga Doboj Vs VEL0-3
11/04/26HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj0-0
08/04/26HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj3-1
03/04/26HVEL Vs Zrinjski0-1
22/03/26AFK Sarajevo Vs VEL1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL0.98
HomeWLWDL1.26
AwayLLLDL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%30%19%
AVG goals1.961.872.04
Over 1.5 %60%61%59%
Over 2.5 %32%30%33%
Over 3.5 %10%9%11%
Scored0.820.910.74
Conceded1.140.961.30
BTTS36%35%37%
Clean Sheet30%39%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.60
HomeLWDWW1.88
AwayLWDDL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals2.122.042.19
Over 1.5 %52%46%58%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %20%25%15%
Scored1.221.331.12
Conceded0.900.711.08
BTTS38%33%42%
Clean Sheet36%50%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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