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Preston vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 16/12/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-5
Preston
Preston
Vs
33%
30%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: S Gill

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Preston win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied 34.2% · @ 2.78
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 3.07
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✓ Hit
36.9%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.73
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrestonPreston

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D22D01L32W21W12L04L02L00D31WH·MIL21/10H·SOU25/10A·HUL28/10H·COV04/11A·BLA10/11H·CAR25/11A·MID28/11H·QPR01/12A·NOR09/12A·HUD12/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.771.501.641.061.88
vs Stronger (4)1.752.501.672.002.004.00
vs Similar (24)1.171.711.401.601.001.79
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W22D00D50W02L32W21W11D12LH·SHE21/10A·SWA24/10H·MIL28/10A·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.821.180.851.54
vs Stronger (4)0.752.251.002.000.672.33
vs Similar (24)1.381.251.711.210.901.30
vs Weaker (2)3.000.503.000.50--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.5%
@ 2.42+3.3%
Under 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.56-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
Preston goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
011%10%7.0%2.9%0.9%
19.3%14%8.1%3.3%1.0%
26.1%7.5%4.6%1.9%0.6%
32.3%2.9%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Preston goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Preston is 0.15 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Preston is 0.11 goals worse than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Preston is 0.13 goals worse than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Preston is 7.5 percentage points worse than Watford in terms of average possession (45% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PrestonPreston

For 4.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1906211064376132768277252811101019914997A·HUDA·NORH·QPRA·MIDH·CARA·BLAH·COVA·HULH·SOUH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

6022112411223332412222514655A·HUDA·NORH·QPRA·MIDH·CARA·BLAH·COVA·HULH·SOUH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

29010121081111141596139141513131613131522182229152229262928A·HUDA·NORH·QPRA·MIDH·CARA·BLAH·COVA·HULH·SOUH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 4.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

12064732875267231724645101010128949109H·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUDH·MILA·SWAH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

802434211462212333216735832633H·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUDH·MILA·SWAH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 9.9 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

2801216101612714121451211206131314715628261926192326262121H·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUDH·MILA·SWAH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PrestonPreston

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.99.24.14.43.821.922.621.2
vs Stronger (5)10.611.57.03.63.83.023.023.521.0
vs Similar (41)9.49.59.44.14.63.722.222.622.0
vs Weaker (4)9.011.08.34.23.04.717.019.016.3
% over line40%44%36%62%76%48%50%56%44%
% under line60%56%64%38%24%52%50%44%56%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.59.74.74.74.824.324.124.6
vs Stronger (4)9.510.09.35.86.05.726.828.026.3
vs Similar (41)10.210.69.84.64.64.524.024.223.8
vs Weaker (5)9.610.08.05.45.07.025.022.834.0
% over line56%63%48%74%74%74%70%67%74%
% under line44%37%52%26%26%26%30%33%26%
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.6
Blackburn
11.0
Middlesbrough
10.9
Huddersfield
10.8
Coventry
10.7
QPR
10.7
Norwich
10.7
West Brom
10.6
Southampton
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Leeds
10.5
Rotherham
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Hull
10.2
Watford
10.1
Ipswich
10.1
Birmingham
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Cardiff
9.9
Sunderland
9.8
Millwall
9.5
Preston
9.5
Swansea
9.4
Sheffield Weds
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.8
Watford
4.7
Swansea
4.4
Norwich
4.3
Blackburn
4.3
Southampton
4.3
Stoke
4.2
Preston
4.1
QPR
4.1
Coventry
4.0
Leeds
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Leicester
3.9
West Brom
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Rotherham
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Millwall
3.7
Plymouth
3.6
Huddersfield
3.6
Hull
3.5
Bristol City
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
24.3
Sunderland
23.6
Swansea
23.2
Stoke
23.1
Birmingham
22.8
QPR
22.6
Southampton
22.3
Coventry
22.1
Norwich
21.9
Preston
21.9
Leeds
21.8
Middlesbrough
21.8
Sheffield Weds
21.8
Millwall
21.7
Leicester
21.5
Ipswich
21.3
Plymouth
21.2
Hull
21.1
Huddersfield
20.7
Rotherham
20.5
Bristol City
20.2
Cardiff
19.7
West Brom
19.7
Blackburn
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.3%
Under 21.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrestonPreston

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D21W10W00D03L00D00D20WH·MIL21/10H·SOU25/10A·HUL28/10H·COV04/11A·BLA10/11H·CAR25/11A·MID28/11H·QPR01/12A·NOR09/12A·HUD12/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.570.500.310.81
vs Stronger (4)1.001.251.000.671.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.330.580.500.500.210.64
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D20W00D22D11D00D11DH·SHE21/10A·SWA24/10H·MIL28/10A·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.000.710.380.46
vs Stronger (4)0.500.501.001.000.330.33
vs Similar (24)0.710.670.930.790.400.50
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Preston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrestonPreston

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W01L11D11D12L01L02L00D11DH·MIL21/10H·SOU25/10A·HUL28/10H·COV04/11A·BLA10/11H·CAR25/11A·MID28/11H·QPR01/12A·NOR09/12A·HUD12/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.100.931.140.751.06
vs Stronger (4)0.751.250.671.331.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.831.120.901.100.791.14
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D00D30W02L10W10W11D01LH·SHE21/10A·SWA24/10H·MIL28/10A·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.820.470.461.08
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.001.000.332.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.580.790.430.500.80
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.500.50--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Preston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Preston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Preston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls71.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Preston
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Will Keane26%
Emil Riis Jacobsen24%
Milutin Osmajić17%
Liam Millar14%
Duane Holmes11%
Benjamin Whiteman10%
Alan Browne10%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen7%
Liam Lindsay7%
Brad Potts6%
Robbie Brady3%
Andrew Hughes3%
Ben Woodburn0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Greg Cunningham0%
Jordan Storey0%
Ryan Ledson0%
Jack Whatmough0%
Ched Evans0%
Alistair McCann0%
Layton Stewart0%
Josh Seary0%
Noah Mawene0%
Kian Best0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Cunningham33%
Alistair McCann32%
Ryan Ledson26%
Brad Potts26%
Duane Holmes26%
Liam Lindsay22%
Benjamin Whiteman20%
Robbie Brady19%
Alan Browne17%
Kian Best17%
Ben Woodburn15%
Jordan Storey15%
Noah Mawene14%
Andrew Hughes13%
Layton Stewart12%
Ched Evans11%
Milutin Osmajić11%
Will Keane11%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen10%
Jack Whatmough9%
Liam Millar9%
Freddie Woodman7%
Emil Riis Jacobsen0%
Josh Seary0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen17%
Liam Millar14%
Duane Holmes11%
Alan Browne10%
Emil Riis Jacobsen10%
Kian Best8%
Will Keane8%
Benjamin Whiteman7%
Robbie Brady6%
Ched Evans6%
Milutin Osmajić6%
Andrew Hughes5%
Brad Potts3%
Ben Woodburn0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Greg Cunningham0%
Jordan Storey0%
Ryan Ledson0%
Liam Lindsay0%
Jack Whatmough0%
Alistair McCann0%
Layton Stewart0%
Josh Seary0%
Noah Mawene0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Liam Millar9%
Will Keane8%
Brad Potts6%
Milutin Osmajić6%
Alan Browne5%
Emil Riis Jacobsen5%
Benjamin Whiteman3%
Duane Holmes3%
Mads Frøkjær-Jensen2%
Liam Lindsay2%
Ben Woodburn0%
Andrew Hughes0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Robbie Brady0%
Greg Cunningham0%
Jordan Storey0%
Ryan Ledson0%
Jack Whatmough0%
Ched Evans0%
Alistair McCann0%
Layton Stewart0%
Josh Seary0%
Noah Mawene0%
Kian Best0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Dennis24%
Mileta Rajović20%
Rhys Healey18%
Edo Kayembe14%
Yáser Asprilla14%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo13%
Matheus Martins13%
Ismael Koné10%
Wesley Hoedt9%
Ryan Andrews8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jake Livermore7%
Imrân Louza7%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Ryan Porteous5%
Ken Sema3%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Porteous38%
Jake Livermore30%
Wesley Hoedt27%
Imrân Louza27%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Edo Kayembe20%
Ryan Andrews18%
Matthew Pollock17%
James Morris17%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Ben Hamer16%
Francisco Sierralta15%
Daniel Bachmann15%
Jamal Lewis11%
Rhys Healey9%
Matheus Martins8%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Emmanuel Dennis6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo5%
Thomas Ince4%
Ken Sema3%
Mileta Rajović2%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Giorgi Chakvetadze12%
Ken Sema10%
Rhys Healey9%
Ryan Porteous8%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Edo Kayembe6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Jamal Lewis6%
Matheus Martins5%
Ryan Andrews5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Francisco Sierralta4%
Jake Livermore3%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edo Kayembe17%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo10%
Yáser Asprilla9%
Ismael Koné7%
Imrân Louza7%
Matheus Martins5%
Mileta Rajović5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Thomas Ince4%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Ryan Andrews2%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Rhys Healey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Jake Livermore0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Preston's squad is €46m less valuable than Watford's (€43m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Preston's attack is €11m less valuable than Watford's (€17m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Preston's midfield is €36m less valuable than Watford's (€3m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Preston and Watford have a similar defence value (both €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
PRE wins
2
Draws
2
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Preston vs Watford · H/A from PRE
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23AWatford Vs PRE0-0
20/08/22HPRE Vs Watford0-0
16/02/21HPRE Vs Watford0-1
28/11/20AWatford Vs PRE4-1

PrestonPreston

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/12/23AHuddersfield Vs PRE1-3
09/12/23ANorwich Vs PRE0-0
01/12/23HPRE Vs QPR0-2
28/11/23AMiddlesbrough Vs PRE4-0
25/11/23HPRE Vs Cardiff1-2
10/11/23ABlackburn Vs PRE1-2
04/11/23HPRE Vs Coventry3-2
28/10/23AHull Vs PRE1-0
25/10/23HPRE Vs Southampton2-2
21/10/23HPRE Vs Millwall1-1

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/12/23HWAT Vs Ipswich1-2
09/12/23HWAT Vs Southampton1-1
02/12/23AHull Vs WAT1-2
28/11/23HWAT Vs Norwich3-2
25/11/23ALeicester Vs WAT2-0
11/11/23HWAT Vs Rotherham5-0
04/11/23AHuddersfield Vs WAT0-0
28/10/23HWAT Vs Millwall2-2
24/10/23ASwansea Vs WAT0-1
21/10/23HWAT Vs Sheffield Weds1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Preston
Preston
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.46
HomeDDWLL1.52
AwayLWLDW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.782.882.68
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.221.321.12
Conceded1.561.561.56
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet20%12%28%
Corners9.529.889.16
Cards4.104.403.80
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.30
HomeDWWDL1.56
AwayDWDLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%41%22%
AVG goals2.422.592.22
Over 1.5 %72%78%65%
Over 2.5 %38%41%35%
Over 3.5 %28%33%22%
Scored1.241.590.83
Conceded1.181.001.39
BTTS40%44%35%
Clean Sheet34%44%22%
Corners10.1210.529.65
Cards4.744.704.78

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches