The upcoming match between Prishtina and Ballkani in the Kosovo: Superliga is finely balanced, with Prishtina coming off a defeat to Drenica Skënderaj in their last outing. In contrast, Ballkani is on a high after a 3-2 win over Bohemians. The model's selection is a home win, with a 39% chance of Prishtina emerging victorious. The draw is also a possibility, with a 29% probability, while Ballkani has a 32% chance of winning. The expected total number of goals in the match is 2.6, with the most likely score being 1-1, which has a 13.9% probability. Prishtina has been struggling at home, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 0.33 per match against stronger opponents. Meanwhile, Ballkani has been scoring 1.22 goals and conceding 1.44 on the road against weaker opponents. The model's selections are Under 3.5 (74.3%), Over 1.5 (73.9%), and there's a 74.3% edge in favour of Under 3.5. The probabilities of home, draw, and away wins are 39%, 29%, and 32% respectively.
Results analysis
The win extends Prishtina's run after coming off a victory over Ballkani, who had previously suffered a defeat at the hands of the home team. The final score of 4-2 was well clear of the expected total of 2.6 goals, with the most likely score being a 1-1 draw, which had a 14% probability. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 39%. The model's call on the home win was the only clear favourite. The model's selection on under 3.5 goals missed, while over 1.5 goals hit, both with high probabilities of 74.4% and 73.8% respectively.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Prishtina win✓ Hit
39.0%
Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.53
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.05
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.20
1xBet
3.12
Marathonbet
3.12
Ballkani win✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.50
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
1xBet
2.51
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Prishtina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.43
1.27
1.00
1.27
1.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.26
1.30
1.29
1.00
1.23
1.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
2.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
3.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ballkani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.27
2.06
1.19
1.14
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.50
1.56
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.62
vs Weaker (14)
1.79
0.93
2.62
0.88
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
@ 1.29+3.1%
Under 1.5
26.2%
@ 3.13-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.96+0.8%
Under 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.71-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Betfair
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.6%
@ 3.48-0.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
@ 1.24+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Under
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
@ 1.73+1.3%
No
46.7%
@ 1.88-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.80
Betfair
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
No
Betfair
1.95
1xBet
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.90
William Hil
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 5.72+6.5%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.45+3.5%
0-0
9.0%@ 8.17+3.8%
2-1
8.6%@ 9.20+3.9%
0-1
8.0%@ 7.45+2.4%
1-2
7.6%@ 9.12+3.0%
2-0
7.1%@ 11.37+3.4%
0-2
5.6%@ 11.37+1.9%
Prishtina goals ↓
Ballkani goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
8.0%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
1
9.2%
14%
7.6%
3.1%
0.9%
2
7.1%
8.6%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.2%
3.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Prishtina goals (down), columns = Ballkani goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Prishtina is 0.25 points worse than Ballkani in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Prishtina is 0.25 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Prishtina is 0.28 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Prishtina or Draw✓ Hit
68.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Prishtina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prishtina or Ballkani✓ Hit
71.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Prishtina + Ballkani
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ballkani✗ Miss
61.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Draw + Ballkani
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Prishtina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.60
0.47
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.70
0.57
0.50
0.69
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ballkani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.94
0.56
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.69
1.12
0.88
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.25
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Prishtina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.67
0.53
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.59
0.71
0.50
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ballkani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
1.12
0.62
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.88
0.38
0.62
0.75
1.12
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.64
1.88
0.62
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
74.4%
1.24
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
-
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.8%
1.29
10Bet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ballkani · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Almir Kryeziu25%
Walid Hamidi20%
Edvin Kuč17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Walid Hamidi60%
Gentrit Halili40%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Edvin Kuč33%
Arb Manaj33%
Almir Kryeziu25%
Lorenc Trashi17%
Enea Koliçi17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Vesel Limaj0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Almir Kryeziu25%
Qendrim Zyba17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Almir Kryeziu25%
Nazmi Gripshi17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Prishtina and Ballkani have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Prishtina and Ballkani have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Prishtina's midfield is €2m less valuable than Ballkani's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Prishtina and Ballkani have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Malisheva
Gjilani
Drita
Dukagjini
Drenica Skënderaj
Feronikeli
Vushtrria
Llapi