PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Prishtina vs Drenica Skënderaj Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 4-1
Prishtina
Prishtina
Vs
58%
26%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prishtina win✓ Hit
58.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj win✗ Miss
16.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrishtinaPrishtina

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W41W12L20W01L00D11D00D11DH·MAL12/03A·DRE18/03H·TRE01/04H·DUK09/04H·FER15/04A·DRI22/04H·LLA30/04A·BAL04/05H·GJI07/05A·MAL14/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.001.441.121.000.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.231.001.441.121.000.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L03L04L01L01L12L02L13L14LA·DUK11/03H·PRI18/03A·DRI02/04A·LLA09/04H·BAL16/04A·GJI23/04H·MAL29/04A·FER03/05A·TRE06/05H·DUK14/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.730.731.600.801.87
vs Stronger (13)0.772.150.862.000.672.33
vs Similar (17)0.761.410.621.250.891.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
Prishtina goals ↓
Drenica Skënderaj goals →
01234
08.9%5.2%2.6%0.7%0.1%
112%12%4.5%1.2%0.2%
212%9.6%3.9%1.0%0.2%
36.8%5.5%2.2%0.6%0.1%
43.0%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Prishtina goals (down), columns = Drenica Skënderaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Prishtina is 0.69 points better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Prishtina is 0.53 goals better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Prishtina is 0.72 goals better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrishtinaPrishtina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W01L11D10W01L00D10W00D00DH·MAL12/03A·DRE18/03H·TRE01/04H·DUK09/04H·FER15/04A·DRI22/04H·LLA30/04A·BAL04/05H·GJI07/05A·MAL14/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.690.500.430.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.470.690.500.430.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D02L01L00D12L00D02L13LH·TRE08/03H·PRI18/03A·DRI02/04A·LLA09/04H·BAL16/04A·GJI23/04H·MAL29/04A·FER03/05A·TRE06/05H·DUK14/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.830.310.880.500.79
vs Stronger (15)0.471.000.431.000.501.00
vs Similar (15)0.330.670.220.780.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrishtinaPrishtina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D40W01L10W00D00D01L00D11DH·MAL12/03A·DRE18/03H·TRE01/04H·DUK09/04H·FER15/04A·DRI22/04H·LLA30/04A·BAL04/05H·GJI07/05A·MAL14/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.750.620.570.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.670.530.750.620.570.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L02L00D01L00D02L11D01LH·TRE08/03H·PRI18/03A·DRI02/04A·LLA09/04H·BAL16/04A·GJI23/04H·MAL29/04A·FER03/05A·TRE06/05H·DUK14/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.380.620.361.14
vs Stronger (15)0.331.000.431.000.251.00
vs Similar (15)0.400.730.330.330.501.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Prishtina's squad is €6m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€6m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Prishtina's attack is €3m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€4m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Prishtina and Drenica Skënderaj have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Prishtina's defence is €2m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
PRI wins
0
Draws
2
DS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Prishtina vs Drenica Skënderaj · H/A from PRI
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs PRI0-1
12/11/22HPRI Vs Drenica Skënderaj0-1
18/09/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs PRI2-1

PrishtinaPrishtina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23AMalisheva Vs PRI1-1
07/05/23HPRI Vs Gjilani0-0
04/05/23ABallkani Vs PRI1-1
30/04/23HPRI Vs Llapi0-0
22/04/23ADrita Vs PRI1-0
15/04/23HPRI Vs Ferizaj2-0
09/04/23HPRI Vs Dukagjini1-2
01/04/23HPRI Vs Trepça'894-1
18/03/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs PRI0-1
12/03/23HPRI Vs Malisheva1-2

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HDS Vs Dukagjini1-4
06/05/23ATrepça'89 Vs DS3-1
03/05/23AFerizaj Vs DS2-0
29/04/23HDS Vs Malisheva1-2
23/04/23AGjilani Vs DS1-0
16/04/23HDS Vs Ballkani0-1
09/04/23ALlapi Vs DS4-0
02/04/23ADrita Vs DS3-0
18/03/23HDS Vs Prishtina0-1
11/03/23ADukagjini Vs DS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Prishtina
Prishtina
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDD1.32
HomeWLWDD1.24
AwayDWLDD1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals2.182.471.88
Over 1.5 %65%65%65%
Over 2.5 %44%53%35%
Over 3.5 %15%29%0%
Scored1.211.351.06
Conceded0.971.120.82
BTTS53%53%53%
Clean Sheet29%29%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.68
HomeLLLLL0.59
AwayLLLLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%12%24%
AVG goals2.352.122.59
Over 1.5 %62%47%76%
Over 2.5 %47%41%53%
Over 3.5 %21%18%24%
Scored0.740.650.82
Conceded1.621.471.76
BTTS47%47%47%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches