The match between Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 32 % for a home victory, 30 % for a draw and 38 % for an away win, making the latter the most likely outcome. The expected total of goals is 2.4, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1 at a 14.4 % chance. Probiy’s home form shows they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against similar opponents, while Viktoriya’s away form averages 1.07 scored and 1.5 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.9 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.6 %), Under 5.5 (96.6 %) and Away under 3.5 goals (96.1 %). Probiy’s recent run of losses and a 0-3 defeat to Prykarpattia contrast with Viktoriya’s four-game winning streak and a 2-1 win over Kulykiv, adding to the uncertainty of the encounter.
Results analysis
After a string of two defeats, Probiy Horodenka’s form has stalled, while Viktoriya Mykolaivka continues a five-game winning streak. The Pythia model correctly tipped an away win, and the match finished 0-3 in favour of the visitors, confirming the prediction. The model’s favourite, Away win, held at a 38% probability and proved accurate. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.3%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.1%, and Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.8%. The total of three goals matched the most likely 2-goal outcome, and the model’s overall accuracy was evident.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Probiy Horodenka win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka win✓ Hit
38.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Probiy Horodenka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.27
1.07
1.33
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
1.31
0.86
1.29
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.76
1.24
1.25
1.38
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoriya Mykolaivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.07
1.60
0.73
1.07
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
1.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.08
1.58
0.58
1.07
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.9%
Under 1.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.4%
Under 2.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
Probiy Horodenka goals ↓
Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
7.3%
3.1%
1.0%
1
9.1%
14%
8.2%
3.4%
1.1%
2
5.8%
7.3%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.2%
2.7%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Probiy Horodenka goals (down), columns = Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Probiy Horodenka is 2.60 points worse than Viktoriya Mykolaivka in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Probiy Horodenka is 1.00 goals worse than Viktoriya Mykolaivka in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Probiy Horodenka is 2.20 goals worse than Viktoriya Mykolaivka in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 0.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Probiy Horodenka or Draw✗ Miss
62.0%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
38%
covers Probiy Horodenka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka or Viktoriya Mykolaivka✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
38%
covers Probiy Horodenka + Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Viktoriya Mykolaivka✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
38%
covers Draw + Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.4%
Under
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.9%
Under
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.5%
Under
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.7%
Under
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Probiy Horodenka, so a minus line means Probiy Horodenka give that many goals of a start and Viktoriya Mykolaivka receive them. At -1, Probiy Horodenka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Probiy Horodenka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Viktoriya Mykolaivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.47
0.20
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.46
0.50
0.17
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.0%
Under 0.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.4%
Under 1.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.5%
Under 2.5
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.1%
Under
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.3%
Under
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Probiy Horodenka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.80
0.73
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.00
0.71
0.86
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.47
0.88
0.62
0.11
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoriya Mykolaivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
1.13
0.53
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.62
1.08
0.42
0.64
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.3%
Under 0.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.4%
Under 1.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.9%
Under 2.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.2%
Under
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.5%
Under
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →