Puszcza Niepołomice is looking to bounce back from three consecutive defeats, having last lost 0-1 to Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Meanwhile, Odra Opole comes into this match on the back of a win, having defeated Chrobry Głogów 1-0. The model predicts a home win, with a 43% probability of Puszcza Niepołomice securing all three points. The draw is seen as a 32% possibility, while an away win for Odra Opole is the least likely outcome at 25%. The expected total number of goals is 2.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 14.5% of the time.
Puszcza Niepołomice has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per game and conceding 0.92. Odra Opole, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 0.92 goals per game and conceding 1.15. The model's selection is Under 3.5, which has an 84.4% probability of occurring, with a 10% edge. This selection is the model's most confident pick, with the Under 3.5 option being the only one mentioned. The home win percentage is 43%, the draw percentage is 32%, and the away win percentage is 25%.
Results analysis
Puszcza Niepołomice's win extends their run, following a 3-1 victory over Odra Opole. The final scoreline saw the home side emerge victorious, contrary to the expected draw. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 43%.
Meanwhile, the model's call on the Under 3.5 total goals selection was wrong, despite having a high pre-match probability of 84.4%. The Under 3.5 selection missed, as the actual score was 3-1.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Puszcza Niepołomice win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.22
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Betano
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.14
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.43
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Dafabet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Odra Opole win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.01
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.22
1xBet
3.10
Dafabet
3.10
Betano
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Puszcza Niepołomice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.17
1.43
1.07
1.31
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
0.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.33
1.11
1.42
1.00
1.27
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odra Opole
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.10
1.07
1.14
1.00
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (23)
1.04
1.13
1.09
1.27
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.6%
@ 1.33-6.8%
Under 1.5
37.4%
@ 3.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.24
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
3.05
888Sport
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.2%
@ 2.05-11.1%
Under 2.5
65.8%
@ 1.70+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
888Sport
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.6%
@ 3.63-9.9%
Under 3.5
84.4%
@ 1.24+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.8%
@ 1.80-9.3%
No
58.2%
@ 1.89+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
No
Unibet
1.94
888Sport
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.74+6.8%
0-0
13.9%@ 8.08+8.5%
1-0
13.9%@ 6.71+7.4%
0-1
9.6%@ 7.88+4.0%
2-0
9.2%@ 9.80+4.7%
2-1
7.9%@ 8.38+2.7%
1-2
5.7%@ 10.04+1.3%
0-2
4.7%@ 13.65+1.5%
Puszcza Niepołomice goals ↓
Odra Opole goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.6%
4.7%
1.4%
0.3%
1
14%
14%
5.7%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.2%
7.9%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
3
3.7%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Puszcza Niepołomice goals (down), columns = Odra Opole goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
Puszcza Niepołomice is 0.33 points worse than Odra Opole in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
Puszcza Niepołomice is 0.17 goals worse than Odra Opole in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
Puszcza Niepołomice is 0.17 goals worse than Odra Opole in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Puszcza Niepołomice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.36
0.50
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.52
0.33
0.33
0.73
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odra Opole
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.50
0.43
0.44
0.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.39
0.55
0.36
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Puszcza Niepołomice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
1.07
0.57
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.59
1.08
0.67
0.53
0.53
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odra Opole
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.57
0.71
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.74
0.55
0.91
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Puszcza Niepołomice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puszcza Niepołomice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
84.4%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+9.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Puszcza Niepołomice · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michalis Kosidis27%
German Barkovskiy20%
Antoni Klimek15%
Artur Crăciun14%
Jani Atanasov11%
Piotr Mroziński11%
Dawid Szymonowicz9%
Mateusz Cholewiak7%
Konrad Stępień7%
Łukasz Sołowiej6%
Roman Yakuba6%
Jakov Blagaić5%
Dawid Abramowicz4%
Jakub Serafin3%
Jin-hyun Lee0%
Mateusz Stępień0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Kewin Komar0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artur Siemaszko33%
Dawid Abramowicz29%
Artur Crăciun28%
German Barkovskiy27%
Jakub Stec25%
Jani Atanasov22%
Georgy Zhukov22%
Jakub Serafin22%
Dawid Szymonowicz22%
Wojciech Hajda21%
Łukasz Sołowiej19%
Konrad Stępień19%
Piotr Mroziński19%
Ioan-Calin Revenco18%
Roman Yakuba15%
Jakov Blagaić14%
Michal Siplak12%
Jin-hyun Lee11%
Mateusz Stępień10%
Michalis Kosidis10%
Antoni Klimek8%
Mateusz Cholewiak7%
Hubert Tomalski7%
Mateusz Radecki5%
Kewin Komar3%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Michał Perchel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konrad Stępień15%
German Barkovskiy13%
Jin-hyun Lee11%
Dawid Abramowicz11%
Jakub Serafin6%
Łukasz Sołowiej6%
Mateusz Stępień5%
Mateusz Cholewiak4%
Artur Crăciun3%
Michalis Kosidis3%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Dawid Szymonowicz0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Jani Atanasov0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Piotr Mroziński0%
Kewin Komar0%
Roman Yakuba0%
Antoni Klimek0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
German Barkovskiy13%
Jani Atanasov11%
Antoni Klimek8%
Piotr Mroziński7%
Jin-hyun Lee6%
Dawid Szymonowicz4%
Konrad Stępień4%
Michalis Kosidis3%
Jakub Serafin3%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Mateusz Stępień0%
Mateusz Cholewiak0%
Mateusz Radecki0%
Michal Siplak0%
Dawid Abramowicz0%
Łukasz Sołowiej0%
Artur Siemaszko0%
Hubert Tomalski0%
Artur Crăciun0%
Georgy Zhukov0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Rok Kidrič0%
Michał Walski0%
Wojciech Hajda0%
Kewin Komar0%
Roman Yakuba0%
Krystian Okoniewski0%
Jakub Stec0%
Michał Perchel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
Puszcza Niepołomice's squad is €2m less valuable than Odra Opole's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
Puszcza Niepołomice and Odra Opole have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Puszcza Niepołomice and Odra Opole have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
Puszcza Niepołomice and Odra Opole have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
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Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ŁKS Łódź
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Stal Mielec
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów