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Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Vs
40%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The clash between Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat-Armenia is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest: Pyunik averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Ararat-Armenia, on the road, nets 1.14 and concedes 1.0. The expected total is 2.7 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome with a 25% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% probability, which is distinct from the total-goals expectation. Probabilities for the match result are 40% for a Pyunik win, 28% for a draw, and 32% for an Ararat-Armenia win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.1%) and Under 5.5 (94.0%) with an edge of 1%. Pyunik’s recent form shows a two-game winning run, while Ararat-Armenia comes off a win, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.

Results analysis

Pyunik Yerevan extended a three-game winning run to finish 2-1 over Ararat-Armenia, matching the model’s predicted home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 40% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.2%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.0%, and Under 5.5 hit at 94.0%. The match confirmed the model’s overall assessment, with the favoured result and most selections delivered.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pyunik Yerevan win✓ Hit
39.9%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.15
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.23
Dafabet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.18
William Hil
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.12
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.30
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Dafabet
3.15
Ararat-Armenia win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.11
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
1xBet
3.23
Dafabet
3.20
Superbet
3.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D01L20W20W00D21W22D30W20WH·FC 23/04A·FC 03/05A·ARA06/05H·BKM09/05A·GAN18/05H·FC 23/05H·VAN27/05A·FC 02/08H·VAN09/08A·ARA21/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.671.860.571.120.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.801.200.801.000.801.40
vs Weaker (20)1.800.402.440.331.270.45
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L43W21W21W02L20W11D11D10WH·GAN27/05A·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08H·SAR23/08H·UNI27/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.971.730.731.731.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.141.071.141.141.141.00
vs Weaker (16)2.250.882.250.382.251.38
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
@ 1.32+7.5%
Under 1.5
22.9%
@ 3.02-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.09
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Marathonbet
2.97
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.6%
@ 2.03+6.5%
Under 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.67-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
SBO
2.08
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
SBO
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.5%
@ 3.58+3.9%
Under 3.5
70.5%
@ 1.23-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.50
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.7%
@ 1.79+5.9%
No
43.3%
@ 1.85-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
No
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 5.75+5.9%
2-1 ✓
8.8%@ 8.20+3.6%
1-0
8.2%@ 6.42+1.6%
1-2
7.8%@ 10.48+3.7%
0-0
7.7%@ 8.26+2.5%
0-1
7.1%@ 8.20+1.9%
2-0
6.8%@ 9.12+2.2%
2-2
5.6%@ 13.27+2.4%
Pyunik Yerevan goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia goals →
01234
07.7%7.1%5.3%2.3%0.7%
18.2%13%7.8%3.3%1.1%
26.8%8.8%5.6%2.4%0.8%
33.3%4.3%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.2%1.5%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pyunik Yerevan goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
3.00
Sardarapat
2.50
Pyunik Yerevan
2.20
Alashkert
2.17
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.40
BKMA
0.80
Ararat
0.60
Gandzasar
0.60
Syunik
0.33
Van
0.17
Pyunik Yerevan is 0.20 points better than Ararat-Armenia in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.60
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.33
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
Pyunik Yerevan
1.80
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.60
Gandzasar
1.20
BKMA
0.80
Ararat
0.60
Syunik
0.50
Van
0.33
Pyunik Yerevan is 0.20 goals worse than Ararat-Armenia in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alashkert
0.33
Pyunik Yerevan
0.60
FC Noah
0.60
FC Urartu
1.00
Sardarapat
1.00
Shirak
1.00
BKMA
1.20
Ararat-Armenia
1.40
Syunik
2.17
Ararat
2.40
Gandzasar
2.40
Van
3.00
Pyunik Yerevan is 0.80 goals better than Ararat-Armenia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pyunik Yerevan or Draw✓ Hit
67.8%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
-3.3%
40%
28%
32%
covers Pyunik Yerevan + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Pyunik Yerevan or Ararat-Armenia✓ Hit
72.1%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.9%
40%
28%
32%
covers Pyunik Yerevan + Ararat-Armenia
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw or Ararat-Armenia✗ Miss
60.1%
Avg Implied 57.7% · @ 1.58
Edge
+2.4%
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Ararat-Armenia
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.58

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.7%
@ 1.25+3.5%
Under
23.3%
@ 3.41-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.29
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.7%
@ 2.24+1.4%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.57-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 4.95-0.5%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.12+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Under
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
@ 1.41+7.3%
Under
27.6%
@ 2.64-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.44
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
Marathonbet
2.63
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 2.94+5.7%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.33-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 7.72+2.1%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.04-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Ararat-Armenia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Pyunik Yerevan, so a minus line means Pyunik Yerevan give that many goals of a start and Ararat-Armenia receive them. At -1, Pyunik Yerevan must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pyunik Yerevan win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pyunik Yerevan)Actual: Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan -2
7.5%
@ 8.03-3.1%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 5.45-3.5%
Ararat-Armenia +2
80.3%
@ 1.16+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
6.05
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Handicap -1 (Pyunik Yerevan)Actual: Draw
Pyunik Yerevan -1
19.7%
@ 4.28-1.1%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 3.75-3.6%
Ararat-Armenia +1
60.1%
@ 1.60+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Draw
Marathonbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
Handicap +1 (Pyunik Yerevan)Actual: Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan +1
67.8%
@ 1.26-2.1%
Draw +1
17.7%
@ 4.85-0.5%
Ararat-Armenia -1
14.5%
@ 7.40+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Marathonbet
7.40
Handicap +2 (Pyunik Yerevan)Actual: Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan +2
85.5%
Draw +2
9.5%
Ararat-Armenia -2
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W10W00D11D10W20W00DH·FC 23/04A·FC 03/05A·ARA06/05H·BKM09/05A·GAN18/05H·FC 23/05H·VAN27/05A·FC 02/08H·VAN09/08A·ARA21/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.271.070.210.250.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.500.400.400.200.60
vs Weaker (20)0.800.151.440.110.270.18
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L21W11D11D00D00D11D11D00DH·GAN27/05A·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08H·SAR23/08H·UNI27/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.800.470.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.640.710.710.430.57
vs Weaker (16)0.810.310.880.250.750.38
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.4%
@ 1.41+5.6%
Under 0.5
29.6%
@ 2.60-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
William Hil
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.6%
@ 2.93+5.3%
Under 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.33-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Marathonbet
2.97
Pinnacle
2.96
William Hil
2.90
Under
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 7.64+0.6%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.04-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.50
Under
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.3%
@ 1.98+1.7%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.73-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
12.9%
@ 6.83-0.5%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.06+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.38+3.8%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.50-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Marathonbet
2.39
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 9.50+0.2%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.02-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Marathonbet
9.50
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D10W10W00D10W12L10W20WH·FC 23/04A·FC 03/05A·ARA06/05H·BKM09/05A·GAN18/05H·FC 23/05H·VAN27/05A·FC 02/08H·VAN09/08A·ARA21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.400.790.360.880.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.700.400.600.600.80
vs Weaker (20)1.000.251.000.221.000.27
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W22D10W10W02L20W00D00D10WH·GAN27/05A·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08H·SAR23/08H·UNI27/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.500.930.271.130.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.430.430.430.710.43
vs Weaker (16)1.440.561.380.121.501.00
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.4%
@ 1.25+4.3%
Under 0.5
22.6%
@ 3.40-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.6%
@ 2.22+1.2%
Under 1.5
57.4%
@ 1.57-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 4.90+0.1%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.11-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
4.60
Under
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.0%
@ 1.70+1.9%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 4.50-3.1%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.15+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 2.00+6.9%
Under
47.0%
@ 1.71-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
Under
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 6.45+0.1%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.06-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.0%1.01
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
----0.0%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.0%1.02
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
----0.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.4%1.04
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-0.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.1%1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
---+0.5%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals86.0%1.04
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
--2.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.7%1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
----0.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.585.7%1.04
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--1.7%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap85.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.9%1.15
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
---+3.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.0%1.12
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-+0.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals81.4%1.11
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
--0.1%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.3%1.16
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
---+6.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals77.4%1.25
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-+4.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.577.1%1.32
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+7.5%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals76.7%1.25
1xBet
1.29
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
+3.5%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals72.4%1.41
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.44
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
+7.3%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.1%1.28
William Hil
1.35
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
+0.9%✓ Hit
Under 3.570.5%1.23
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
-3.9%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals70.4%1.41
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
+5.6%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Pyunik Yerevan · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusuf Otubanjo33%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Artak Dashyan33%
Luka Juričić20%
Juninho17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander González0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Anton Bratkov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Miljković60%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan33%
Anton Bratkov33%
Mikhail Kovalenko25%
Sergiy Vakulenko25%
Alexander Karapetyan20%
Luka Juričić20%
David Yurchenko17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander González0%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander González33%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan17%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Luka Juričić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artak Dashyan67%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Luka Juričić20%
Yusuf Otubanjo17%
Dame Diop17%
Alexander González0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
SAR (23)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
Pyunik Yerevan's squad is €2m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€6m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Pyunik Yerevan's attack is €1m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
VAN (3)
€0m
Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat-Armenia have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
SAR (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
Pyunik Yerevan's defence is €1m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
PY wins
1
Draws
5
ARA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia · H/A from PY
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/26AArarat-Armenia Vs PY1-0
11/04/26HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
25/11/25HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia1-0
28/03/25AArarat-Armenia Vs PY3-2
01/03/25HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia1-2
03/10/24AArarat-Armenia Vs PY1-3
21/04/24HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia2-2
23/02/24AArarat-Armenia Vs PY3-1

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AArarat Vs PY0-2
09/08/26HPY Vs Van3-0
02/08/26AFC Urartu Vs PY2-2
27/05/26HPY Vs Van2-1
23/05/26HPY Vs FC Noah0-0
18/05/26AGandzasar Vs PY0-2
09/05/26HPY Vs BKMA2-0
06/05/26AArarat-Armenia Vs PY1-0
03/05/26AFC Noah Vs PY0-0
23/04/26HPY Vs FC Urartu2-1

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/26HARA Vs Universitatea Craiova1-0
23/08/26HARA Vs Sardarapat1-1
20/08/26AUniversitatea Craiova Vs ARA1-1
15/08/26HARA Vs Van2-0
11/08/26ACelje Vs ARA2-0
07/08/26HARA Vs FC Urartu2-1
04/08/26HARA Vs Celje2-1
01/08/26AGandzasar Vs ARA3-4
28/07/26AShamrock Rovers Vs ARA2-1
27/05/26HARA Vs Gandzasar1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.74
HomeWWDWW2.00
AwayDLWDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%64%44%
AVG goals2.663.082.24
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.602.001.20
Conceded1.061.081.04
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW2.12
HomeWWWDW2.36
AwayWLWLD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%72%56%
AVG goals3.023.082.96
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored2.022.241.80
Conceded1.000.841.16
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners12.003.0016.50
Cards6.00-6.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.60.6
-
2AlashkertAlashkert613
67%
2.2
142+12
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.30.3
-
3Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan511
60%
2.2
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.80.6
-
4SardarapatSardarapat410
75%
2.5
104+6
3.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.0
-
5Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.4
-
6FC UrartuFC Urartu58
40%
1.6
85+3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
7ShirakShirak57
40%
1.4
85+3
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.0
-
8BKMABKMA54
20%
0.8
46-2
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.2
-
9GandzasarGandzasar53
20%
0.6
612-6
3.6
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.4
-
10AraratArarat53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.62.4
-
11SyunikSyunik62
0%
0.3
313-10
2.7
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.52.2
-
12VanVan61
0%
0.2
218-16
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.33.0
-
Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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