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Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Vs
55%
28%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat
Ararat
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Pyunik Yerevan win✓ Hit
55.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat win✗ Miss
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L21W10W12L10W12L11D00D11D21WA·FK 13/10H·ARA17/10A·SHI21/10A·SLO27/10A·FC 31/10H·FC 03/11A·LER06/11A·ARA10/11A·BKM13/11A·ALA22/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.001.330.671.001.33
vs Stronger (4)0.752.251.001.000.503.50
vs Similar (15)1.130.871.140.571.121.12
vs Weaker (11)1.360.731.670.671.000.80
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AraratArarat

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L10W01L12L01L20W21W00D12LA·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10H·SHI25/10A·VAN29/10H·FC 05/11H·LER12/11A·FC 22/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.681.110.671.000.701.20
vs Stronger (10)0.601.200.601.200.601.20
vs Similar (9)0.781.000.750.750.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-0 ✓
11.9%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
Pyunik Yerevan goals ↓
Ararat goals →
01234
011%6.3%2.9%0.7%0.1%
114%13%4.5%1.1%0.2%
212%9.1%3.5%0.9%0.2%
36.2%4.7%1.8%0.5%0.1%
42.4%1.8%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pyunik Yerevan goals (down), columns = Ararat goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Urartu
2.31
Pyunik Yerevan
2.22
Ararat-Armenia
2.11
Alashkert
1.83
Van
1.11
Ararat
1.06
Shirak
1.00
FC Noah
0.89
BKMA
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.61
Pyunik Yerevan is 1.17 points better than Ararat in terms of average points per game (2.22 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.00
Ararat-Armenia
1.94
FC Urartu
1.89
Alashkert
1.61
Van
1.06
BKMA
1.00
FC Noah
0.94
Ararat
0.81
Shirak
0.69
Lernayin Artsakh
0.44
Pyunik Yerevan is 1.19 goals better than Ararat in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.64
FC Urartu
0.69
Ararat-Armenia
0.75
Alashkert
1.03
Ararat
1.17
BKMA
1.47
Shirak
1.53
Lernayin Artsakh
1.64
Van
1.64
FC Noah
1.83
Pyunik Yerevan is 0.53 goals better than Ararat in terms of goals conceded per game (0.64 vs 1.17).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D00D00D02L01L00D01L10WA·FK 13/10H·ARA17/10A·SHI21/10A·SLO27/10A·FC 31/10H·FC 03/11A·LER06/11A·ARA10/11A·BKM13/11A·ALA22/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.600.270.200.73
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.000.500.001.50
vs Similar (15)0.330.530.430.430.250.62
vs Weaker (11)0.450.270.670.000.200.60
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AraratArarat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W01L11D01L20W10W00D12LA·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10H·SHI25/10A·VAN29/10H·FC 05/11H·LER12/11A·FC 22/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.630.330.670.500.60
vs Stronger (10)0.400.600.400.600.400.60
vs Similar (9)0.440.670.250.750.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W12L10W10W10W00D10W11DA·FK 13/10H·ARA17/10A·SHI21/10A·SLO27/10A·FC 31/10H·FC 03/11A·LER06/11A·ARA10/11A·BKM13/11A·ALA22/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.730.400.800.60
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.000.500.502.00
vs Similar (15)0.800.330.710.140.880.50
vs Weaker (11)0.910.451.000.670.800.20
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AraratArarat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L00D00D01L00D00D11D00D00DA·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10H·SHI25/10A·VAN29/10H·FC 05/11H·LER12/11A·FC 22/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.260.470.330.330.200.60
vs Stronger (10)0.200.600.200.600.200.60
vs Similar (9)0.330.330.500.000.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %68% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 8.5 corners79.8%--------
Under 3.579.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.8%--------
Under 5.5 cards75.5%--------

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Pyunik Yerevan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusuf Otubanjo33%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Artak Dashyan33%
Luka Juričić20%
Juninho17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander GonzÃĄlez0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Anton Bratkov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Miljković60%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan33%
Anton Bratkov33%
Mikhail Kovalenko25%
Sergiy Vakulenko25%
Alexander Karapetyan20%
Luka Juričić20%
David Yurchenko17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander GonzÃĄlez0%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander GonzÃĄlez33%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan17%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Luka Juričić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artak Dashyan67%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Luka Juričić20%
Yusuf Otubanjo17%
Dame Diop17%
Alexander GonzÃĄlez0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
LA (8)
€0m
Pyunik Yerevan's squad is €3m more valuable than Ararat's (€6m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
Pyunik Yerevan's attack is €2m more valuable than Ararat's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
LA (3)
€0m
Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
PY wins
0
Draws
2
ARA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat · H/A from PY
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/22AArarat Vs PY1-0
30/07/22HPY Vs Ararat0-1

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/22AAlashkert Vs PY1-2
13/11/22ABKMA Vs PY1-1
10/11/22AArarat-Armenia Vs PY0-0
06/11/22ALernayin Artsakh Vs PY1-1
03/11/22HPY Vs FC Basel 18931-2
31/10/22AFC Noah Vs PY0-1
27/10/22ASlovan Bratislava Vs PY2-1
21/10/22AShirak Vs PY0-1
17/10/22HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia2-1
13/10/22AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs PY2-1

AraratArarat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/22AFC Urartu Vs ARA2-1
12/11/22HARA Vs Lernayin Artsakh0-0
05/11/22HARA Vs FC Noah2-1
29/10/22AVan Vs ARA0-2
25/10/22HARA Vs Shirak0-1
21/10/22AArarat-Armenia Vs ARA2-1
14/10/22HARA Vs Alashkert0-1
09/10/22HARA Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-0
30/09/22HARA Vs FC Urartu0-2
17/09/22ABKMA Vs ARA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.43
HomeWWWWL1.73
AwayWDDDW1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%53%27%
AVG goals2.172.002.33
Over 1.5 %60%53%67%
Over 2.5 %40%33%47%
Over 3.5 %17%13%20%
Scored1.171.331.00
Conceded1.000.671.33
BTTS43%27%60%
Clean Sheet37%47%27%
Corners8.7510.836.67
Cards4.084.673.50
Ararat
Ararat
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.00
HomeWLLWD1.22
AwayLLLWL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%20%
AVG goals1.791.671.90
Over 1.5 %58%44%70%
Over 2.5 %32%22%40%
Over 3.5 %5%11%0%
Scored0.680.670.70
Conceded1.111.001.20
BTTS32%22%40%
Clean Sheet37%33%40%
Corners11.509.0014.00
Cards5.504.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC UrartuFC Urartu3683
72%
2.3
6825+43
2.6
67%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.7
-
2Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3680
69%
2.2
7223+49
2.6
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.00.6
-
3Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3676
64%
2.1
7027+43
2.7
72%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.90.8
-
4AlashkertAlashkert3666
56%
1.8
5837+21
2.6
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.61.0
-
5VanVan3640
31%
1.1
3859-21
2.7
69%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
6AraratArarat3638
28%
1.1
2942-13
2.0
61%
36%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.81.2
-
7ShirakShirak3636
28%
1.0
2555-30
2.2
58%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.71.5
-
8BKMABKMA3632
19%
0.9
3653-17
2.5
64%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.5
-
9FC NoahFC Noah3632
22%
0.9
3466-32
2.8
75%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5340.91.8
-
10Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh3622
14%
0.6
1659-43
2.1
61%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
Armenia: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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