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Pyunik Yerevan vs Van Result & Analysis

Date: 27/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Vs
58%
26%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Pyunik Yerevan a 58% win probability against Van in the Armenia: Premier League on 2026-05-27, with 26% for the draw and 16% for Van. The model estimates around 2.4 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-0 the most likely scoreline (13.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (77%), Over 1.5 (71%).

Results analysis

Pyunik Yerevan finished 2-1 against Van (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 58% home win, 26% draw and 16% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (77%), Over 1.5 (71%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Pyunik Yerevan win✓ Hit
58.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Van win✗ Miss
15.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L01L21W00D01L20W20W00DA·ALA21/03A·SHI06/04H·ARA11/04A·ARA18/04H·FC 23/04A·FC 03/05A·ARA06/05H·BKM09/05A·GAN18/05H·FC 23/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.732.000.570.940.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.151.570.860.501.50
vs Weaker (17)1.710.412.430.291.200.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L22D21W12L02L12L02L10W10W01LA·ARA16/03H·ARA20/03A·ARA04/04H·FC 10/04A·FC 20/04H·BKM23/04A·FC 26/04A·GAN02/05H·SHI08/05H·ALA16/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.431.331.400.931.47
vs Stronger (20)0.901.501.101.300.701.70
vs Similar (10)1.601.301.801.601.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.2%
Under 2.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.5%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
Pyunik Yerevan goals ↓
Van goals →
01234
09.8%5.5%2.5%0.6%0.1%
114%12%4.2%1.1%0.2%
212%9.4%3.6%0.9%0.2%
36.9%5.2%2.0%0.5%0.1%
42.9%2.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pyunik Yerevan goals (down), columns = Van goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ararat-Armenia
2.22
FC Noah
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
2.04
Alashkert
1.96
FC Urartu
1.81
Van
1.15
BKMA
0.85
Gandzasar
0.78
Ararat
0.48
Shirak
0.48
Pyunik Yerevan is 0.89 points better than Van in terms of average points per game (2.04 vs 1.15).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.26
Ararat-Armenia
1.85
FC Urartu
1.59
Alashkert
1.56
Pyunik Yerevan
1.37
BKMA
1.11
Van
1.00
Ararat
0.78
Gandzasar
0.74
Shirak
0.63
Pyunik Yerevan is 0.37 goals better than Van in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.67
FC Noah
0.70
Alashkert
0.85
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
0.96
Van
1.48
Gandzasar
1.52
BKMA
1.56
Shirak
1.89
Ararat
2.33
Pyunik Yerevan is 0.81 goals better than Van in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.48).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
FU (27)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
FU (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Pyunik Yerevan vs Van · H/A from PY
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AVan Vs PY2-1
04/10/25HPY Vs Van5-1
23/05/25AVan Vs PY3-2
28/10/24HPY Vs Van1-0
06/10/24AVan Vs PY1-3
09/05/24HPY Vs Van3-1
08/03/24AVan Vs PY1-0
02/11/23HPY Vs Van6-0

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HPY Vs FC Noah0-0
18/05/26AGandzasar Vs PY0-2
09/05/26HPY Vs BKMA2-0
06/05/26AArarat-Armenia Vs PY1-0
03/05/26AFC Noah Vs PY0-0
23/04/26HPY Vs FC Urartu2-1
18/04/26AArarat Vs PY1-0
11/04/26HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
06/04/26AShirak Vs PY0-1
21/03/26AAlashkert Vs PY0-1

VanVan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HVAN Vs Alashkert0-1
08/05/26HVAN Vs Shirak1-0
02/05/26AGandzasar Vs VAN0-1
26/04/26AFC Urartu Vs VAN2-0
23/04/26HVAN Vs BKMA1-2
20/04/26AFC Noah Vs VAN2-0
10/04/26HVAN Vs FC Urartu1-2
04/04/26AArarat Vs VAN1-2
20/03/26HVAN Vs Ararat-Armenia2-2
16/03/26AArarat-Armenia Vs VAN3-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.78
HomeWLWWD2.00
AwayWLDLW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals2.643.002.28
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.641.961.32
Conceded1.001.040.96
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.40
HomeDLLWL1.50
AwayLWLLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.722.922.50
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.321.581.04
Conceded1.401.351.46
BTTS54%65%42%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia2760
67%
2.2
5025+25
2.8
70%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.90.9
-
2FC NoahFC Noah2756
59%
2.1
6119+42
3.0
81%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.30.7
-
3Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan2755
63%
2.0
3718+19
2.0
63%
37%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.40.7
-
4AlashkertAlashkert2753
59%
2.0
4223+19
2.4
74%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
5FC UrartuFC Urartu2749
52%
1.8
4326+17
2.6
67%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
6VanVan2731
33%
1.1
2740-13
2.5
67%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
7BKMABKMA2723
15%
0.9
3042-12
2.7
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
8GandzasarGandzasar2721
19%
0.8
2041-21
2.3
59%
33%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
9ShirakShirak2713
7%
0.5
1751-34
2.5
67%
44%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.9
-
10AraratArarat2713
11%
0.5
2163-42
3.1
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
Armenia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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