Defensive solidity will set the tone for the match, with QPR averaging 1.25 goals conceded at home against similar opposition and Millwall conceding 1.42 away. The model sees a tight affair, projecting 2.2 goals on average and a 28% chance of exactly two. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.8% probability, while the overall win probabilities are 34% for QPR, 32% for a draw, and 34% for Millwall. The favoured result is a home win, the model’s pick. QPR’s home form shows 1.08 goals scored per game, and Millwall’s away form 1.0, underscoring the low-scoring expectation. Suggested selections include Under 5.5 cards at 95.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 89.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 88.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 82.4%, Under 23.5 fouls at 80.3%, Under 3.5 cards at 75.4%, and Under 11.5 corners at 72.1%. Each selection is presented with its probability, and no other outcome is given a win chance.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Millwall snatched a 2-1 victory, overturning the pre-match favourite, QPR, who had a 34% chance of winning. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win. The prediction of a 2-goal total proved accurate, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 14.8% also hit. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 5.5 cards at 95.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 89.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 88.9%, Under 3.5 at 82.4%, Under 23.5 fouls at 80.3%, Under 3.5 cards at 75.4% and Under 11.5 corners at 72.1%. The home side, coming off a win, failed to maintain form, while Millwall, after a defeat, found their rhythm.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
QPR win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.80
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 3.07
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✓ Hit
34.2%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.72
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
QPR
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.27
1.21
1.29
0.94
1.25
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.00
1.19
1.08
1.25
0.93
1.14
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.97
1.60
0.60
0.87
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.05
1.50
0.60
1.00
1.42
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.71
1.80
0.60
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.2%
Under 1.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.0%
@ 2.37-3.1%
Under 2.5
63.0%
@ 1.59+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
1-2 ✓
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
QPR goals ↓
Millwall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.8%
2.5%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.3%
2.7%
0.7%
2
6.7%
7.3%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.4%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = QPR goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
QPR is 0.39 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.48).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
QPR is 0.28 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
QPR is 0.46 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
QPR is 4.3 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (50% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
QPR
For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Millwall
For 5.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
QPR
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.7
3.7
3.8
3.6
21.9
22.1
21.7
vs Stronger (6)
8.8
10.0
7.7
4.2
3.0
5.3
21.8
21.0
22.7
vs Similar (43)
10.0
10.1
10.0
3.6
3.9
3.4
21.9
22.3
21.5
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
12.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
22.0
22.0
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
56%
50%
62%
46%
50%
42%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
44%
50%
38%
54%
50%
58%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
3.2
2.8
3.6
20.8
20.9
20.8
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
-
2.0
15.0
-
15.0
vs Similar (38)
9.5
9.4
9.5
3.4
3.1
3.7
20.8
20.4
21.3
vs Weaker (11)
9.8
10.4
8.8
2.5
2.0
3.5
21.4
22.1
20.0
% over line
46%
50%
42%
48%
35%
62%
42%
42%
42%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
52%
65%
38%
58%
58%
58%
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.0
Norwich
10.9
Sheffield United
10.7
Bristol City
10.5
Watford
10.5
West Brom
10.4
Middlesbrough
10.4
Coventry
10.4
Luton
10.4
Stoke
10.2
Rotherham
10.2
QPR
9.9
Hull
9.9
Sunderland
9.9
Blackpool
9.9
Cardiff
9.9
Swansea
9.8
Birmingham
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Millwall
9.6
Huddersfield
9.6
Preston
9.4
Reading
9.3
Wigan
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.7
Middlesbrough
4.4
Blackburn
4.4
Cardiff
4.2
Luton
4.2
Sheffield United
4.2
Preston
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Coventry
4.0
Wigan
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Reading
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Watford
3.8
Rotherham
3.8
Bristol City
3.7
QPR
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Norwich
3.6
Birmingham
3.6
Burnley
3.6
Hull
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Millwall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.8
Wigan
23.1
Middlesbrough
22.5
Luton
22.4
Reading
22.0
QPR
21.9
Blackpool
21.8
Stoke
21.6
Birmingham
21.5
Preston
21.5
Blackburn
21.3
Watford
21.2
Norwich
21.2
Bristol City
21.1
Sheffield United
21.0
Rotherham
21.0
Swansea
20.9
Millwall
20.8
Burnley
20.2
Cardiff
19.9
Hull
19.9
Coventry
19.8
West Brom
19.7
Huddersfield
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
33.7%
Under 21.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
QPR
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
1.07
0.71
0.31
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
3.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.69
0.92
0.67
0.36
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.41
0.70
0.30
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.71
0.60
0.60
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
QPR
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.14
0.57
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.38
0.50
0.17
0.58
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.93
0.20
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.64
0.80
0.30
0.58
0.92
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.00
1.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Martin25%
Chris Willock21%
Lyndon Dykes15%
Jamal Lowe15%
Ilias Chair12%
Tyler Roberts11%
Stefan Johansen7%
Leon Balogun6%
Tim Iroegbunam6%
Albert Adomah5%
Jimmy Dunne5%
Samuel Field4%
Ethan Laird3%
Kenneth Paal2%
Seny Dieng2%
Luke Amos0%
Taylor Richards0%
Macauley Bonne0%
Osman Kakay0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Robert Dickie0%
George Thomas0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Aaron Drewe0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Amos29%
Leon Balogun25%
Jamal Lowe25%
Samuel Field24%
Tim Iroegbunam22%
Stefan Johansen21%
Robert Dickie18%
Sinclair Armstrong18%
Jimmy Dunne18%
Tyler Roberts17%
Taylor Richards13%
Ethan Laird12%
Andre Dozzell11%
Lyndon Dykes10%
Osman Kakay10%
Chris Martin6%
Jake Clarke-Salter6%
Albert Adomah5%
Ilias Chair5%
Kenneth Paal5%
Seny Dieng4%
Macauley Bonne0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
George Thomas0%
Chris Willock0%
Aaron Drewe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilias Chair20%
Stefan Johansen14%
Jamal Lowe10%
Kenneth Paal8%
Chris Willock7%
Ethan Laird6%
Lyndon Dykes5%
Osman Kakay5%
Samuel Field4%
Luke Amos0%
Taylor Richards0%
Leon Balogun0%
Macauley Bonne0%
Tyler Roberts0%
Albert Adomah0%
Chris Martin0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Jimmy Dunne0%
Robert Dickie0%
George Thomas0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Seny Dieng0%
Aaron Drewe0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tyler Roberts17%
Lyndon Dykes15%
Ilias Chair12%
Taylor Richards7%
Chris Martin6%
Tim Iroegbunam6%
Albert Adomah5%
Jamal Lowe5%
Chris Willock4%
Ethan Laird3%
Robert Dickie3%
Luke Amos0%
Leon Balogun0%
Macauley Bonne0%
Samuel Field0%
Stefan Johansen0%
Osman Kakay0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Jimmy Dunne0%
George Thomas0%
Kenneth Paal0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Seny Dieng0%
Aaron Drewe0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming28%
Tom Bradshaw24%
Charlie Cresswell14%
Duncan Watmore12%
Oliver Burke12%
Benik Afobe11%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Jake Cooper7%
George Saville5%
Callum Styles5%
Tyler Burey4%
George Honeyman3%
Jamie Shackleton0%
Scott Malone0%
George Evans0%
Mason Bennett0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Romain Esse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Cooper28%
George Saville26%
Danny McNamara21%
Tyler Burey17%
Murray Wallace16%
Charlie Cresswell14%
Callum Styles14%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Billy Mitchell11%
Shaun Hutchinson11%
George Honeyman11%
Mason Bennett10%
George Long8%
Oliver Burke6%
Ryan Leonard6%
Benik Afobe5%
Andreas Voglsammer5%
Zian Flemming5%
Scott Malone3%
Jamie Shackleton3%
George Evans0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Romain Esse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Malone12%
Oliver Burke12%
Tom Bradshaw10%
Andreas Voglsammer10%
George Honeyman8%
Zian Flemming7%
Jake Cooper7%
Duncan Watmore6%
Ryan Leonard6%
Benik Afobe5%
Mason Bennett5%
Callum Styles5%
Tyler Burey4%
Charlie Cresswell3%
Billy Mitchell3%
Danny McNamara2%
Jamie Shackleton0%
George Evans0%
George Saville0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming42%
Tom Bradshaw24%
Oliver Burke12%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Charlie Cresswell7%
Jake Cooper7%
Murray Wallace5%
Benik Afobe5%
Mason Bennett5%
Callum Styles5%
Scott Malone3%
Billy Mitchell3%
Jamie Shackleton0%
George Evans0%
George Saville0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Tyler Burey0%
Romain Esse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
QPR's squad is €14m less valuable than Millwall's (€71m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
QPR's attack is €1m less valuable than Millwall's (€29m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
QPR's midfield is €14m less valuable than Millwall's (€15m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
QPR's defence is €2m more valuable than Millwall's (€27m vs €25m).
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →