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Queen of Sth vs Alloa Result & Analysis

Date: 21/11/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
QO
Queen of Sth
Vs
32%
26%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
A
Alloa
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queen of Sth win✓ Hit
32.3%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.20
Edge
-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.38
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alloa win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.02
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L01L04L00D11D13L12L25L23L11DA·ARB15/02H·DUN22/02H·MOR29/02A·PAR03/03A·DUN07/03A·INV10/03A·AYR17/10H·RAI24/10A·DUN31/10A·ARB07/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.671.291.710.941.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.191.591.381.691.001.50
vs Weaker (3)0.332.330.002.000.502.50
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W11D00D44D02L00D20W01L14L33DA·QUE25/01A·INV01/02H·DUN14/02A·MOR22/02H·AYR29/02A·DUN03/03H·INV07/03A·MOR17/10H·DUN24/10H·DUN06/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.671.001.671.401.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.191.731.001.771.381.69
vs Weaker (4)1.251.251.001.001.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.2%
@ 1.84+10.1%
Under 2.5
38.8%
@ 1.92-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
Queen of Sth goals ↓
Alloa goals →
01234
05.3%6.1%6.1%3.5%1.5%
15.2%12%8.9%5.1%2.1%
24.5%7.7%6.5%3.7%1.6%
32.2%3.8%3.2%1.8%0.8%
40.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen of Sth goals (down), columns = Alloa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Queen of Sth is 0.37 points better than Alloa in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Queen of Sth is 0.30 goals better than Alloa in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.11).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Queen of Sth is 0.33 goals better than Alloa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 2.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

For 4.2 · Against 6.9 · Total 11.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

1601186976646183439345811141612109712713A·ARBA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRA·INVA·DUNA·PARH·MORH·DUNA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

704321123111112127225223102A·ARBA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRA·INVA·DUNA·PARH·MORH·DUNA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 11.2 · Total 19.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

25081314118107156107791541151111921251822161424151620A·ARBA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRA·INVA·DUNA·PARH·MORH·DUNA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

A
Alloa

For 3.7 · Against 8.2 · Total 11.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

18041083553511135137112741214111081281318916H·DUNH·DUNA·MORH·INVA·DUNH·AYRA·MORH·DUNA·INVA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 0.9 · Total 1.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

501411121212111052032311H·DUNH·DUNA·MORH·INVA·DUNH·AYRA·MORH·DUNA·INVA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

370172013126191113118471161110796937252524191117211615H·DUNH·DUNA·MORH·INVA·DUNH·AYRA·MORH·DUNA·INVA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.510.63.03.12.920.121.518.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (45)10.410.210.63.03.13.020.321.719.0
vs Weaker (5)11.413.010.32.63.02.318.219.517.3
% over line64%58%69%32%38%27%42%50%35%
% under line36%42%31%68%62%73%58%50%65%
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.912.211.52.42.42.520.420.520.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)11.912.311.62.42.22.620.520.220.8
vs Weaker (6)11.712.011.32.73.71.720.222.717.7
% over line70%69%71%26%27%25%36%35%38%
% under line30%31%29%74%73%75%64%65%62%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.9
Inverness CT
11.3
Morton
11.1
Heart Of Midlothian
10.6
Queen of Sth
10.5
Dunfermline
10.3
Dundee
10.2
Arbroath
10.1
Ayr
10.0
Raith Rvs
9.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Arbroath
3.5
Raith Rvs
3.5
Dundee
3.5
Dunfermline
3.2
Morton
3.2
Ayr
3.1
Inverness CT
3.1
Queen of Sth
3.0
Alloa
2.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
27.5
Dundee
23.7
Ayr
21.8
Arbroath
21.5
Raith Rvs
21.3
Dunfermline
20.6
Morton
20.5
Alloa
20.4
Inverness CT
20.4
Queen of Sth
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
70.5%
Under 9.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
43.8%
Under 21.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D02L00D10W01L02L13L02L10WA·ARB15/02H·DUN22/02H·MOR29/02A·PAR03/03A·DUN07/03A·INV10/03A·AYR17/10H·RAI24/10A·DUN31/10A·ARB07/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.640.860.440.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.740.690.850.500.64
vs Weaker (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W00D24L01L00D20W01L11D10WA·QUE25/01A·INV01/02H·DUN14/02A·MOR22/02H·AYR29/02A·DUN03/03H·INV07/03A·MOR17/10H·DUN24/10H·DUN06/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.530.930.871.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.651.040.460.920.851.15
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L00D01L12L10W12L21W01LA·ARB15/02H·DUN22/02H·MOR29/02A·PAR03/03A·DUN07/03A·INV10/03A·AYR17/10H·RAI24/10A·DUN31/10A·ARB07/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.640.860.500.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.850.690.850.500.86
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Alloa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L00D20W01L00D00D00D03L23LA·QUE25/01A·INV01/02H·DUN14/02A·MOR22/02H·AYR29/02A·DUN03/03H·INV07/03A·MOR17/10H·DUN24/10H·DUN06/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.470.730.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.540.690.540.850.540.54
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards93.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards84.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls84.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners80.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls72.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners70.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
QOS wins
3
Draws
5
ALL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queen of Sth vs Alloa · H/A from QOS
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/20HQOS Vs Alloa2-3
26/10/19AAlloa Vs QOS2-2
31/08/19HQOS Vs Alloa0-1
13/04/19AAlloa Vs QOS1-0
23/02/19HQOS Vs Alloa1-2
22/12/18AAlloa Vs QOS2-0
06/10/18HQOS Vs Alloa3-3
16/04/16AAlloa Vs QOS2-2

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/20AArbroath Vs QOS1-1
31/10/20ADunfermline Vs QOS3-2
24/10/20HQOS Vs Raith Rvs2-5
17/10/20AAyr Vs QOS2-1
10/03/20AInverness CT Vs QOS3-1
07/03/20ADunfermline Vs QOS1-1
03/03/20APartick Vs QOS0-0
29/02/20HQOS Vs Morton0-4
22/02/20HQOS Vs Dundee0-1
15/02/20AArbroath Vs QOS2-0

A
Alloa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/20HALL Vs Dundee3-3
24/10/20HALL Vs Dunfermline1-4
17/10/20AMorton Vs ALL1-0
07/03/20HALL Vs Inverness CT2-0
03/03/20ADundee Vs ALL0-0
29/02/20HALL Vs Ayr0-2
22/02/20AMorton Vs ALL4-4
14/02/20HALL Vs Dundee Utd0-0
01/02/20AInverness CT Vs ALL1-1
25/01/20AQueen of Sth Vs ALL2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.88
HomeLLLLL0.96
AwayDLLLD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%19%
AVG goals2.542.752.35
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored0.981.210.77
Conceded1.561.541.58
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet14%17%12%
Corners10.5210.4610.58
Cards3.003.082.92
A
Alloa
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.16
HomeDLWLD1.23
AwayWDDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.782.503.08
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %54%42%67%
Over 3.5 %24%19%29%
Scored1.221.041.42
Conceded1.561.461.67
BTTS64%46%83%
Clean Sheet18%27%8%
Corners11.9012.2311.54
Cards2.442.382.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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