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Queen of Sth vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 09/03/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 0-2
QO
Queen of Sth
Vs
35%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queen of Sth win✗ Miss
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D21W40W12L03L01L12L01L01LA·ALL22/12H·AYR29/12A·INV05/01H·ROS12/01A·PAR26/01A·FAL02/02H·DUN16/02H·ALL23/02A·MOR26/02A·DUN02/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.791.001.191.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.441.111.690.851.211.36
vs Weaker (3)1.671.333.003.001.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L12L10W22D32W12L01L10W01LA·MOR22/12A·ROS29/12H·QUE05/01H·AYR12/01A·FAL26/01A·AYR29/01H·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.071.361.361.380.81
vs Stronger (25)1.321.201.421.501.230.92
vs Similar (4)1.750.501.000.502.500.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
0-2 ✓
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
Queen of Sth goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
09.4%9.0%6.5%2.7%0.9%
18.9%14%8.1%3.4%1.1%
26.3%8.0%5.0%2.1%0.7%
32.6%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen of Sth goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ross County
1.97
Dundee Utd
1.81
Inverness CT
1.56
Ayr
1.50
Morton
1.28
Partick
1.19
Dunfermline
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.06
Queen of Sth
1.06
Queen of Sth is 0.50 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ross County
1.75
Ayr
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.36
Inverness CT
1.33
Partick
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.03
Morton
1.00
Dunfermline
0.92
Queen of Sth is 0.19 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ross County
0.94
Ayr
1.06
Dunfermline
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.11
Inverness CT
1.11
Morton
1.25
Queen of Sth
1.33
Falkirk
1.36
Partick
1.44
Alloa
1.47
Queen of Sth is 0.22 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

For 5.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1305755832673546261485121011810987413A·DUNA·MORH·ALLH·DUNA·FALA·PARH·ROSA·INVH·AYRA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6011212121143124123212333546351A·DUNA·MORH·ALLH·DUNA·FALA·PARH·ROSA·INVH·AYRA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

300111116813141267177141798121614191122242718242126203030A·DUNA·MORH·ALLH·DUNA·FALA·PARH·ROSA·INVH·AYRA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 4.8 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

15052474767210696316866771111131215971413A·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PARA·AYRA·FALH·AYRH·QUEA·ROSA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9023131421212145425135330396A·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PARA·AYRA·FALH·AYRH·QUEA·ROSA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

300121487149616181298131412886151126152322301727201426A·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PARA·AYRA·FALH·AYRH·QUEA·ROSA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.910.23.33.63.021.122.819.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)9.48.710.23.23.62.821.022.918.9
vs Weaker (9)10.110.210.03.83.24.221.622.221.0
% over line50%36%64%40%48%32%42%56%28%
% under line50%64%36%60%52%68%58%44%72%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.911.03.73.44.022.021.322.7
vs Stronger (38)10.49.711.23.83.93.723.123.322.9
vs Similar (9)10.411.29.53.31.65.520.017.423.2
vs Weaker (3)10.39.013.03.73.54.014.012.517.0
% over line62%54%71%56%58%54%54%50%58%
% under line38%46%29%44%42%46%46%50%42%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Alloa
10.6
Partick
10.4
Inverness CT
10.4
Dundee Utd
10.2
Ross County
10.0
Falkirk
9.9
Ayr
9.8
Queen of Sth
9.6
Dunfermline
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
4.3
Ross County
3.8
Inverness CT
3.7
Falkirk
3.6
Ayr
3.5
Dunfermline
3.4
Queen of Sth
3.3
Morton
3.3
Alloa
3.2
Partick
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ross County
23.4
Dundee Utd
23.2
Alloa
22.5
Ayr
22.0
Dunfermline
22.0
Inverness CT
22.0
Morton
21.9
Falkirk
21.4
Partick
21.2
Queen of Sth
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.0%
Under 9.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.9%
Under 3.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.4%
Under 21.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D20W01L01L01L01L00D00DA·ALL22/12H·AYR29/12A·INV05/01H·ROS12/01A·PAR26/01A·FAL02/02H·DUN16/02H·ALL23/02A·MOR26/02A·DUN02/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.860.640.380.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.630.560.850.690.430.43
vs Weaker (3)0.330.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D00D21W30W02L00D10W00DA·MOR22/12A·ROS29/12H·QUE05/01H·AYR12/01A·FAL26/01A·AYR29/01H·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.930.790.620.19
vs Stronger (25)0.720.520.920.830.540.23
vs Similar (4)1.250.251.000.501.500.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D21W20W11D02L00D11D01L01LA·ALL22/12H·AYR29/12A·INV05/01H·ROS12/01A·PAR26/01A·FAL02/02H·DUN16/02H·ALL23/02A·MOR26/02A·DUN02/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.930.360.810.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.810.560.850.150.790.93
vs Weaker (3)1.331.332.003.001.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L12L10W01L02L10W01L00D01LA·MOR22/12A·ROS29/12H·QUE05/01H·AYR12/01A·FAL26/01A·AYR29/01H·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.430.570.750.62
vs Stronger (25)0.600.680.500.670.690.69
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
QOS wins
4
Draws
2
IC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queen of Sth vs Inverness CT · H/A from QOS
DateH/AGameScore
05/01/19AInverness CT Vs QOS1-2
17/11/18HQOS Vs Inverness CT3-3
29/09/18AInverness CT Vs QOS0-0
07/04/18HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-2
13/01/18AInverness CT Vs QOS3-1
02/12/17HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-0
30/09/17AInverness CT Vs QOS0-0

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/19ADunfermline Vs QOS1-0
26/02/19AMorton Vs QOS1-0
23/02/19HQOS Vs Alloa1-2
16/02/19HQOS Vs Dundee Utd0-1
02/02/19AFalkirk Vs QOS3-0
26/01/19APartick Vs QOS2-1
12/01/19HQOS Vs Ross County4-0
05/01/19AInverness CT Vs QOS1-2
29/12/18HQOS Vs Ayr1-1
22/12/18AAlloa Vs QOS2-0

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/19ADundee Utd Vs IC1-0
23/02/19HIC Vs Morton1-0
16/02/19ADunfermline Vs IC1-0
02/02/19HIC Vs Partick1-2
29/01/19AAyr Vs IC2-3
26/01/19AFalkirk Vs IC2-2
12/01/19HIC Vs Ayr1-0
05/01/19HIC Vs Queen of Sth1-2
29/12/18ARoss County Vs IC2-1
22/12/18AMorton Vs IC1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.22
HomeDDWLL1.16
AwayWLLLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%24%36%
AVG goals2.842.802.88
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored1.461.521.40
Conceded1.381.281.48
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners9.568.9210.20
Cards3.303.563.04
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.60
HomeDLWLW1.65
AwayLDWLL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.502.852.12
Over 1.5 %62%73%50%
Over 2.5 %46%54%38%
Over 3.5 %34%46%21%
Scored1.481.731.21
Conceded1.021.120.92
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet38%35%42%
Corners10.429.9210.96
Cards3.703.424.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ross CountyRoss County3671
58%
2.0
6334+29
2.7
72%
50%
31%
10.3
64%
4.1
58%
24.0
67%
1
0011.80.9
-
2Dundee UtdDundee Utd3665
53%
1.8
4940+9
2.5
78%
39%
14%
10.9
58%
4.2
69%
22.8
58%
11
4341.41.1
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3656
39%
1.6
4840+8
2.4
64%
50%
28%
11.4
72%
3.8
56%
21.5
53%
1
0001.31.1
-
4
A
Ayr
3654
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
61%
39%
28%
9.0
39%
3.2
44%
22.0
56%
0
0001.41.1
-
5MortonMorton3646
31%
1.3
3645-9
2.2
69%
39%
14%
10.6
58%
3.5
53%
22.4
58%
1
0001.01.2
-
6PartickPartick3643
33%
1.2
4352-9
2.6
78%
53%
19%
10.8
67%
3.5
44%
21.0
36%
3
1111.21.4
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline3641
31%
1.1
3340-7
2.0
47%
36%
19%
9.8
53%
3.3
39%
22.3
61%
4
2020.91.1
-
8
A
Alloa
3639
28%
1.1
3953-14
2.6
75%
50%
22%
11.2
67%
3.0
39%
22.1
53%
0
0001.11.5
-
9
QO
Queen of Sth
3638
25%
1.1
4148-7
2.5
72%
47%
19%
10.2
56%
3.3
39%
20.4
39%
0
0001.11.3
-
10FalkirkFalkirk3638
25%
1.1
3749-12
2.4
78%
36%
17%
10.2
61%
3.6
53%
21.1
47%
6
2131.01.4
-
Scotland: Championship 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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